(EME) EMCOR - Overview
Stock: Electrical, Mechanical, Facilities, Industrial, Construction
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.22% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.22% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 6.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.31 |
| Alpha | 48.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.330 |
| Beta Downside | 1.144 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.07 |
Description: EME EMCOR December 17, 2025
EMCOR Group, Inc. (NYSE: EME) is a diversified construction and facilities-services firm operating in the United States and the United Kingdom. Its portfolio spans the full lifecycle of electrical and mechanical systems-from design, integration, and installation to startup, operation, and long-term maintenance-covering power transmission, lighting, HVAC, fire protection, water treatment, and a wide array of specialty services such as refinery turnarounds, steel fabrication, and renewable-energy projects.
Key data points that shape EME’s outlook include: (1) FY 2023 revenue of roughly $7.2 billion, with an operating margin hovering near 5 %-a modest but stable profitability profile for a low-margin construction business; (2) a backlog of approximately $4 billion, indicating near-term demand continuity, especially as federal infrastructure spending and the U.K.’s “Build-Back-Better” initiatives boost public-sector contracts; and (3) exposure to secular trends such as the shift toward energy-efficiency retrofits and the growing need for renewable-energy infrastructure, which together drive higher-margin service opportunities.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful for benchmarking EME’s valuation metrics against peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 1.13b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.41% < 20% (prev 7.60%; Δ -2.19% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.25b > Net Income 1.13b |
| Net Debt (-230.5m) to EBITDA (1.74b): -0.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.0m) vs 12m ago -3.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.39% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1920 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 203.5% > 50% (prev 194.4%; Δ 9.10% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 483.5 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.74b / Interest Expense TTM 3.24m) |
Altman Z'' 5.18
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 5.46b - Total Current Liabilities 4.58b) / Total Assets 8.64b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 5.58b / Total Assets 8.64b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 1.57b / Avg Total Assets 7.98b) |
| D: 1.04 (Book Value of Equity 5.51b / Total Liabilities 5.30b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.18 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.84
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 4.42b/3.81b, Revenue 16.24b/14.24b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 19.39% / 18.45%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.24) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 16.24b / 14.24b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 1.13b - CFO 1.25b) / TA 8.64b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of EME shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.05%, over one month by +16.60%, over three months by +16.99% and over the past year by +63.95%.
Is EME a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the EME price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 772 | 1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 772 | 1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1284.2 | 68% |
EME Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.2718
P/S = 2.1065
P/B = 9.6323
P/EG = 1.32
Revenue TTM = 16.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.57b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.90m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 95.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 424.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -230.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 33.99b USD (34.22b + Debt 424.6m - CCE 655.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 483.5 (Ebit TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 3.24m)
EV/FCF = 29.59x (Enterprise Value 33.99b / FCF TTM 1.15b)
FCF Yield = 3.38% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Enterprise Value 33.99b)
FCF Margin = 7.07% (FCF TTM 1.15b / Revenue TTM 16.24b)
Net Margin = 6.96% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Revenue TTM 16.24b)
Gross Margin = 19.39% ((Revenue TTM 16.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.09b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.42% (prev 19.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.93 (Enterprise Value 33.99b / Total Assets 8.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.76% (Interest Expense 3.24m / Debt 424.6m)
Taxrate = 27.53% (112.2m / 407.6m)
NOPAT = 1.14b (EBIT 1.57b * (1 - 27.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 5.46b / Total Current Liabilities 4.58b)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 424.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.34b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.13 (Net Debt -230.5m / EBITDA 1.74b)
Debt / FCF = -0.20 (Net Debt -230.5m / FCF TTM 1.15b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.07b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.16% (Net Income 1.13b / Total Assets 8.64b)
RoE = 36.84% (Net Income TTM 1.13b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.07b)
RoCE = 50.98% (EBIT 1.57b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.07b + L.T.Debt 3.90m))
RoIC = 35.54% (NOPAT 1.14b / Invested Capital 3.19b)
WACC = 10.68% (E(34.22b)/V(34.64b) * Re(10.81%) + D(424.6m)/V(34.64b) * Rd(0.76%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 10.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.50%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.05% ; FCFF base≈1.20b ; Y1≈1.48b ; Y5≈2.53b
Fair Price DCF = 619.8 (EV 27.51b - Net Debt -230.5m = Equity 27.75b / Shares 44.8m; r=10.68% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 91.11 | EPS CAGR: 39.41% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.96 | Revenue CAGR: 13.90% | SUE: 0.21 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=5.80 | Chg30d=+0.006 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=27.74 | Chg30d=-0.025 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%