EAT Stock Analysis: Brinker International | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 8.581m USD | 12M Return: 83.1% | US1096411004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 278M
EPS Trend: 95.7%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) is a Dallas-based casual dining restaurant company that owns, develops, operates, and franchises restaurants under the Chilis Grill & Bar and Maggianos Little Italy brands in the United States and select international markets. Founded in 1975, the company operates within the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Restaurants sub-industry, using a hybrid business model that combines company-operated locations with franchised units to support brand growth.
Casual dining chains like Brinker typically generate revenue through a mix of direct restaurant sales and franchise fees, royalties, and other income from franchised locations. The dual-brand portfolio strategy allows the company to appeal to different customer segments-Chilis targeting broad-market casual dining and Maggianos positioned in the upscale casual Italian segment.
- Chilis same-store sales rebound drives revenue growth
- Beef and labor cost pressures squeeze restaurant margins
- Maggianos underperformance prompts strategic review and capital reallocation
| Net Income: 500.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.22 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.33 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.11% < 20% (prev -7.18%; Δ 0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.30 > 3% & CFO 837.7m > Net Income 500.8m |
| Net Debt (3.19b) to EBITDA (875.7m): 3.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.34 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.0m) vs 12m ago -6.11% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 4.93% > 18% (prev 32.60%; Δ -27.67% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 216.2% > 50% (prev 206.3%; Δ 9.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.99 > 6 (EBIT TTM 654.9m / Interest Expense TTM 54.6m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 221.5m - Total Current Liabilities 643.6m) / Total Assets 2.78b |
| B: 0.28 (Retained Earnings 786.8m / Total Assets 2.78b) |
| C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 654.9m / Avg Total Assets 2.74b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 399.9m / Total Liabilities 2.38b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.71 = BBB |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 70.2m/61.6m, Revenue 5.93b/5.59b) |
| GMI: 6.61 (GM 32.60% / 4.93%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.13) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 5.93b / 5.59b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 500.8m - CFO 837.7m) / TA 2.78b) |
| Beneish M = 2.09 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of November 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 195.15 with a total of 1,328,932 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.91%, over one month by +0.53%, over three months by -14.23% and over the past year by +83.05%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 171.60 (which is 12.1% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.57. Therefore, it is recommended to buy EAT.
- StrongBuy: 18
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 264.7 | 35.7% |
P/E Trailing = 18.2161
P/E Forward = 15.8983
P/S = 1.4462
P/B = 21.4591
P/EG = 1.8455
Revenue TTM = 5.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 654.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 875.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 375.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 150.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.22b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.42b
Net Debt = 3.19b USD (calculated: Debt 3.22b - CCE 30.7m)
Enterprise Value = 11.8b USD (8.58b + Debt 3.22b - CCE 30.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.99 (Ebit TTM 654.9m / Interest Expense TTM 54.6m)
EV/FCF = 19.59x (Enterprise Value 11.8b / FCF TTM 601.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 601.0m / Enterprise Value 11.8b)
FCF Margin = 10.13% (FCF TTM 601.0m / Revenue TTM 5.93b)
Net Margin = 8.44% (Net Income TTM 500.8m / Revenue TTM 5.93b)
Gross Margin = 4.93% ((Revenue TTM 5.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.52% (prev -83.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.24 (Enterprise Value 11.8b / Total Assets 2.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 54.6m / Debt 3.22b)
Taxrate = 16.58% (99.5m / 600.3m)
NOPAT = 546.4m (EBIT 654.9m * (1 - 16.58%))
Current Ratio = 0.34 (Total Current Assets 221.5m / Total Current Liabilities 643.6m)
Debt / Equity = 8.06 (Debt 3.22b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 399.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.65 (Net Debt 3.19b / EBITDA 875.7m)
Debt / FCF = 5.31 (Net Debt 3.19b / FCF TTM 601.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 407.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.25% (Net Income 500.8m / Total Assets 2.78b)
RoE = 123.0% (Net Income TTM 500.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 407.2m)
RoCE = 83.72% (EBIT 654.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 407.2m + L.T.Debt 375.0m))
RoIC = 24.25% (NOPAT 546.4m / Invested Capital 2.25b)
WACC = 5.18% (E(8.58b)/V(11.8b) * Re(6.60%) + D(3.22b)/V(11.8b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 6.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -76.26 | Cagr: -3.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈548.4m ; Y1≈628.7m ; Y5≈925.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 258.3 (EV 13.9b - Net Debt 3.19b = Equity 10.7b / Shares 41.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 95.74 | EPS CAGR: 57.50% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.71 | Revenue CAGR: 14.80% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=3.36 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=3.45 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+6% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2027-06-30): EPS=13.70 | Chg30d=+3.47% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+27.6% | GrowthRev=+8.6%
EPS next Year (2028-06-30): EPS=14.89 | Chg30d=+2.31% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+8.7% | GrowthRev=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +54% (up=51, down=14)