(EC) Ecopetrol - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Colombia •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US2791581091
Stock:
Total Rating 52
Risk 80
Buy Signal -0.23
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.06 |
| Alpha | 29.73 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.233 |
| Beta Downside | 1.440 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.63 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: EC Ecopetrol
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. It operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining and Petrochemicals; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas. The Transport and Logistics segment is involved in the transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels. The Refining and Petrochemicals segment refines and processes crude oil at the Barrancabermeja and Cartagena refineries; and distributes natural gas and LPG. The Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions segment supplies electric power transmission and information technology and telecommunications services, as well as designs, develops, constructs, operates, and maintains road and energy infrastructure projects. The company operates in Colombia, rest of South America and others, Asia, the United States, Central America and the Caribbean, and Europe. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 11399.00b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 16.44% < 20% (prev 19.13%; Δ -2.69% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 31101.19b > Net Income 11399.00b |
| Net Debt (103906.00b) to EBITDA (43123.76b): 2.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.53 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.06b) vs 12m ago 0.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.64% > 18% (prev 0.33%; Δ 3430 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 42.99% > 50% (prev 44.52%; Δ -1.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.79 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 43123.76b / Interest Expense TTM 4570.34b) |
Altman Z'' 1.93
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 59770.00b - Total Current Liabilities 39110.00b) / Total Assets 291872.00b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 39228.00b / Total Assets 291872.00b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 26466.45b / Avg Total Assets 292291.65b) |
| D: 0.40 (Book Value of Equity 74106.00b / Total Liabilities 184862.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.93 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.67
| DSRI: 1.61 (Receivables 31471.00b/20255.96b, Revenue 125666.00b/130316.96b) |
| GMI: 0.97 (GM 34.64% / 33.46%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 125666.00b / 130316.96b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 11399.00b - CFO 31101.19b) / TA 291872.00b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.67 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of EC shares?
As of February 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.67 with a total of 3,292,301 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.03%, over one month by +1.36%, over three months by +31.98% and over the past year by +43.13%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.03%, over one month by +1.36%, over three months by +31.98% and over the past year by +43.13%.
Is EC a buy, sell or hold?
Ecopetrol has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.55.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold EC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 3
What are the forecasts/targets for the EC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.7 | -23.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.7 | -23.6% |
EC Fundamental Data Overview February 23, 2026
Market Cap COP = 98854.70b (26.82b USD * 3686.3201 USD.COP)
P/E Trailing = 9.2593
P/E Forward = 5.6721
P/S = 0.5672
P/B = 0.9338
P/EG = 0.3
Revenue TTM = 125666.00b COP
EBIT TTM = 26466.45b COP
EBITDA TTM = 43123.76b COP
Long Term Debt = 101815.00b COP (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12455.00b COP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 114270.00b COP (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 103906.00b COP (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 207832.70b COP (98854.70b + Debt 114270.00b - CCE 5292.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.79 (Ebit TTM 26466.45b / Interest Expense TTM 4570.34b)
EV/FCF = 14.02x (Enterprise Value 207832.70b / FCF TTM 14821.44b)
FCF Yield = 7.13% (FCF TTM 14821.44b / Enterprise Value 207832.70b)
FCF Margin = 11.79% (FCF TTM 14821.44b / Revenue TTM 125666.00b)
Net Margin = 9.07% (Net Income TTM 11399.00b / Revenue TTM 125666.00b)
Gross Margin = 34.64% ((Revenue TTM 125666.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 82141.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.41% (prev 28.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 207832.70b / Total Assets 291872.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.96% (Interest Expense 2235.61b / Debt 114270.00b)
Taxrate = 31.23% (1710.00b / 5476.00b)
NOPAT = 18201.73b (EBIT 26466.45b * (1 - 31.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 59770.00b / Total Current Liabilities 39110.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.42 (Debt 114270.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 80714.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.41 (Net Debt 103906.00b / EBITDA 43123.76b)
Debt / FCF = 7.01 (Net Debt 103906.00b / FCF TTM 14821.44b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 85586.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.90% (Net Income 11399.00b / Total Assets 291872.00b)
RoE = 13.32% (Net Income TTM 11399.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 85586.47b)
RoCE = 14.12% (EBIT 26466.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 85586.47b + L.T.Debt 101815.00b))
RoIC = 9.28% (NOPAT 18201.73b / Invested Capital 196198.61b)
WACC = 3.86% (E(98854.70b)/V(213124.70b) * Re(6.77%) + D(114270.00b)/V(213124.70b) * Rd(1.96%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.24% ; FCFF base≈20309.62b ; Y1≈14572.62b ; Y5≈7944.03b
Fair Price DCF = 70.5k (EV 248761.82b - Net Debt 103906.00b = Equity 144855.82b / Shares 2.06b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -33.24% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -28.48 | EPS CAGR: -94.86% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.89 | Revenue CAGR: -1.65% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.078 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-6.3% | Growth Revenue=-6.5%
P/E Trailing = 9.2593
P/E Forward = 5.6721
P/S = 0.5672
P/B = 0.9338
P/EG = 0.3
Revenue TTM = 125666.00b COP
EBIT TTM = 26466.45b COP
EBITDA TTM = 43123.76b COP
Long Term Debt = 101815.00b COP (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12455.00b COP (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 114270.00b COP (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 103906.00b COP (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 207832.70b COP (98854.70b + Debt 114270.00b - CCE 5292.00b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.79 (Ebit TTM 26466.45b / Interest Expense TTM 4570.34b)
EV/FCF = 14.02x (Enterprise Value 207832.70b / FCF TTM 14821.44b)
FCF Yield = 7.13% (FCF TTM 14821.44b / Enterprise Value 207832.70b)
FCF Margin = 11.79% (FCF TTM 14821.44b / Revenue TTM 125666.00b)
Net Margin = 9.07% (Net Income TTM 11399.00b / Revenue TTM 125666.00b)
Gross Margin = 34.64% ((Revenue TTM 125666.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 82141.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.41% (prev 28.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 207832.70b / Total Assets 291872.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.96% (Interest Expense 2235.61b / Debt 114270.00b)
Taxrate = 31.23% (1710.00b / 5476.00b)
NOPAT = 18201.73b (EBIT 26466.45b * (1 - 31.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.53 (Total Current Assets 59770.00b / Total Current Liabilities 39110.00b)
Debt / Equity = 1.42 (Debt 114270.00b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 80714.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.41 (Net Debt 103906.00b / EBITDA 43123.76b)
Debt / FCF = 7.01 (Net Debt 103906.00b / FCF TTM 14821.44b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 85586.47b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.90% (Net Income 11399.00b / Total Assets 291872.00b)
RoE = 13.32% (Net Income TTM 11399.00b / Total Stockholder Equity 85586.47b)
RoCE = 14.12% (EBIT 26466.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 85586.47b + L.T.Debt 101815.00b))
RoIC = 9.28% (NOPAT 18201.73b / Invested Capital 196198.61b)
WACC = 3.86% (E(98854.70b)/V(213124.70b) * Re(6.77%) + D(114270.00b)/V(213124.70b) * Rd(1.96%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.24% ; FCFF base≈20309.62b ; Y1≈14572.62b ; Y5≈7944.03b
Fair Price DCF = 70.5k (EV 248761.82b - Net Debt 103906.00b = Equity 144855.82b / Shares 2.06b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -33.24% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -28.48 | EPS CAGR: -94.86% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -56.89 | Revenue CAGR: -1.65% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.17 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.078 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=-6.3% | Growth Revenue=-6.5%