ELF Stock Analysis: ELF Beauty | NYSE

Household & Personal Products | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 5.090m USD | 12M Return: -16.4% | US26856L1035 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Eye Makeup, Lip Makeup, Face Makeup, Skin Care
Total Rating 55
Safety 78
Buy Signal 0.46
Household & Personal Products
Industry Rotation: -6.1
Market Cap: 5.09B
Avg Turnover: 182M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility65.2%
VaR 5th Pctl10.8%
VaR vs Median0.48%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.05
Rel. Str. IBD74.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group80.6
Character TTM
Beta1.774
Beta Downside1.392
Hurst Exponent0.473
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD77.26%
CAGR/Max DD-0.15
CAGR/Mean DD-0.28
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ELF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.27, "2021-09": 0.21, "2021-12": 0.24, "2022-03": 0.13, "2022-06": 0.39, "2022-09": 0.36, "2022-12": 0.48, "2023-03": 0.42, "2023-06": 1.1, "2023-09": 0.82, "2023-12": 0.74, "2024-03": 0.53, "2024-06": 1.1, "2024-09": 0.77, "2024-12": 0.74, "2025-03": 0.78, "2025-06": 0.89, "2025-09": 0.3, "2025-12": 1.24, "2026-03": 0.32, "2026-06": 1.48,
EPS CAGR: 0.26%
EPS Trend: 3.2%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of ELF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 97.047, 2021-09: 91.855, 2021-12: 98.118, 2022-03: 105.135, 2022-06: 122.601, 2022-09: 122.349, 2022-12: 146.537, 2023-03: 187.357, 2023-06: 216.339, 2023-09: 215.507, 2023-12: 270.943, 2024-03: 321.143, 2024-06: 324.477, 2024-09: 301.075, 2024-12: 355.32, 2025-03: 332.645, 2025-06: 353.739, 2025-09: 343.936, 2025-12: 489.505, 2026-03: 449.292, 2026-06: 479.373,
Rev. CAGR: 29.94%
Rev. Trend: 96.8%
Last SUE: 2.73
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

P/E Ratio 196.3
Fakeout

Tailwinds

Pead

Seasonality 9.9 years of data

Jan -2.4% 33
Feb +1.6% 9
Mar +0.3% 8
Apr +1.2% 20
May +4.4% 9
Jun +11.0% 25
Jul +0.4% 8
Aug +6.0% 50
Sep -4.0% 23
Oct -5.9% 23
Nov +10.9% 37
Dec +1.9% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ELF ELF Beauty

e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. is a U.S.-based mass-market beauty company that designs, markets, and distributes cosmetics and skin care products globally. Its portfolio spans eye, lip, face, and skin care items sold under the e.l.f. Cosmetics, e.l.f. Skin, Well People, Naturium, and Rhode brands, reaching customers through both national and international retailers and its own e-commerce platforms.

The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Oakland, California, originally operating as J.A. Cosmetics Holdings, Inc. before adopting its current name in April 2016. It trades on the NYSE under the ticker ELF and is classified within the Personal Care Products sub-industry of the broader Consumer Staples sector, reflecting its positioning in everyday, repeat-purchase personal care goods.

Its business model combines a multi-brand portfolio strategy with a hybrid distribution approach, balancing mass-market retail shelf presence with direct-to-consumer digital sales-an approach common among modern personal care companies seeking both scale and consumer data capture.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Rhode acquisition accelerates premium skincare revenue growth
  • China tariff exposure pressures product gross margins
  • Affordable pricing captures market share from prestige beauty brands
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 59.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.12 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.63% < 20% (prev 31.11%; Δ -1.48% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 296.9m > Net Income 59.6m
Net Debt (655.0m) to EBITDA (264.4m): 2.48 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.55 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (59.7m) vs 12m ago 3.56% < -2%
Gross Margin: 74.44% > 18% (prev 70.67%; Δ 3.77% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 93.34% > 50% (prev 102.1%; Δ -8.78% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.03 > 6 (EBIT TTM 185.0m / Interest Expense TTM 46.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.88
A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 859.8m - Total Current Liabilities 337.7m) / Total Assets 2.46b
B: -0.04 (Retained Earnings -89.3m / Total Assets 2.46b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 185.0m / Avg Total Assets 1.89b)
D: 0.90 (Book Value of Equity 1.17b / Total Liabilities 1.29b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.88 = A
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 0.77 (Receivables 174.5m/173.4m, Revenue 1.76b/1.34b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 70.67% / 74.44%)
AQI: 1.24 (AQ_t 0.63 / AQ_t-1 0.51)
SGI: 1.31 (Revenue 1.76b / 1.34b)
TATA: -0.10 (NI 59.6m - CFO 296.9m) / TA 2.46b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of ELF shares?

As of August 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 92.31 with a total of 5,694,816 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.22%, over one month by +25.61%, over three months by +50.27% and over the past year by -16.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 86.80 (which is 6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ELF a buy, sell or hold?

ELF Beauty has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.24. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ELF.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ELF price?
Analysts Target Price 82.1 -11%
ELF Beauty (ELF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.09b (5.09b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 196.2955
P/E Forward = 25.1256
P/S = 18.9682
P/B = 4.3212
P/EG = 1.3707
Revenue TTM = 1.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 185.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 264.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 809.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 999.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 77.6m
Net Debt = 655.0m USD (calculated: Debt 999.2m - CCE 344.2m)
Enterprise Value = 5.75b USD (5.09b + Debt 999.2m - CCE 344.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.03 (Ebit TTM 185.0m / Interest Expense TTM 46.0m)
EV/FCF = 20.51x (Enterprise Value 5.75b / FCF TTM 280.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.88% (FCF TTM 280.2m / Enterprise Value 5.75b)
FCF Margin = 15.90% (FCF TTM 280.2m / Revenue TTM 1.76b)
Net Margin = 3.38% (Net Income TTM 59.6m / Revenue TTM 1.76b)
Gross Margin = 74.44% ((Revenue TTM 1.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 450.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 83.20% (prev 72.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.33 (Enterprise Value 5.75b / Total Assets 2.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.60% (Interest Expense 46.0m / Debt 999.2m)
Taxrate = 34.95% (14.1m / 40.5m)
NOPAT = 120.3m (EBIT 185.0m * (1 - 34.95%))
Current Ratio = 2.55 (Total Current Assets 859.8m / Total Current Liabilities 337.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.85 (Debt 999.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.17b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.48 (Net Debt 655.0m / EBITDA 264.4m)
Debt / FCF = 2.34 (Net Debt 655.0m / FCF TTM 280.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.16% (Net Income 59.6m / Total Assets 2.46b)
RoE = 5.18% (Net Income TTM 59.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.15b)
RoCE = 9.44% (EBIT 185.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.15b + L.T.Debt 809.3m))
RoIC = 5.83% (NOPAT 120.3m / Invested Capital 2.06b)
WACC = 10.71% (E(5.09b)/V(6.09b) * Re(12.22%) + D(999.2m)/V(6.09b) * Rd(4.60%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 12.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 70.26 | Cagr: 0.94%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.74% ; FCFF base≈222.1m ; Y1≈254.6m ; Y5≈374.7m
[DCF] Fair Price = 56.39 (EV 3.98b - Net Debt 655.0m = Equity 3.32b / Shares 58.9m; r=10.71% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 3.19 | EPS CAGR: 0.26% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.84 | Revenue CAGR: 29.94% | SUE: 2.73 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.69 | Chg30d=+1.56% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=+0.96% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=+0.94% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+6.4% | GrowthRev=+13.9%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=3.69 | Chg30d=+1.01% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+10.8% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +32% (up=13, down=6)