(EAT) Brinker International - Ratings and Ratios
Restaurant, Casual Dining, Franchise, Grill, Italian
EAT EPS (Earnings per Share)
EAT Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 74.1% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha Jensen | -17.59 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.520 |
| Beta | 1.383 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.92% |
| Mean DD | 10.57% |
Description: EAT Brinker International November 05, 2025
Brinker International (NYSE:EAT) owns and franchises the casual-dining concepts Chili’s Grill & Bar and Maggiano’s Little Italy, operating both company-run and franchised locations across the United States and select international markets. Founded in 1975 and headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the firm reports under the “Restaurants” sub-industry of the GICS classification.
Key operating metrics that analysts watch include comparable-restaurant sales (comps) – which have been trending around +3% year-over-year in 2024 – and franchise revenue, which now represents roughly 30% of total systemwide sales, providing a higher-margin, lower-capital-intensive growth engine. The business is sensitive to discretionary-spending trends, labor-cost inflation, and commodity price volatility; a 1% rise in the consumer confidence index historically correlates with a 0.2% increase in Brinker’s same-store sales, while rising food-cost indices compress margins unless offset by menu price adjustments.
For a deeper quantitative view of Brinker’s valuation metrics, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
EAT Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,803m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 1989-07-28 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -13.3% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.45 of 5 |
EAT Dividends
Currently no dividends paidEAT Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 52.48% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 1.14 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 4.96 |
| Current Volume | 2691.9k |
| Average Volume | 1658.7k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5
| Net Income (444.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 335.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 10.91pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.18% (prev -8.67%; Δ 1.50pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 737.0m > Net Income 444.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (1.68b) to EBITDA (788.5m) ratio: 2.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.35 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (45.8m) change vs 12m ago -0.22% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 32.60% (prev 12.95%; Δ 19.64pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 213.3% (prev 179.3%; Δ 34.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.66 (EBITDA TTM 788.5m / Interest Expense TTM 49.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.97
| (A) -0.15 = (Total Current Assets 214.5m - Total Current Liabilities 616.0m) / Total Assets 2.71b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 286.0m / Total Assets 2.71b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 574.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.62b |
| (D) 0.12 = Book Value of Equity 285.5m / Total Liabilities 2.37b |
| Total Rating: 0.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.18
| 1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.19% = 4.10 |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.44% = 2.36 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.88 = -2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.13 = -0.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 67.39)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 160.7% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 90.12% = 6.76 |
| 9. EPS Trend 64.26% = 3.21 |
What is the price of EAT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.54%, over one month by -8.82%, over three months by -25.56% and over the past year by -1.26%.
Is Brinker International a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EAT is around 116.64 USD . This means that EAT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.44%.
Is EAT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EAT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 161.3 | 37.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 161.3 | 37.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 129.9 | 10.9% |
EAT Fundamental Data Overview November 01, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.201
P/E Forward = 12.3916
P/S = 0.8585
P/B = 15.3254
P/EG = 1.11
Beta = 1.383
Revenue TTM = 5.59b USD
EBIT TTM = 574.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 788.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 346.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 525.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.68b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.68b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.45b USD (4.80b + Debt 1.68b - CCE 33.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.66 (Ebit TTM 574.6m / Interest Expense TTM 49.3m)
FCF Yield = 8.19% (FCF TTM 528.2m / Enterprise Value 6.45b)
FCF Margin = 9.44% (FCF TTM 528.2m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Net Margin = 7.94% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Revenue TTM 5.59b)
Gross Margin = 32.60% ((Revenue TTM 5.59b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.46% (prev 18.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.38 (Enterprise Value 6.45b / Total Assets 2.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.63% (Interest Expense 10.5m / Debt 1.68b)
Taxrate = 7.53% (8.10m / 107.6m)
NOPAT = 531.3m (EBIT 574.6m * (1 - 7.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.35 (Total Current Assets 214.5m / Total Current Liabilities 616.0m)
Debt / Equity = 4.88 (Debt 1.68b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 343.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.13 (Net Debt 1.68b / EBITDA 788.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.18 (Net Debt 1.68b / FCF TTM 528.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 276.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.38% (Net Income 444.1m / Total Assets 2.71b)
RoE = 160.7% (Net Income TTM 444.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 276.3m)
RoCE = 92.33% (EBIT 574.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 276.3m + L.T.Debt 346.0m))
RoIC = 75.77% (NOPAT 531.3m / Invested Capital 701.3m)
WACC = 8.38% (E(4.80b)/V(6.48b) * Re(11.11%) + D(1.68b)/V(6.48b) * Rd(0.63%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 11.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.12% ; FCFE base≈403.8m ; Y1≈498.1m ; Y5≈849.8m
Fair Price DCF = 198.9 (DCF Value 8.84b / Shares Outstanding 44.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 64.26 | EPS CAGR: 40.34% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 90.12 | Revenue CAGR: 10.75% | SUE: 0.46 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EAT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle