(EBR) Centrais Electricas - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Transmission, Hydroelectric, Nuclear, Solar
EBR EPS (Earnings per Share)
EBR Revenue
Description: EBR Centrais Electricas
Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. (Eletrobrás) is Brazil’s state-controlled utility that produces, transmits, and markets electricity across the country, operating a diversified mix of hydro, thermoelectric, nuclear, wind, and solar assets.
Through its subsidiaries, Eletrobrás owns 44 hydroelectric plants totaling 42,293.5 MW of installed capacity and manages roughly 66,540 km of high-voltage transmission lines, positioning it as the largest grid operator in Brazil.
Key drivers of Eletrobrás’s outlook include: (1) Brazil’s electricity demand is expected to grow ~2.5 % annually through 2028, fueled by industrial expansion and rising residential consumption; (2) the company’s recent 1.2 GW addition of wind and solar capacity in 2023 improves its renewable share to ~23 % of total generation, aligning with the country’s 2030 decarbonization targets; and (3) a high debt-to-EBITDA ratio (~4.5×) reflects the capital-intensive nature of its transmission network, making credit conditions and government fiscal policy critical to financial flexibility.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of EBR’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay useful.
EBR Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 22,464m |
Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
IPO / Inception | 2008-11-07 |
EBR Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 49.8% |
Fundamental | 67.5% |
Dividend Rating | 35.7% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 37.7% |
Analyst Rating | 4.67 of 5 |
EBR Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 6.34% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 13.01% |
Annual Growth 5y | -7.92% |
Payout Consistency | 56.7% |
Payout Ratio | 89.1% |
EBR Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 95.2% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 87.8% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 28.7% |
CAGR 5y | 5.61% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.12 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.22 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.20 |
Alpha | 45.61 |
Beta | 0.281 |
Volatility | 30.38% |
Current Volume | 1248.2k |
Average Volume 20d | 1489.4k |
Stop Loss | 9.5 (-3.2%) |
Signal | 1.29 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
Net Income (6.63b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.62b TTM) |
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.61pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 53.05% (prev 87.78%; Δ -34.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 16.13b > Net Income 6.63b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (50.94b) to EBITDA (17.26b) ratio: 2.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.86 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.25b) change vs 12m ago -3.70% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 49.58% (prev 45.30%; Δ 4.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 15.92% (prev 13.08%; Δ 2.84pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.07 (EBITDA TTM 17.26b / Interest Expense TTM 6.26b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.66
(A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 49.99b - Total Current Liabilities 26.81b) / Total Assets 274.96b |
(B) -0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.68b / Total Assets 274.96b |
(C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 12.99b / Avg Total Assets 274.36b |
(D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 121.04b / Total Liabilities 156.21b |
Total Rating: 1.66 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 67.48
1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
2. FCF Yield 8.18% = 4.09 |
3. FCF Margin 31.24% = 7.50 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.62 = 2.31 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 2.95 = -1.70 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.38)% = -1.73 |
7. RoE 5.49% = 0.46 |
8. Rev. Trend 68.12% = 5.11 |
9. EPS Trend -11.13% = -0.56 |
What is the price of EBR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.24%, over one month by +8.28%, over three months by +44.64% and over the past year by +58.11%.
Is Centrais Electricas a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EBR is around 10.66 USD . This means that EBR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.66%.
Is EBR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EBR price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 10.2 | 3.7% |
Analysts Target Price | 10.2 | 3.7% |
ValueRay Target Price | 11.5 | 17.3% |
Last update: 2025-10-04 03:50
EBR Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 18.1667
P/E Forward = 17.3611
P/S = 0.5143
P/B = 0.989
Beta = 0.281
Revenue TTM = 43.68b BRL
EBIT TTM = 12.99b BRL
EBITDA TTM = 17.26b BRL
Long Term Debt = 59.35b BRL (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 13.73b BRL (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.47b BRL (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 50.94b BRL (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 166.87b BRL (122.78b + Debt 73.47b - CCE 29.39b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.07 (Ebit TTM 12.99b / Interest Expense TTM 6.26b)
FCF Yield = 8.18% (FCF TTM 13.65b / Enterprise Value 166.87b)
FCF Margin = 31.24% (FCF TTM 13.65b / Revenue TTM 43.68b)
Net Margin = 15.19% (Net Income TTM 6.63b / Revenue TTM 43.68b)
Gross Margin = 49.58% ((Revenue TTM 43.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 47.88% (prev 46.15%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 166.87b / Total Assets 274.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.98% (Interest Expense 2.19b / Debt 73.47b)
Taxrate = 45.41% (-1.10b / -2.43b)
NOPAT = 7.09b (EBIT 12.99b * (1 - 45.41%))
Current Ratio = 1.86 (Total Current Assets 49.99b / Total Current Liabilities 26.81b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 73.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 118.71b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.95 (Net Debt 50.94b / EBITDA 17.26b)
Debt / FCF = 3.73 (Net Debt 50.94b / FCF TTM 13.65b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 120.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.41% (Net Income 6.63b / Total Assets 274.96b)
RoE = 5.49% (Net Income TTM 6.63b / Total Stockholder Equity 120.83b)
RoCE = 7.21% (EBIT 12.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 120.83b + L.T.Debt 59.35b))
RoIC = 3.64% (NOPAT 7.09b / Invested Capital 194.99b)
WACC = 5.02% (E(122.78b)/V(196.25b) * Re(7.05%) + D(73.47b)/V(196.25b) * Rd(2.98%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.34%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.64% ; FCFE base≈9.67b ; Y1≈7.02b ; Y5≈3.92b
Fair Price DCF = 37.81 (DCF Value 74.70b / Shares Outstanding 1.98b; 5y FCF grow -32.36% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -11.13 | EPS CAGR: -40.86% | SUE: -0.51 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 68.12 | Revenue CAGR: 9.00% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EBR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle