(EDU) New Oriental Education - Ratings and Ratios
Test Preparation, Online Courses, Tutoring, Study Consulting, Educational Materials
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.07% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.03 |
| Alpha | -16.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.470 |
| Beta | 0.619 |
| Beta Downside | 0.642 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.79% |
| Mean DD | 23.38% |
| Median DD | 18.04% |
Description: EDU New Oriental Education November 04, 2025
New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. (NYSE: EDU) delivers private K-12 and test-preparation services under the New Oriental brand across mainland China, operating through four distinct segments: (1) Educational Services and Test-Preparation Courses, (2) Private-Label Products and Livestream-E-Commerce, (3) Overseas-Study Consulting, and (4) Educational Materials and Distribution.
The firm’s core offerings include language-exam prep (TOEFL, IELTS, GRE, SAT), non-academic tutoring, and a suite of digital learning tools delivered via its Koolearn.com platform and in-store learning centers. It also provides overseas-study advisory services and publishes proprietary textbooks and practice materials for both domestic and international curricula.
Recent data (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $1.5 billion, with a 12% YoY decline driven largely by China’s tighter regulations on for-profit tutoring and a 6% drop in enrollment among 9-12-year-olds-a demographic segment that historically contributed ~45% of total sales. The company is pivoting toward “smart learning” hardware and livestream e-commerce, which together accounted for ~15% of FY 2023 revenue and are expected to grow at double-digit rates as Chinese parents increase spending on digital education tools. Moreover, the broader education services sector is sensitive to macro-economic factors such as household disposable income trends and government policy cycles, which can cause abrupt demand shifts. For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides up-to-date metrics and scenario analyses for EDU.
EDU Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,909m |
| Sub-Industry | Education Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-09-07 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -18.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.13 of 5 |
EDU Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.35% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 22.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 18.5% |
EDU Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 26.45% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.47 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.13 |
| Current Volume | 1314.4k |
| Average Volume | 933.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (367.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 299.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.12 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.16pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 42.08% (prev 54.33%; Δ -12.25pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.11b > Net Income 367.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-666.3m) to EBITDA (615.2m) ratio: -1.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.65 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (159.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.64% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.14% (prev 52.82%; Δ 2.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 63.45% (prev 60.30%; Δ 3.14pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 794.3 (EBITDA TTM 615.2m / Interest Expense TTM 311.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.26
| (A) 0.26 = (Total Current Assets 5.31b - Total Current Liabilities 3.21b) / Total Assets 8.01b |
| (B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.77b / Total Assets 8.01b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 247.0m / Avg Total Assets 7.86b |
| (D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 2.19b / Total Liabilities 3.75b |
| Total Rating: 3.26 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 75.97
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 20.58% |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.04% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.20 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.08 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.84)% |
| 7. RoE 9.80% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 84.85% |
| 9. EPS Trend 66.85% |
What is the price of EDU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.41%, over one month by -10.77%, over three months by +10.25% and over the past year by -8.76%.
Is EDU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the EDU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 64.5 | 26% |
| Analysts Target Price | 64.5 | 26% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 52.7 | 2.9% |
EDU Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.2348
P/E Forward = 14.4509
P/S = 1.7862
P/B = 2.1182
P/EG = 1.0107
Beta = 0.306
Revenue TTM = 4.99b USD
EBIT TTM = 247.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 615.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 14.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 260.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 784.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -666.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.86b USD (8.91b + Debt 784.1m - CCE 4.84b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 794.3 (Ebit TTM 247.0m / Interest Expense TTM 311.0k)
FCF Yield = 20.58% (FCF TTM 999.4m / Enterprise Value 4.86b)
FCF Margin = 20.04% (FCF TTM 999.4m / Revenue TTM 4.99b)
Net Margin = 7.37% (Net Income TTM 367.5m / Revenue TTM 4.99b)
Gross Margin = 55.14% ((Revenue TTM 4.99b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.12% (prev 54.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 4.86b / Total Assets 8.01b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 311.0k / Debt 784.1m)
Taxrate = 27.00% (91.7m / 339.7m)
NOPAT = 180.3m (EBIT 247.0m * (1 - 27.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.65 (Total Current Assets 5.31b / Total Current Liabilities 3.21b)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 784.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.08 (Net Debt -666.3m / EBITDA 615.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.67 (Net Debt -666.3m / FCF TTM 999.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.75b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.59% (Net Income 367.5m / Total Assets 8.01b)
RoE = 9.80% (Net Income TTM 367.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.75b)
RoCE = 6.56% (EBIT 247.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.75b + L.T.Debt 14.4m))
RoIC = 4.79% (NOPAT 180.3m / Invested Capital 3.76b)
WACC = 7.63% (E(8.91b)/V(9.69b) * Re(8.30%) + D(784.1m)/V(9.69b) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.30% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.32% ; FCFE base≈855.8m ; Y1≈561.9m ; Y5≈257.0m
Fair Price DCF = 30.38 (DCF Value 4.84b / Shares Outstanding 159.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.85 | EPS CAGR: 534.6% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 84.85 | Revenue CAGR: 37.20% | SUE: 0.14 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for EDU Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle