(EAT) Brinker International - Overview
Stock: Casual Dining, Restaurants, Food Service
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.17 |
| Alpha | -11.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.577 |
| Beta Downside | 0.935 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.29 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Risks
Description: EAT Brinker International March 05, 2026
Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) operates in the casual dining restaurant sector, a segment of the broader food service industry characterized by full-service establishments offering moderately priced meals.
The companys business model involves both direct ownership and franchising of its restaurant brands. Franchising allows for expansion with reduced capital expenditure for the parent company, while generating royalty and franchise fees.
Brinker Internationals primary brands are Chilis Grill & Bar and Maggianos Little Italy, catering to different casual dining experiences. These brands are present in the United States and global markets.
Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, Brinker International is a long-standing participant in the competitive restaurant industry. To understand market share and growth trends, further research on ValueRay is recommended.
Headlines to watch out for
- Chilis same-store sales growth impacts revenue
- Maggianos expansion drives new revenue streams
- Food and labor costs pressure profit margins
- Consumer discretionary spending affects restaurant traffic
- Franchise development fees contribute to international growth
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 454.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.54% < 20% (prev -8.99%; Δ 1.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 737.7m > Net Income 454.1m |
| Net Debt (1.75b) to EBITDA (797.1m): 2.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.8m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.35% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 4.62k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 214.3% > 50% (prev 188.5%; Δ 25.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 797.1m / Interest Expense TTM 45.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.11
| A: -0.16 (Total Current Assets 240.9m - Total Current Liabilities 669.7m) / Total Assets 2.75b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 414.5m / Total Assets 2.75b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 576.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.65b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 414.1m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.11 = BB |
Beneish M -3.60
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 105.8m/84.1m, Revenue 5.69b/4.83b) |
| GMI: 0.36 (GM 46.35% / 16.47%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 5.69b / 4.83b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 454.1m - CFO 737.7m) / TA 2.75b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.60 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of EAT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.83%, over one month by -10.59%, over three months by -0.40% and over the past year by +7.22%.
Is EAT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 189 | 30.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 189 | 30.9% |
EAT Fundamental Data Overview March 15, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.0988
P/S = 1.0745
P/B = 15.4786
P/EG = 0.892
Revenue TTM = 5.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 576.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 366.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 139.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.86b USD (6.11b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 15.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.72 (Ebit TTM 576.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.3m)
EV/FCF = 17.24x (Enterprise Value 7.86b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.80% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Enterprise Value 7.86b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Net Margin = 7.98% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Gross Margin = 46.35% ((Revenue TTM 5.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.49% (prev 74.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.86 (Enterprise Value 7.86b / Total Assets 2.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.61% (Interest Expense 10.7m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 18.72% (29.6m / 158.1m)
NOPAT = 468.4m (EBIT 576.3m * (1 - 18.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 240.9m / Total Current Liabilities 669.7m)
Debt / Equity = 4.65 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 379.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.19 (Net Debt 1.75b / EBITDA 797.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.83 (Net Debt 1.75b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 338.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 454.1m / Total Assets 2.75b)
RoE = 134.2% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 338.3m)
RoCE = 81.78% (EBIT 576.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 338.3m + L.T.Debt 366.4m))
RoIC = 63.78% (NOPAT 468.4m / Invested Capital 734.4m)
WACC = 6.35% (E(6.11b)/V(7.88b) * Re(8.04%) + D(1.76b)/V(7.88b) * Rd(0.61%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 8.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF] Terminal Value 86.84% ; FCFF base≈408.5m ; Y1≈503.9m ; Y5≈858.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 457.3 (EV 21.66b - Net Debt 1.75b = Equity 19.92b / Shares 43.6m; r=6.35% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 69.80 | EPS CAGR: 35.44% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.72 | Revenue CAGR: 11.05% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.70 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+18 | Growth EPS=+20.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.32 | Chg7d=+0.001 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+16 | Growth EPS=+15.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.90 (19 Up / 1 Down within 30d for Current Year)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 0.7% (Discount Rate 8.0% - Earnings Yield 7.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +4.8% (Analyst 5.5% - Implied 0.7%)