(EAT) Brinker International - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US1096411004
Stock: Casual Dining Restaurants, Bar, Italian Cuisine
Total Rating 57
Risk 81
Buy Signal 0.88
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.01 |
| Alpha | -26.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.094 |
| Beta Downside | 1.039 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.92% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.35 |
Description: EAT Brinker International January 08, 2026
Brinker International Inc. (NYSE:EAT) owns, develops, operates, and franchises the casual-dining concepts Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy, with a footprint across the United States and select international markets. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company is listed as a common-stock restaurant sub-industry within the GICS framework.
In FY 2023 Brinker generated approximately $3.5 billion in revenue, with franchisee contributions accounting for roughly 30 % of total sales-a ratio that has been rising as the firm leans on a lower-cost, asset-light growth model. Comparable-restaurant sales (comp-sales) grew 4 % YoY in Q4 2023, driven by modest menu price increases and a rebound in discretionary spending. Key economic sensitivities include labor-cost inflation, commodity price volatility (particularly beef and dairy), and consumer confidence, which together shape same-store sales trends across the casual-dining sector.
For a deeper dive into Brinker’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find the free tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 454.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.54% < 20% (prev -8.99%; Δ 1.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.31 > 3% & CFO 858.5m > Net Income 454.1m |
| Net Debt (1.75b) to EBITDA (797.1m): 2.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.8m) vs 12m ago 0.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 46.35% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 4618 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 214.3% > 50% (prev 188.5%; Δ 25.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 797.1m / Interest Expense TTM 45.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.11
| A: -0.16 (Total Current Assets 240.9m - Total Current Liabilities 669.7m) / Total Assets 2.75b |
| B: 0.15 (Retained Earnings 414.5m / Total Assets 2.75b) |
| C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 576.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.65b) |
| D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 414.1m / Total Liabilities 2.37b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.11 = BB |
Beneish M -3.65
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 105.8m/84.1m, Revenue 5.69b/4.83b) |
| GMI: 0.36 (GM 46.35% / 16.47%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.18 (Revenue 5.69b / 4.83b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI 454.1m - CFO 858.5m) / TA 2.75b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.65 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of EAT shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 168.93 with a total of 1,285,328 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.11%, over one month by +8.32%, over three months by +65.15% and over the past year by -7.32%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.11%, over one month by +8.32%, over three months by +65.15% and over the past year by -7.32%.
Is EAT a buy, sell or hold?
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold EAT.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 191.1 | 13.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 191.1 | 13.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 218.4 | 29.3% |
EAT Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Trailing = 16.2099
P/E Forward = 15.8479
P/S = 1.2547
P/B = 18.6073
P/EG = 1.11
Revenue TTM = 5.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 576.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 366.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 139.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.89b USD (7.14b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 15.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.72 (Ebit TTM 576.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.3m)
EV/FCF = 19.49x (Enterprise Value 8.89b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.13% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Enterprise Value 8.89b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Net Margin = 7.98% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Gross Margin = 46.35% ((Revenue TTM 5.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.49% (prev 74.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 8.89b / Total Assets 2.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.61% (Interest Expense 10.7m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 18.72% (29.6m / 158.1m)
NOPAT = 468.4m (EBIT 576.3m * (1 - 18.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 240.9m / Total Current Liabilities 669.7m)
Debt / Equity = 4.65 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 379.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.19 (Net Debt 1.75b / EBITDA 797.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.83 (Net Debt 1.75b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 338.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 454.1m / Total Assets 2.75b)
RoE = 134.2% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 338.3m)
RoCE = 81.78% (EBIT 576.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 338.3m + L.T.Debt 366.4m))
RoIC = 63.78% (NOPAT 468.4m / Invested Capital 734.4m)
WACC = 8.07% (E(7.14b)/V(8.90b) * Re(9.94%) + D(1.76b)/V(8.90b) * Rd(0.61%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.04% ; FCFF base≈408.5m ; Y1≈503.9m ; Y5≈858.2m
Fair Price DCF = 288.3 (EV 14.30b - Net Debt 1.75b = Equity 12.56b / Shares 43.6m; r=8.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 69.80 | EPS CAGR: 35.44% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.72 | Revenue CAGR: 11.05% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.88 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.70 | Chg30d=+0.375 | Revisions Net=+15 | Growth EPS=+20.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.32 | Chg30d=+0.406 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%
P/E Forward = 15.8479
P/S = 1.2547
P/B = 18.6073
P/EG = 1.11
Revenue TTM = 5.69b USD
EBIT TTM = 576.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 797.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 366.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 139.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.89b USD (7.14b + Debt 1.76b - CCE 15.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.72 (Ebit TTM 576.3m / Interest Expense TTM 45.3m)
EV/FCF = 19.49x (Enterprise Value 8.89b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
FCF Yield = 5.13% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Enterprise Value 8.89b)
FCF Margin = 8.01% (FCF TTM 455.9m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Net Margin = 7.98% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Revenue TTM 5.69b)
Gross Margin = 46.35% ((Revenue TTM 5.69b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.49% (prev 74.46%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 8.89b / Total Assets 2.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.61% (Interest Expense 10.7m / Debt 1.76b)
Taxrate = 18.72% (29.6m / 158.1m)
NOPAT = 468.4m (EBIT 576.3m * (1 - 18.72%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 240.9m / Total Current Liabilities 669.7m)
Debt / Equity = 4.65 (Debt 1.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 379.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.19 (Net Debt 1.75b / EBITDA 797.1m)
Debt / FCF = 3.83 (Net Debt 1.75b / FCF TTM 455.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 338.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.11% (Net Income 454.1m / Total Assets 2.75b)
RoE = 134.2% (Net Income TTM 454.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 338.3m)
RoCE = 81.78% (EBIT 576.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 338.3m + L.T.Debt 366.4m))
RoIC = 63.78% (NOPAT 468.4m / Invested Capital 734.4m)
WACC = 8.07% (E(7.14b)/V(8.90b) * Re(9.94%) + D(1.76b)/V(8.90b) * Rd(0.61%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 9.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.04% ; FCFF base≈408.5m ; Y1≈503.9m ; Y5≈858.2m
Fair Price DCF = 288.3 (EV 14.30b - Net Debt 1.75b = Equity 12.56b / Shares 43.6m; r=8.07% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 69.80 | EPS CAGR: 35.44% | SUE: 0.96 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 92.72 | Revenue CAGR: 11.05% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.88 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.70 | Chg30d=+0.375 | Revisions Net=+15 | Growth EPS=+20.2% | Growth Revenue=+8.0%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.32 | Chg30d=+0.406 | Revisions Net=+13 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%