(EAT) Brinker International - NYSE

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Restaurants | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 6.833m USD | Total Return: -9.6% in 12m

Casual Dining, Burgers, Tex-Mex, Italian Cuisine
Total Rating 49
Safety 63
Buy Signal -0.55
Restaurants
Industry Rotation: +14.4
Market Cap: 6.83B
Avg Turnover: 129M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility47.3%
VaR 5th Pctl8.18%
VaR vs Median4.96%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Rel. Str. IBD41.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group54.2
Character TTM
Beta0.470
Beta Downside0.168
Hurst Exponent0.570
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD45.92%
CAGR/Max DD1.40
CAGR/Mean DD4.94
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of EAT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.68, "2021-09": 0.34, "2021-12": 0.71, "2022-03": 0.92, "2022-06": 1.15, "2022-09": -0.57, "2022-12": 0.76, "2023-03": 1.23, "2023-06": 1.39, "2023-09": 0.28, "2023-12": 0.99, "2024-03": 1.24, "2024-06": 1.61, "2024-09": 0.95, "2024-12": 2.8, "2025-03": 2.66, "2025-06": 2.49, "2025-09": 1.93, "2025-12": 2.87, "2026-03": 2.9,
EPS CAGR: 65.77%
EPS Trend: 97.4%
Last SUE: 0.13
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of EAT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1008.6, 2021-09: 876.4, 2021-12: 925.8, 2022-03: 980.4, 2022-06: 1021.5, 2022-09: 955.5, 2022-12: 1019, 2023-03: 1083.2, 2023-06: 1075.5, 2023-09: 1012.5, 2023-12: 1074.1, 2024-03: 1120.3, 2024-06: 1208.2, 2024-09: 1139, 2024-12: 1358.2, 2025-03: 1425.1, 2025-06: 1461.9, 2025-09: 1349.2, 2025-12: 1452.2, 2026-03: 1470.2,
Rev. CAGR: 14.91%
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Last SUE: -0.11
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Extended 1w Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: EAT Brinker International

Brinker International, Inc. (NYSE: EAT) is a major player in the casual dining sector, owning and franchising the Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy brands. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company manages a global portfolio of company-owned and franchised locations across the United States and various international markets.

The casual dining business model relies on a mix of high-volume alcoholic beverage sales and full-service dining to drive higher average check sizes compared to quick-service peers. Brinker operates within the highly competitive GICS Restaurants sub-industry, where profitability is closely tied to commodity costs, labor efficiency, and consumer discretionary spending trends.

Investors can further examine the companys historical performance and valuation metrics on ValueRay. Founded in 1975, Brinker maintains a dual-brand strategy that targets both the value-oriented bar and grill segment and the premium Italian dining market.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Chilis menu pricing power and traffic growth drive quarterly revenue performance
  • Commodity price volatility and labor cost inflation impact restaurant operating margins
  • Digital sales penetration and loyalty program engagement expand customer lifetime value
  • Strategic advertising spend and promotional activity influence casual dining market share
  • Consumer discretionary spending levels dictate foot traffic trends across suburban markets
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 462.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.99 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -7.17% < 20% (prev -9.33%; Δ 2.16% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 757.8m > Net Income 462.9m
Net Debt (3.09b) to EBITDA (807.2m): 3.83 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.40 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (44.5m) vs 12m ago -4.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 46.04% > 18% (prev 17.64%; Δ 28.40% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 214.6% > 50% (prev 199.5%; Δ 15.09% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 586.1m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m)
Altman Z'' 1.32
A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 270.5m - Total Current Liabilities 681.4m) / Total Assets 2.77b
B: 0.20 (Retained Earnings 542.4m / Total Assets 2.77b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 586.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.67b)
D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 406.0m / Total Liabilities 2.37b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB
Beneish M -3.21
DSRI: 1.46 (Receivables 98.2m/60.1m, Revenue 5.73b/5.13b)
GMI: 0.38 (GM 17.64% / 46.04%)
AQI: 0.86 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 5.73b / 5.13b)
TATA: -0.11 (NI 462.9m - CFO 757.8m) / TA 2.77b)
Beneish M = -3.21 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of EAT shares?

As of June 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 159.32 with a total of 638,001 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +13.43%, over one month by +17.73%, over three months by +14.88% and over the past year by -9.63%.

Is EAT a buy, sell or hold?

Brinker International has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45. Therefore, it is recommended to hold EAT.

  • StrongBuy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 15
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the EAT price?
Analysts Target Price 184.9 16.1%
Brinker International (EAT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 13 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 6.83b (6.83b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.5283
P/E Forward = 12.9032
P/S = 1.1917
P/B = 16.7674
P/EG = 0.892
Revenue TTM = 5.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 586.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 807.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 140.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.40b
Net Debt = 3.09b USD (calculated: Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Enterprise Value = 9.93b USD (6.83b + Debt 3.15b - CCE 57.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.89 (Ebit TTM 586.1m / Interest Expense TTM 42.2m)
EV/FCF = 19.68x (Enterprise Value 9.93b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
FCF Yield = 5.08% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Enterprise Value 9.93b)
FCF Margin = 8.80% (FCF TTM 504.4m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Net Margin = 8.07% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Revenue TTM 5.73b)
Gross Margin = 46.04% ((Revenue TTM 5.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.19% (prev 74.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 9.93b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.34% (Interest Expense 42.2m / Debt 3.15b)
Taxrate = 16.53% (91.7m / 554.6m)
NOPAT = 489.2m (EBIT 586.1m * (1 - 16.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.40 (Total Current Assets 270.5m / Total Current Liabilities 681.4m)
Debt / Equity = 7.76 (Debt 3.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 406.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.83 (Net Debt 3.09b / EBITDA 807.2m)
Debt / FCF = 6.13 (Net Debt 3.09b / FCF TTM 504.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 375.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.32% (Net Income 462.9m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 123.4% (Net Income TTM 462.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 375.0m)
RoCE = 81.22% (EBIT 586.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 375.0m + L.T.Debt 346.6m))
RoIC = 22.50% (NOPAT 489.2m / Invested Capital 2.17b)
WACC = 5.58% (E(6.83b)/V(9.98b) * Re(7.64%) + D(3.15b)/V(9.98b) * Rd(1.34%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 8.99 | Cagr: -0.40%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈459.1m ; Y1≈526.3m ; Y5≈774.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 199.7 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 3.09b = Equity 8.56b / Shares 42.9m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.43 | EPS CAGR: 65.77% | SUE: 0.13 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.83 | Revenue CAGR: 14.91% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.23 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=10.76 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+55% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=12.48 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+15.9% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62%