(EC) Ecopetrol - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Refined Products, Electricity, Petrochemicals
EC EPS (Earnings per Share)
EC Revenue
Description: EC Ecopetrol
Ecopetrol SA ADR (NYSE:EC) is a Colombian integrated energy company with a diversified portfolio across exploration and production, transport and logistics, refining and petrochemicals, and electric power transmission. The companys operations span across multiple regions, including Colombia, South America, Asia, the United States, Central America, the Caribbean, and Europe.
From a business perspective, Ecopetrols Exploration and Production segment is a key driver, engaging in oil and gas exploration and production. The companys Refining and Petrochemicals segment also plays a significant role, with two major refineries in Barrancabermeja and Cartagena. Additionally, Ecopetrols Transport and Logistics segment provides a vital service, transporting crude oil and refined products across the region.
To further analyze Ecopetrols performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, dividend yield, and debt-to-equity ratio. With a market capitalization of $18.2 billion, Ecopetrols P/E ratio of 5.72 and forward P/E of 6.90 indicate a relatively undervalued stock. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 15.53% is also noteworthy, suggesting a strong ability to generate profits from shareholder equity.
Other relevant KPIs for Ecopetrol include its enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio, which can help assess the companys valuation relative to its earnings. Additionally, the companys dividend payout ratio and coverage ratio can provide insights into its dividend sustainability. With a diversified business model and presence in multiple regions, Ecopetrol is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the energy sector.
EC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 18,770m |
| Sub-Industry | Integrated Oil & Gas |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-08-27 |
EC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 70.1% |
| Fundamental | 58.2% |
| Dividend Rating | 64.1% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -0.66% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.55 of 5 |
EC Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 17.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 28.31% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 11.94% |
| Payout Consistency | 51.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 0.2% |
EC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 29.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 78.8% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 55.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 16.94% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.44 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 1.82 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.71 |
| Alpha | 0.16 |
| Beta | 0.718 |
| Volatility | 29.85% |
| Current Volume | 1706.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1635.9k |
| Stop Loss | 9 (-3.4%) |
| Signal | 0.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (12485.00b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 7825.98b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.17% (prev 15.47%; Δ -1.30pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 33300.20b > Net Income 12485.00b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (110141.00b) to EBITDA (45325.52b) ratio: 2.43 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.45 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.06b) change vs 12m ago -0.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.90% (prev 35.29%; Δ -0.39pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.91% (prev 45.70%; Δ -0.79pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.89 (EBITDA TTM 45325.52b / Interest Expense TTM 9842.69b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.88
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 59170.00b - Total Current Liabilities 40689.00b) / Total Assets 294610.00b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 34852.89b / Total Assets 294610.00b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 28471.45b / Avg Total Assets 290458.84b |
| (D) 0.41 = Book Value of Equity 77089.20b / Total Liabilities 189029.00b |
| Total Rating: 1.88 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.20
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.11% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.25% = 3.81 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.52 = 1.45 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.65 = -1.23 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.37)% = 2.97 |
| 7. RoE 14.69% = 1.22 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -81.82% = -6.14 |
| 9. EPS Trend 2.21% = 0.11 |
What is the price of EC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.27%, over one month by +5.31%, over three months by +2.81% and over the past year by +17.75%.
Is Ecopetrol a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of EC is around 10.95 USD . This means that EC is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +17.49% (Margin of Safety).
Is EC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the EC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.4 | 0.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.4 | 0.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 12 | 28.4% |
Last update: 2025-09-10 04:36
EC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 14340.00b COP (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 6.6159
P/E Forward = 5.6338
P/S = 0.0001
P/B = 0.9524
P/EG = 0.3
Beta = 0.344
Revenue TTM = 130433.00b COP
EBIT TTM = 28471.45b COP
EBITDA TTM = 45325.52b COP
Long Term Debt = 104619.00b COP (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15640.00b COP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 120259.00b COP (Calculated: Short Term 15640.00b + Long Term 104619.00b)
Net Debt = 110141.00b COP (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 179110.99b COP (73191.99b + Debt 120259.00b - CCE 14340.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.89 (Ebit TTM 28471.45b / Interest Expense TTM 9842.69b)
FCF Yield = 11.11% (FCF TTM 19895.72b / Enterprise Value 179110.99b)
FCF Margin = 15.25% (FCF TTM 19895.72b / Revenue TTM 130433.00b)
Net Margin = 9.57% (Net Income TTM 12485.00b / Revenue TTM 130433.00b)
Gross Margin = 34.90% ((Revenue TTM 130433.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 84915.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.32 (Enterprise Value 179110.99b / Book Value Of Equity 77089.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.18% (Interest Expense 9842.69b / Debt 120259.00b)
Taxrate = 39.76% (12208.54b / 30707.42b)
NOPAT = 17151.88b (EBIT 28471.45b * (1 - 39.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.45 (Total Current Assets 59170.00b / Total Current Liabilities 40689.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.52 (Debt 120259.00b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 79225.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.65 (Net Debt 110141.00b / EBITDA 45325.52b)
Debt / FCF = 6.04 (Debt 120259.00b / FCF TTM 19895.72b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 84976.54b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 4.24% (Net Income 12485.00b, Total Assets 294610.00b )
RoE = 14.69% (Net Income TTM 12485.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 84976.54b)
RoCE = 15.02% (Ebit 28471.45b / (Equity 84976.54b + L.T.Debt 104619.00b))
RoIC = 8.72% (NOPAT 17151.88b / Invested Capital 196805.92b)
WACC = 6.34% (E(73191.99b)/V(193450.99b) * Re(8.66%)) + (D(120259.00b)/V(193450.99b) * Rd(8.18%) * (1-Tc(0.40)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 14.85 | Cagr: 0.00%
Discount Rate = 8.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.71% ; FCFE base≈17165.80b ; Y1≈11270.15b ; Y5≈5153.89b
Fair Price DCF = 44.5k (DCF Value 91437.51b / Shares Outstanding 2.06b; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 2.21 | EPS CAGR: 1093 % | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -81.82 | Revenue CAGR: -12.94% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle