(GEF) Greif Bros - Overview
Stock: Steel Drums, Plastic Drums, Fiber Drums, IBC Containers, Closure
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.54% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.28% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 5.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 58.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.48% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.75 |
| Alpha | 12.41 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.753 |
| Beta Downside | 0.740 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 31.09% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.19 |
Description: GEF Greif Bros January 10, 2026
Greif, Inc. (NYSE: GEF) is a global industrial packaging producer that operates through four primary segments: Customized Polymer Solutions, Durable Metal Solutions, Sustainable Fiber Solutions, and Integrated Solutions. The company manufactures a wide range of rigid containers-including steel, fiber, and plastic drums, intermediate bulk containers, jerrycans, and specialty closures-and offers ancillary services such as container life-cycle management, logistics, and warehousing.
In FY 2023 Greif reported revenue of roughly $5.1 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 9 %, reflecting steady demand across its diversified end-markets (chemicals, petroleum, agriculture, food & beverage, pharmaceuticals, and construction). The Sustainable Fiber Solutions segment has benefited from rising recycling mandates and ESG pressure, which have driven a 5 % CAGR in recycled-fiber demand globally.
Key economic drivers for Greif include industrial production growth (particularly in chemicals and oil & gas), commodity price volatility that affects steel and resin input costs, and regulatory trends that favor reusable and recyclable packaging. The company’s exposure to the broader metal-container market is also linked to the GICS sub-industry’s average forward-PE of about 12×, suggesting modest valuation relative to peers.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 950.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.16% < 20% (prev 13.47%; Δ -6.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.03 > 3% & CFO -163.5m > Net Income 950.6m |
| Net Debt (1.01b) to EBITDA (573.5m): 1.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.23 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (58.5m) vs 12m ago 22.79% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 21.53% > 18% (prev 0.21%; Δ 2133 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.44% > 50% (prev 59.76%; Δ 2.68% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 573.5m / Interest Expense TTM 113.3m) |
Altman Z'' 4.12
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 1.44b - Total Current Liabilities 1.17b) / Total Assets 5.50b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 3.34b / Total Assets 5.50b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 341.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.08b) |
| D: 1.37 (Book Value of Equity 3.34b / Total Liabilities 2.43b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.12 = AA |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 602.1m/746.9m, Revenue 3.79b/3.97b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 21.53% / 20.58%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 3.79b / 3.97b) |
| TATA: 0.20 (NI 950.6m - CFO -163.5m) / TA 5.50b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GEF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.61%, over one month by +6.54%, over three months by +31.95% and over the past year by +25.79%.
Is GEF a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GEF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 79.6 | 5.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 79.6 | 5.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 82.2 | 9.2% |
GEF Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/S = 0.9583
P/B = 1.402
P/EG = 2.25
Revenue TTM = 3.79b USD
EBIT TTM = 341.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 573.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 655.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 330.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.01b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.10b USD (4.09b + Debt 1.26b - CCE 243.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.01 (Ebit TTM 341.0m / Interest Expense TTM 113.3m)
EV/FCF = -17.05x (Enterprise Value 5.10b / FCF TTM -299.4m)
FCF Yield = -5.87% (FCF TTM -299.4m / Enterprise Value 5.10b)
FCF Margin = -7.89% (FCF TTM -299.4m / Revenue TTM 3.79b)
Net Margin = 25.06% (Net Income TTM 950.6m / Revenue TTM 3.79b)
Gross Margin = 21.53% ((Revenue TTM 3.79b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 20.37% (prev 33.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 5.10b / Total Assets 5.50b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.77% (Interest Expense 9.70m / Debt 1.26b)
Taxrate = 24.36% (58.9m / 241.8m)
NOPAT = 257.9m (EBIT 341.0m * (1 - 24.36%))
Current Ratio = 1.23 (Total Current Assets 1.44b / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 0.43 (Debt 1.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.94b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.77 (Net Debt 1.01b / EBITDA 573.5m)
Debt / FCF = -3.39 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 1.01b / FCF TTM -299.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.65% (Net Income 950.6m / Total Assets 5.50b)
RoE = 37.91% (Net Income TTM 950.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.51b)
RoCE = 10.78% (EBIT 341.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.51b + L.T.Debt 655.1m))
RoIC = 5.55% (NOPAT 257.9m / Invested Capital 4.65b)
WACC = 6.78% (E(4.09b)/V(5.35b) * Re(8.69%) + D(1.26b)/V(5.35b) * Rd(0.77%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 8.69% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.43%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -299.4m)
EPS Correlation: -80.31 | EPS CAGR: -34.97% | SUE: -0.50 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -54.79 | Revenue CAGR: -11.37% | SUE: -1.68 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.20 | Chg30d=-0.132 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.18 | Chg30d=-0.207 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+109.2% | Growth Revenue=+9.7%
EPS next Year (2026-10-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=-0.205 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.0% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%