(GAP) The Gap - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US3647601083

Apparel, Accessories, Personal Care, Athleisure

Dividends

Dividend Yield 3.02%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.70%
Yield CAGR 5y 25.35%
Payout Consistency 89.8%
Payout Ratio 29.5%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 50.0%
Value at Risk 5%th 68.4%
Relative Tail Risk -16.93%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.45
Alpha -8.15
CAGR/Max DD 0.68
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.559
Beta 1.477
Beta Downside 0.932
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 50.65%
Mean DD 20.68%
Median DD 21.39%

Description: GAP The Gap November 04, 2025

The Gap, Inc. (NYSE:GAP) is a U.S.-based apparel retailer that markets clothing, accessories, and personal-care items for men, women, and children through its Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta brands. Its distribution mix includes company-owned stores, franchised locations, e-commerce sites, third-party retailers, and licensing agreements spanning Asia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $16.7 billion, with Athleta delivering a 12% YoY increase in comparable sales while Old Navy’s growth slowed to 2% (reflecting broader discretionary-spending pressure). The company’s e-commerce share rose to 28% of total sales, and inventory turnover improved to 4.1×, indicating better supply-chain efficiency. Core sector drivers include consumer confidence, wage growth, and the shift toward “athleisure” and sustainable apparel, which together shape demand elasticity for Gap’s product mix.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s data platform useful for extending this initial overview.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (851.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 916.7m TTM)
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 15.45% (prev 11.85%; Δ 3.60pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.22b > Net Income 851.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (3.25b) to EBITDA (1.72b) ratio: 1.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (380.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.78% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 41.01% (prev 41.27%; Δ -0.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 126.2% (prev 128.5%; Δ -2.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 17.96 (EBITDA TTM 1.72b / Interest Expense TTM 68.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.28

(A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 5.64b - Total Current Liabilities 3.28b) / Total Assets 12.37b
(B) 0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.50b / Total Assets 12.37b
(C) 0.10 = EBIT TTM 1.22b / Avg Total Assets 12.11b
(D) 0.41 = Book Value of Equity 3.55b / Total Liabilities 8.72b
Total Rating: 3.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 72.12

1. Piotroski 4.50pt
2. FCF Yield 6.02%
3. FCF Margin 5.10%
4. Debt/Equity 1.51
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.89
6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.04)%
7. RoE 24.91%
8. Rev. Trend -16.48%
9. EPS Trend 66.61%

What is the price of GAP shares?

As of December 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 26.82 with a total of 6,103,560 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.09%, over one month by +12.83%, over three months by +13.01% and over the past year by +11.36%.

Is GAP a buy, sell or hold?

The Gap has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.63. Therefor, it is recommend to hold GAP.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GAP price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 27.5 2.6%
Analysts Target Price 27.5 2.6%
ValueRay Target Price 29.6 10.5%

GAP Fundamental Data Overview December 13, 2025

Market Cap USD = 9.95b (9.95b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.045
P/E Forward = 12.1507
P/S = 0.6509
P/B = 2.727
P/EG = 1.6559
Beta = 2.261
Revenue TTM = 15.28b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.22b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 629.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.52b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.25b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.94b USD (9.95b + Debt 5.52b - CCE 2.52b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 17.96 (Ebit TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 68.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.02% (FCF TTM 779.0m / Enterprise Value 12.94b)
FCF Margin = 5.10% (FCF TTM 779.0m / Revenue TTM 15.28b)
Net Margin = 5.57% (Net Income TTM 851.0m / Revenue TTM 15.28b)
Gross Margin = 41.01% ((Revenue TTM 15.28b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.01b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 42.36% (prev 41.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.05 (Enterprise Value 12.94b / Total Assets 12.37b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.05% (Interest Expense 3.00m / Debt 5.52b)
Taxrate = 29.97% (101.0m / 337.0m)
NOPAT = 855.1m (EBIT 1.22b * (1 - 29.97%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 5.64b / Total Current Liabilities 3.28b)
Debt / Equity = 1.51 (Debt 5.52b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.65b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.89 (Net Debt 3.25b / EBITDA 1.72b)
Debt / FCF = 4.18 (Net Debt 3.25b / FCF TTM 779.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.88% (Net Income 851.0m / Total Assets 12.37b)
RoE = 24.91% (Net Income TTM 851.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.42b)
RoCE = 24.88% (EBIT 1.22b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.42b + L.T.Debt 1.49b))
RoIC = 17.43% (NOPAT 855.1m / Invested Capital 4.91b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(9.95b)/V(15.46b) * Re(11.46%) + D(5.52b)/V(15.46b) * Rd(0.05%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 11.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.66%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.50% ; FCFE base≈910.6m ; Y1≈661.4m ; Y5≈370.3m
Fair Price DCF = 11.84 (DCF Value 4.40b / Shares Outstanding 371.9m; 5y FCF grow -32.26% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 66.61 | EPS CAGR: 18.29% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -16.48 | Revenue CAGR: -3.61% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=-0.008 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=+0.107 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+7.4% | Growth Revenue=+2.3%

Additional Sources for GAP Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle