(EGY) Vaalco Energy - Overview
Stock: Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 6.87% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 24.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 6.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.65% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 8.71 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.051 |
| Beta Downside | 1.331 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.56% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.12 |
Description: EGY Vaalco Energy December 28, 2025
VAALCO Energy Inc. (NYSE:EGY) is an independent upstream company focused on acquiring, exploring, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs across a diversified geographic footprint that includes offshore Gabon, Egypt, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, and onshore Canada. The firm holds a 58.8% stake in the Etame production sharing contract (≈46,200 gross acres offshore Gabon) and 100% interests in Egypt’s Eastern and Western Desert concessions (≈52,400 gross acres combined). Additional assets comprise a 27.4% non-operated interest in the deep-water Baobab field (Block CI-40, Côte d’Ivoire), Cardium light-oil and Mannville liquids-rich gas acreage near Calgary (≈78,000 gross acres), and a 60% working interest in an undeveloped offshore block in Equatorial Guinea.
As of 2023, VAALCO produced roughly 22,000 boe/d, generating $210 million of operating cash flow and maintaining a net debt of about $250 million, yielding a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.0×. The company’s cash-flow profile is heavily weighted toward its West African assets, which are sensitive to OPEC+ production decisions and regional political stability. In the Canadian segment, the Cardium-Mannville portfolio benefits from lower-cost, light-oil operations that have historically outperformed the broader E&P sector when oil prices stay above $80/bbl. A key sector driver is the ongoing shift toward higher-margin liquids, making VAALCO’s balanced oil-and-gas mix a potential hedge against prolonged gas-price weakness.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular, up-to-date dashboard on EGY’s financial and operational metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 28.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.88 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.78% < 20% (prev 11.96%; Δ -10.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 112.0m > Net Income 28.5m |
| Net Debt (123.8m) to EBITDA (189.0m): 0.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (104.3m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 33.81% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 3331 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 44.68% > 50% (prev 54.00%; Δ -9.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.99 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 189.0m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m) |
Altman Z'' 1.79
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 173.7m - Total Current Liabilities 166.2m) / Total Assets 950.4m |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 207.2m / Total Assets 950.4m) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 72.8m / Avg Total Assets 944.2m) |
| D: 0.49 (Book Value of Equity 217.6m / Total Liabilities 444.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.79 = BBB |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 1.12 (Receivables 118.9m/127.6m, Revenue 421.8m/506.4m) |
| GMI: 1.47 (GM 33.81% / 49.60%) |
| AQI: 0.78 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 421.8m / 506.4m) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 28.5m - CFO 112.0m) / TA 950.4m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of EGY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.62%, over one month by +34.07%, over three months by +24.41% and over the past year by +21.14%.
Is EGY a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EGY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 8.2 | 69% |
| Analysts Target Price | 8.2 | 69% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.3 | 9.5% |
EGY Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.6103
P/S = 1.3742
P/B = 1.0655
P/EG = 2.62
Revenue TTM = 421.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 72.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 189.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 60.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 147.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 123.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 659.7m USD (535.9m + Debt 147.7m - CCE 24.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.99 (Ebit TTM 72.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.29m)
EV/FCF = 29.64x (Enterprise Value 659.7m / FCF TTM 22.3m)
FCF Yield = 3.37% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Enterprise Value 659.7m)
FCF Margin = 5.28% (FCF TTM 22.3m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Net Margin = 6.75% (Net Income TTM 28.5m / Revenue TTM 421.8m)
Gross Margin = 33.81% ((Revenue TTM 421.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 279.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.04% (prev 21.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 659.7m / Total Assets 950.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 2.33m / Debt 147.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 57.5m (EBIT 72.8m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 173.7m / Total Current Liabilities 166.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 147.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 505.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.65 (Net Debt 123.8m / EBITDA 189.0m)
Debt / FCF = 5.56 (Net Debt 123.8m / FCF TTM 22.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 505.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.01% (Net Income 28.5m / Total Assets 950.4m)
RoE = 5.63% (Net Income TTM 28.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 505.8m)
RoCE = 12.87% (EBIT 72.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 505.8m + L.T.Debt 60.0m))
RoIC = 10.74% (NOPAT 57.5m / Invested Capital 535.8m)
WACC = 7.94% (E(535.9m)/V(683.6m) * Re(9.79%) + D(147.7m)/V(683.6m) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.35%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.48% ; FCFF base≈29.2m ; Y1≈19.2m ; Y5≈8.74m
Fair Price DCF = 0.47 (EV 172.7m - Net Debt 123.8m = Equity 48.9m / Shares 104.3m; r=7.94% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -66.54 | EPS CAGR: -32.24% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 23.30 | Revenue CAGR: -1.76% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.61 | Chg30d=+0.265 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-21.1% | Growth Revenue=+13.9%