EAT Stock Analysis: Brinker International | NYSE
Restaurants | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 9.658m USD | 12M Return: 45.6% | US1096411004 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 209M
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Brinker International, Inc. is a Dallas-based casual dining operator that owns, develops, operates, and franchises restaurant concepts in the U.S. and select international markets. Its portfolio is anchored by two brands: Chilis Grill & Bar, which generates the bulk of system-wide sales, and Maggianos Little Italy, positioned in the higher-check Italian dining niche. Founded in 1975 and listed on the NYSE under the ticker EAT, the company is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sectors Restaurants sub-industry and operates using a hybrid company-owned and franchised model, a structure common among large U.S. restaurant operators and one that allows brand expansion without bearing the full capital cost of new unit growth.
- Chilis same-store sales surge on promotional menu value positioning
- Beef and labor cost inflation pressures restaurant-level margins
- Share repurchase program supports capital returns to shareholders
| Net Income: 462.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.17% < 20% (prev -9.33%; Δ 2.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 757.8m > Net Income 462.9m |
| Net Debt (3.09b) to EBITDA (807.2m): 3.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.5m) vs 12m ago -4.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.04% > 18% (prev 17.64%; Δ 28.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 214.6% > 50% (prev 199.5%; Δ 15.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 586.1m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 270.5m - Total Current Liabilities 681.4m) / Total Assets 2.77b |
| B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 542.4m / Total Assets 2.77b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 586.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.67b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 406.0m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 98.2m/60.1m, Revenue 5.73b/5.13b) |
| GMI: 0.38 (GM 17.64% / 46.04%) |
| AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 5.73b / 5.13b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 462.9m - CFO 757.8m) / TA 2.77b) |
| Beneish M = -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 221.38 with a total of 1,589,127 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.43%, over one month by +16.97%, over three months by +58.57% and over the past year by +45.56%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 210.60 (which is 4.9% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EAT.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 198.7 | -10.3% |
P/E Trailing = 21.9279
P/E Forward = 19.0114
P/S = 1.6845
P/B = 23.789
P/EG = 1.6418
Revenue TTM = 5.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 586.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 807.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.40b
Net Debt = 3.09b USD (calculated: Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Enterprise Value = 12.8b USD (9.66b + Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.89 (Ebit TTM 586.1m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m)
EV/FCF = 25.28x (Enterprise Value 12.8b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.96% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Enterprise Value 12.8b)
FCF Margin = 8.80% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Net Margin = 8.07% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Gross Margin = 46.04% ((Revenue TTM 5.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.19% (prev 74.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.60 (Enterprise Value 12.8b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 42.2m / Debt 3.15b)
Taxrate = 16.53% (91.7m / 554.6m)
NOPAT = 489.2m (EBIT 586.1m * (1 - 16.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.40 (Total Current Assets 270.5m / Total Current Liabilities 681.4m)
Debt / Equity = 7.76 (Debt 3.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 406.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 3.09b / EBITDA 807.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.13 (Net Debt 3.09b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 375.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.32% (Net Income 462.9m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 123.4% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 375.0m)
RoCE = 81.22% (EBIT 586.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 375.0m + L.T.Debt 346.6m))
RoIC = 22.50% (NOPAT 489.2m / Invested Capital 2.17b)
WACC = 5.70% (E(9.66b)/V(12.8b) * Re(7.20%) + D(3.15b)/V(12.8b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 2.23 | Cagr: -0.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈459.1m ; Y1≈526.3m ; Y5≈774.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 199.7 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 3.09b = Equity 8.56b / Shares 42.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.43 | EPS CAGR: 65.77% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.83 | Revenue CAGR: 14.91% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.27 | Chg30d=+1.59% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.76 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=-38% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.49 | Chg30d=+0.10% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+16.0% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=12, down=6)