(FOUR) Shift4 Payments - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Infrastructure | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 4.286m USD | Total Return: -51.9% in 12m

Payment Processing, POS Systems, E-commerce Software, Business Intelligence
Total Rating 26
Safety 56
Buy Signal -0.08
Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +19.6
Market Cap: 4.29B
Avg Turnover: 61.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility50.4%
VaR 5th Pctl7.88%
VaR vs Median-6.24%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Rel. Str. IBD4.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group6.3
Character TTM
Beta1.708
Beta Downside1.750
Hurst Exponent0.352
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.95%
CAGR/Max DD-0.18
CAGR/Mean DD-0.51
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of FOUR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": -0.13, "2021-06": 0.22, "2021-09": 0.26, "2021-12": 0.08, "2022-03": 0.15, "2022-06": 0.33, "2022-09": 0.44, "2022-12": 0.47, "2023-03": 0.51, "2023-06": 0.74, "2023-09": 0.82, "2023-12": 0.76, "2024-03": 0.54, "2024-06": 0.96, "2024-09": 1.04, "2024-12": 1.35, "2025-03": 1.07, "2025-06": 1.1, "2025-09": 0.17, "2025-12": 1.6, "2026-03": 0.97,
EPS CAGR: 24.59%
EPS Trend: 86.4%
Last SUE: -0.79
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of FOUR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 239.3, 2021-06: 351, 2021-09: 377.8, 2021-12: 399.4, 2022-03: 401.9, 2022-06: 506.7, 2022-09: 547.3, 2022-12: 537.7, 2023-03: 547, 2023-06: 637, 2023-09: 675.4, 2023-12: 705.4, 2024-03: 707.4, 2024-06: 827, 2024-09: 909.2, 2024-12: 887, 2025-03: 848.3, 2025-06: 966.2, 2025-09: 1176.9, 2025-12: 1189, 2026-03: 1121,
Rev. CAGR: 27.38%
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Last SUE: 0.78
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' 0.51 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: FOUR Shift4 Payments

Shift4 Payments Inc. (FOUR) is a global provider of integrated payment processing and technology solutions. The company operates a proprietary ecosystem that facilitates omnichannel card acceptance across credit, debit, mobile wallets, and alternative payment methods. Its technology stack includes the SkyTab point-of-sale (POS) suite, the Lighthouse business intelligence platform, and Shift4Shop, an e-commerce management tool. Shift4 serves diverse sectors including hospitality, leisure, and retail through a distribution network of independent software vendors and internal sales teams.

The company utilizes a merchant-acquiring business model, generating revenue primarily through transaction-based fees and subscription software charges. In the competitive data processing sector, integrated payment providers often achieve higher retention by embedding their hardware and software directly into a merchants operational workflow. This vertical integration allows Shift4 to capture a larger portion of the payment value chain compared to standalone processors.

For a more detailed analysis of the companys competitive positioning and valuation, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay. Shift4 continues to scale its international footprint and expand its presence in high-volume venues and stadium environments.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • End-to-end payment volume growth in stadium and entertainment venues
  • International expansion into European and African markets through strategic acquisitions
  • Profit margin sensitivity to shifts between legacy and high-growth merchant categories
  • Integration of SkyTab POS ecosystem increases recurring software and processing revenue
  • Interest rate fluctuations impact consumer discretionary spending in hospitality and travel sectors
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: 102.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.42% < 20% (prev 14.05%; Δ -5.63% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 671.7m > Net Income 102.1m
Net Debt (3.41b) to EBITDA (862.4m): 3.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.22 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (73.6m) vs 12m ago -18.81% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.11% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 3.48k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 64.72% > 50% (prev 69.38%; Δ -4.66% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.68 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 862.4m / Interest Expense TTM 226.2m)
Altman Z'' 0.51
A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 2.06b - Total Current Liabilities 1.69b) / Total Assets 8.76b
B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -644.0m / Total Assets 8.76b)
C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 379.9m / Avg Total Assets 6.88b)
D: 0.09 (Book Value of Equity 648.0m / Total Liabilities 6.98b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.51 = B
Beneish M -2.37
DSRI: 1.64 (Receivables 694.0m/330.6m, Revenue 4.45b/3.47b)
GMI: 0.86 (GM 35.11% / 30.02%)
AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.75 / AQ_t-1 0.62)
SGI: 1.28 (Revenue 4.45b / 3.47b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 102.1m - CFO 671.7m) / TA 8.76b)
Beneish M = -2.37 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of FOUR shares?

As of May 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 44.56 with a total of 1,403,435 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.37%, over one month by -1.18%, over three months by +1.11% and over the past year by -51.87%.

Is FOUR a buy, sell or hold?

Shift4 Payments has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.35. Therefore, it is recommended to buy FOUR.

  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the FOUR price?
Analysts Target Price 60.8 36.5%
Shift4 Payments (FOUR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 26 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.29b (4.29b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 49.7012
P/E Forward = 7.7519
P/S = 0.9626
P/B = 2.0751
P/EG = 0.31
Revenue TTM = 4.45b USD
EBIT TTM = 379.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 862.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.51b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 28.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 60.0m
Net Debt = 3.41b USD (calculated: Debt 4.64b - CCE 1.23b)
Enterprise Value = 7.70b USD (4.29b + Debt 4.64b - CCE 1.23b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.68 (Ebit TTM 379.9m / Interest Expense TTM 226.2m)
EV/FCF = 11.87x (Enterprise Value 7.70b / FCF TTM 648.5m)
FCF Yield = 8.42% (FCF TTM 648.5m / Enterprise Value 7.70b)
FCF Margin = 14.56% (FCF TTM 648.5m / Revenue TTM 4.45b)
Net Margin = 2.29% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Revenue TTM 4.45b)
Gross Margin = 35.11% ((Revenue TTM 4.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.89b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.97% (prev 37.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 7.70b / Total Assets 8.76b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.87% (Interest Expense 226.2m / Debt 4.64b)
Taxrate = 24.62% (48.0m / 195.0m)
NOPAT = 286.4m (EBIT 379.9m * (1 - 24.62%))
Current Ratio = 1.22 (Total Current Assets 2.06b / Total Current Liabilities 1.69b)
Debt / Equity = 2.81 (Debt 4.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.96 (Net Debt 3.41b / EBITDA 862.4m)
Debt / FCF = 5.26 (Net Debt 3.41b / FCF TTM 648.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.59b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.48% (Net Income 102.1m / Total Assets 8.76b)
RoE = 4.57% (Net Income TTM 102.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.23b)
RoCE = 5.63% (EBIT 379.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.23b + L.T.Debt 4.51b))
RoIC = 4.06% (NOPAT 286.4m / Invested Capital 7.05b)
WACC = 7.67% (E(4.29b)/V(8.93b) * Re(11.99%) + D(4.64b)/V(8.93b) * Rd(4.87%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 11.99% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 28.89 | Cagr: 10.31%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈578.1m ; Y1≈662.7m ; Y5≈975.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 142.0 (EV 14.7b - Net Debt 3.41b = Equity 11.3b / Shares 79.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 86.41 | EPS CAGR: 24.59% | SUE: -0.79 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.85 | Revenue CAGR: 27.38% | SUE: 0.78 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=-7.29% | Revisions=-45% | Analysts=21
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.63 | Chg30d=+2.08% | Revisions=+40% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.59 | Chg30d=-0.10% | Revisions=-5% | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+21.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.66 | Chg30d=-0.88% | Revisions=+4% | GrowthEPS=+19.2% | GrowthRev=+13.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -45%