(GAP) The Gap - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Accessories, Personal Care, Athleisure
GAP EPS (Earnings per Share)
GAP Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 71.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.20% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 |
| Alpha | -6.12 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.431 |
| Beta | 1.484 |
| Beta Downside | 0.899 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.65% |
| Mean DD | 21.09% |
| Median DD | 21.55% |
Description: GAP The Gap November 04, 2025
The Gap, Inc. (NYSE:GAP) is a U.S.-based apparel retailer that markets clothing, accessories, and personal-care items for men, women, and children through its Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its distribution mix includes company-owned stores, franchised locations, e-commerce sites, third-party retailers, and licensing agreements spanning Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $16.7 billion, with Athleta delivering a 12% YoY increase in comparable sales while Old Navy’s growth slowed to 2% (reflecting broader discretionary-spending pressure). The company’s e-commerce share rose to 28% of total sales, and inventory turnover improved to 4.1×, indicating better supply-chain efficiency. Core sector drivers include consumer confidence, wage growth, and the shift toward “athleisure” and sustainable apparel, which together shape demand elasticity for Gap’s product mix.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s data platform useful for extending this initial overview.
GAP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 8,705m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-07-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -1.55% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.63 of 5 |
GAP Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.22% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 25.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.6% |
GAP Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 29.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.58 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.39 |
| Current Volume | 7076.4k |
| Average Volume | 7833.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (889.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 910.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.92pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 14.37% (prev 10.45%; Δ 3.93pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.22b > Net Income 889.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.40b) to EBITDA (1.76b) ratio: 1.93 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (379.0m) change vs 12m ago -1.04% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.09% (prev 40.91%; Δ 0.17pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 128.2% (prev 131.8%; Δ -3.61pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.76b / Interest Expense TTM 88.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.20
| (A) 0.18 = (Total Current Assets 5.38b - Total Current Liabilities 3.20b) / Total Assets 12.15b |
| (B) 0.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.33b / Total Assets 12.15b |
| (C) 0.11 = EBIT TTM 1.27b / Avg Total Assets 11.83b |
| (D) 0.39 = Book Value of Equity 3.38b / Total Liabilities 8.71b |
| Total Rating: 3.20 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.03
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.48% = 3.24 |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.07% = 1.27 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.63 = 1.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.93 = 0.14 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.47)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 27.04% = 2.25 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -13.55% = -1.02 |
| 9. EPS Trend 46.78% = 2.34 |
What is the price of GAP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.63%, over one month by +17.86%, over three months by +15.75% and over the past year by +12.14%.
Is The Gap a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of GAP is around 23.39 USD . This means that GAP is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.71%.
Is GAP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GAP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 24.9 | 2.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 24.9 | 2.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.2 | 7.7% |
GAP Fundamental Data Overview November 10, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.1121
P/E Forward = 9.2507
P/S = 0.574
P/B = 2.3497
P/EG = 1.7324
Beta = 2.278
Revenue TTM = 15.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.76b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 631.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.86b USD (8.70b + Debt 5.59b - CCE 2.43b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.41 (Ebit TTM 1.27b / Interest Expense TTM 88.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.48% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Enterprise Value 11.86b)
FCF Margin = 5.07% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Net Margin = 5.86% (Net Income TTM 889.0m / Revenue TTM 15.17b)
Gross Margin = 41.09% ((Revenue TTM 15.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.94b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.23% (prev 41.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.98 (Enterprise Value 11.86b / Total Assets 12.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.41% (Interest Expense 23.0m / Debt 5.59b)
Taxrate = 27.03% (80.0m / 296.0m)
NOPAT = 925.3m (EBIT 1.27b * (1 - 27.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.68 (Total Current Assets 5.38b / Total Current Liabilities 3.20b)
Debt / Equity = 1.63 (Debt 5.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.93 (Net Debt 3.40b / EBITDA 1.76b)
Debt / FCF = 4.42 (Net Debt 3.40b / FCF TTM 769.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.29b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.32% (Net Income 889.0m / Total Assets 12.15b)
RoE = 27.04% (Net Income TTM 889.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.29b)
RoCE = 26.53% (EBIT 1.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.29b + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 19.36% (NOPAT 925.3m / Invested Capital 4.78b)
WACC = 8.89% (E(8.70b)/V(14.30b) * Re(14.41%) + D(5.59b)/V(14.30b) * Rd(0.41%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 14.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 51.47% ; FCFE base≈933.4m ; Y1≈703.2m ; Y5≈423.4m
Fair Price DCF = 10.21 (DCF Value 3.79b / Shares Outstanding 371.0m; 5y FCF grow -29.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 46.78 | EPS CAGR: -10.38% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -13.55 | Revenue CAGR: -2.90% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GAP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle