(GAP) The Gap - Ratings and Ratios
Apparel, Accessories, Personal Care, Athleisure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 70.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Alpha | 4.15 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.574 |
| Beta | 1.481 |
| Beta Downside | 0.899 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.65% |
| Mean DD | 21.22% |
| Median DD | 21.55% |
Description: GAP The Gap November 04, 2025
The Gap, Inc. (NYSE:GAP) is a U.S.-based apparel retailer that markets clothing, accessories, and personal-care items for men, women, and children through its Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its distribution mix includes company-owned stores, franchised locations, e-commerce sites, third-party retailers, and licensing agreements spanning Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $16.7 billion, with Athleta delivering a 12% YoY increase in comparable sales while Old Navy’s growth slowed to 2% (reflecting broader discretionary-spending pressure). The company’s e-commerce share rose to 28% of total sales, and inventory turnover improved to 4.1×, indicating better supply-chain efficiency. Core sector drivers include consumer confidence, wage growth, and the shift toward “athleisure” and sustainable apparel, which together shape demand elasticity for Gap’s product mix.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s data platform useful for extending this initial overview.
GAP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 9,312m |
| Sub-Industry | Apparel Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1987-07-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -9.24% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.63 of 5 |
GAP Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.27% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.49% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 25.35% |
| Payout Consistency | 89.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 21.8% |
GAP Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 24.24% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.48 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 1.14 |
| Current Volume | 13216.1k |
| Average Volume | 7833.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (851.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 916.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.74pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 15.45% (prev 11.85%; Δ 3.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.22b > Net Income 851.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.25b) to EBITDA (1.72b) ratio: 1.90 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (380.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.01% (prev 41.27%; Δ -0.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 126.2% (prev 128.5%; Δ -2.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 17.91 (EBITDA TTM 1.72b / Interest Expense TTM 68.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.33
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 3.28b) / Total Assets 12.37b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.04b / Total Assets 12.37b |
| (C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 1.22b / Avg Total Assets 12.11b |
| (D) 0.57 = Book Value of Equity 3.12b / Total Liabilities 5.44b |
| Total Rating: 3.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 74.07
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.25% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.03% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.90 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.44)% |
| 7. RoE 24.91% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 5.83% |
| 9. EPS Trend 70.39% |
What is the price of GAP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.12%, over one month by +5.50%, over three months by +16.03% and over the past year by +2.81%.
Is GAP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GAP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27.4 | 10.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27.4 | 10.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 26.8 | 8.2% |
GAP Fundamental Data Overview November 23, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.2432
P/E Forward = 11.3507
P/S = 0.6094
P/B = 2.5394
P/EG = 2.1246
Beta = 2.278
Revenue TTM = 15.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 629.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.31b USD (9.31b + Debt 5.52b - CCE 2.52b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.91 (Ebit TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 68.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.25% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Enterprise Value 12.31b)
FCF Margin = 5.03% (FCF TTM 769.0m / Revenue TTM 15.28b)
Net Margin = 5.57% (Net Income TTM 851.0m / Revenue TTM 15.28b)
Gross Margin = 41.01% ((Revenue TTM 15.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.36% (prev 41.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 12.31b / Total Assets 12.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.05% (Interest Expense 3.00m / Debt 5.52b)
Taxrate = 29.97% (101.0m / 337.0m)
NOPAT = 853.0m (EBIT 1.22b * (1 - 29.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 3.28b)
Debt / Equity = 1.51 (Debt 5.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.90 (Net Debt 3.25b / EBITDA 1.72b)
Debt / FCF = 4.23 (Net Debt 3.25b / FCF TTM 769.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.88% (Net Income 851.0m / Total Assets 12.37b)
RoE = 24.91% (Net Income TTM 851.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.42b)
RoCE = 24.83% (EBIT 1.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.42b + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 17.66% (NOPAT 853.0m / Invested Capital 4.83b)
WACC = 7.22% (E(9.31b)/V(14.83b) * Re(11.47%) + D(5.52b)/V(14.83b) * Rd(0.05%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 11.47% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.29%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.40% ; FCFE base≈933.4m ; Y1≈703.2m ; Y5≈423.4m
Fair Price DCF = 13.35 (DCF Value 4.95b / Shares Outstanding 371.0m; 5y FCF grow -29.23% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.39 | EPS CAGR: 228.3% | SUE: 0.32 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 5.83 | Revenue CAGR: -2.64% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for GAP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle