(EAT) Brinker International - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US1096411004
Restaurant, Casual Dining, Franchise, Grill, Italian
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.83% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.49 |
| Alpha | 0.36 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.51 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.632 |
| Beta | 1.112 |
| Beta Downside | 1.285 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.92% |
| Mean DD | 10.90% |
| Median DD | 8.30% |
Description: EAT Brinker International November 05, 2025
Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) owns and franchises the casual-dining concepts Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy, operating both company-run and franchised locations across the United States and select international markets. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the firm reports under the “Restaurants” sub-industry of the GICS classification.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include comparable-restaurant sales (comps) – which have been trending around +3% year-over-year in 2024 – and franchise revenue, which now represents roughly 30% of total systemwide sales, providing a higher-margin, lower-capital-intensive growth engine. The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending trends, labor-cost inflation, and commodity price volatility; a 1% rise in the consumer confidence index historically correlates with a 0.2% increase in Brinker’s same-store sales, while rising food-cost indices compress margins unless offset by menu price adjustments.
For a deeper quantitative view of Brinker’s valuation metrics, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (444.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 335.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 8.75pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.18% (prev -8.67%; Δ 1.50pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 737.0m > Net Income 444.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.79b) to EBITDA (788.5m) ratio: 2.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 32.60% (prev 14.88%; Δ 17.71pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 213.3% (prev 179.3%; Δ 34.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.66 (EBITDA TTM 788.5m / Interest Expense TTM 49.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.97
| (A) -0.15 = (Total Current Assets 214.5m - Total Current Liabilities 616.0m) / Total Assets 2.71b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 286.0m / Total Assets 2.71b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 574.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.62b |
| (D) 0.12 = Book Value of Equity 285.5m / Total Liabilities 2.37b |
| Total Rating: 0.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 79.67
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.86% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.39% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 5.29 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 65.75)% |
| 7. RoE 160.7% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.27% |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.86% |
What is the price of EAT shares?
As of December 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 153.79 with a total of 744,682 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.62%, over one month by +41.53%, over three months by -1.33% and over the past year by +18.11%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.62%, over one month by +41.53%, over three months by -1.33% and over the past year by +18.11%.
Is EAT a buy, sell or hold?
Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold EAT.
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 159.4 | 3.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 159.4 | 3.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 195.8 | 27.3% |
EAT Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
Market Cap USD = 6.23b (6.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 14.5378
P/E Forward = 13.1926
P/S = 1.1142
P/B = 17.4366
P/EG = 1.11
Beta = 1.389
Revenue TTM = 5.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 574.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 788.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 436.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.02b USD (6.23b + Debt 1.82b - CCE 33.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.66 (Ebit TTM 574.6m / Interest Expense TTM 49.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.86% (FCF TTM 469.6m / Enterprise Value 8.02b)
FCF Margin = 8.39% (FCF TTM 469.6m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Net Margin = 7.94% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Gross Margin = 32.60% ((Revenue TTM 5.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.46% (prev 18.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.96 (Enterprise Value 8.02b / Total Assets 2.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.58% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 1.82b)
Taxrate = 7.53% (8.10m / 107.6m)
NOPAT = 531.3m (EBIT 574.6m * (1 - 7.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.35 (Total Current Assets 214.5m / Total Current Liabilities 616.0m)
Debt / Equity = 5.29 (Debt 1.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 343.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 788.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.81 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 469.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 276.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.38% (Net Income 444.1m / Total Assets 2.71b)
RoE = 160.7% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 276.3m)
RoCE = 80.64% (EBIT 574.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 276.3m + L.T.Debt 436.2m))
RoIC = 73.70% (NOPAT 531.3m / Invested Capital 721.0m)
WACC = 7.95% (E(6.23b)/V(8.05b) * Re(10.11%) + D(1.82b)/V(8.05b) * Rd(0.58%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 10.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.02% ; FCFE base≈368.6m ; Y1≈454.7m ; Y5≈775.8m
Fair Price DCF = 208.3 (DCF Value 9.26b / Shares Outstanding 44.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.86 | EPS CAGR: 30.56% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.27 | Revenue CAGR: 10.56% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2025-12-31): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=-0.179 | Revisions Net=-11 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.25 | Chg30d=-0.125 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=11.82 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
P/E Trailing = 14.5378
P/E Forward = 13.1926
P/S = 1.1142
P/B = 17.4366
P/EG = 1.11
Beta = 1.389
Revenue TTM = 5.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 574.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 788.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 436.2m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.02b USD (6.23b + Debt 1.82b - CCE 33.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.66 (Ebit TTM 574.6m / Interest Expense TTM 49.3m)
FCF Yield = 5.86% (FCF TTM 469.6m / Enterprise Value 8.02b)
FCF Margin = 8.39% (FCF TTM 469.6m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Net Margin = 7.94% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Gross Margin = 32.60% ((Revenue TTM 5.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.46% (prev 18.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.96 (Enterprise Value 8.02b / Total Assets 2.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.58% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 1.82b)
Taxrate = 7.53% (8.10m / 107.6m)
NOPAT = 531.3m (EBIT 574.6m * (1 - 7.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.35 (Total Current Assets 214.5m / Total Current Liabilities 616.0m)
Debt / Equity = 5.29 (Debt 1.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 343.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 1.79b / EBITDA 788.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.81 (Net Debt 1.79b / FCF TTM 469.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 276.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.38% (Net Income 444.1m / Total Assets 2.71b)
RoE = 160.7% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 276.3m)
RoCE = 80.64% (EBIT 574.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 276.3m + L.T.Debt 436.2m))
RoIC = 73.70% (NOPAT 531.3m / Invested Capital 721.0m)
WACC = 7.95% (E(6.23b)/V(8.05b) * Re(10.11%) + D(1.82b)/V(8.05b) * Rd(0.58%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 10.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.02% ; FCFE base≈368.6m ; Y1≈454.7m ; Y5≈775.8m
Fair Price DCF = 208.3 (DCF Value 9.26b / Shares Outstanding 44.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.86 | EPS CAGR: 30.56% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.27 | Revenue CAGR: 10.56% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2025-12-31): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=-0.179 | Revisions Net=-11 | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.25 | Chg30d=-0.125 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+15.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=11.82 | Chg30d=-0.009 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+15.3% | Growth Revenue=+5.2%
Additional Sources for EAT Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle