(GFF) Griffon - Ratings and Ratios
Garage Doors, Rolling Steel, Hand Tools, Garden Tools, Storage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.04% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.88% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 23.19% |
| Payout Consistency | 83.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.4% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 56.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.19% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | -7.93 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.396 |
| Beta | 1.091 |
| Beta Downside | 0.867 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.42% |
| Mean DD | 10.31% |
| Median DD | 9.39% |
Description: GFF Griffon January 11, 2026
Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) operates through two primary segments: Home & Building Products, which manufactures and sells garage doors, steel service doors, fire doors, security grilles, and related openers; and Consumer & Professional Products, which produces a broad line of hand and garden tools, storage solutions, fans, and cleaning accessories for both DIY and professional markets.
The company serves a diversified channel mix that includes independent installing dealers, large home-center chains, industrial distributors, homebuilders, e-commerce platforms, and specialty hardware retailers across the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other international markets.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): total revenue of approximately $1.22 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~12%, and a free cash flow conversion of 85%, reflecting stable cash generation despite cyclical construction demand.
Sector drivers that materially affect Griffon’s outlook include U.S. residential construction spending (up ~4% YoY in Q4 2023) and the sustained “do-it-yourself” trend, which has boosted tool and home-organization sales by roughly 6% annually since 2021.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 51.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.15 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.07% < 20% (prev 22.13%; Δ -0.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 > 3% & CFO 356.0m > Net Income 51.1m |
| Net Debt (1.49b) to EBITDA (288.0m): 5.18 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (46.0m) vs 12m ago -5.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.99% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 4160 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 113.6% > 50% (prev 110.7%; Δ 3.00% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.30 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 288.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.6m) |
Altman Z'' 3.43
| A: 0.27 (Total Current Assets 890.6m - Total Current Liabilities 334.6m) / Total Assets 2.06b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 479.0m / Total Assets 2.06b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 225.0m / Avg Total Assets 2.22b) |
| D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 428.3m / Total Liabilities 1.99b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.43 = A |
Beneish M -3.40
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 290.8m/312.8m, Revenue 2.52b/2.62b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 41.99% / 38.88%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.41) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 2.52b / 2.62b) |
| TATA: -0.15 (NI 51.1m - CFO 356.0m) / TA 2.06b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.40 = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.70
| 1. Piotroski: 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 5.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 12.05% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 21.52 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 5.18 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 3.60% |
| 7. RoE: 35.22% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -48.48% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -19.12% |
What is the price of GFF shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.53%, over one month by +11.02%, over three months by +10.13% and over the past year by +8.00%.
Is GFF a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFF price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 101.3 | 21.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 101.3 | 21.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 105.5 | 26.3% |
GFF Fundamental Data Overview January 25, 2026
P/S = 1.5747
P/B = 52.8305
P/EG = 2.36
Revenue TTM = 2.52b USD
EBIT TTM = 225.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 288.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 40.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.59b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 5.46b USD (3.97b + Debt 1.59b - CCE 99.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.30 (Ebit TTM 225.0m / Interest Expense TTM 97.6m)
EV/FCF = 17.99x (Enterprise Value 5.46b / FCF TTM 303.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.56% (FCF TTM 303.6m / Enterprise Value 5.46b)
FCF Margin = 12.05% (FCF TTM 303.6m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Net Margin = 2.03% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Revenue TTM 2.52b)
Gross Margin = 41.99% ((Revenue TTM 2.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.72% (prev 43.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.65 (Enterprise Value 5.46b / Total Assets 2.06b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.45% (Interest Expense 23.1m / Debt 1.59b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 177.7m (EBIT 225.0m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.66 (Total Current Assets 890.6m / Total Current Liabilities 334.6m)
Debt / Equity = 21.52 (Debt 1.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 74.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.18 (Net Debt 1.49b / EBITDA 288.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.92 (Net Debt 1.49b / FCF TTM 303.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 145.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.31% (Net Income 51.1m / Total Assets 2.06b)
RoE = 35.22% (Net Income TTM 51.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 145.1m)
RoCE = 14.52% (EBIT 225.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 145.1m + L.T.Debt 1.40b))
RoIC = 11.01% (NOPAT 177.7m / Invested Capital 1.61b)
WACC = 7.41% (E(3.97b)/V(5.56b) * Re(9.93%) + D(1.59b)/V(5.56b) * Rd(1.45%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.46%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.54% ; FCFF base≈305.9m ; Y1≈271.1m ; Y5≈225.5m
Fair Price DCF = 66.22 (EV 4.58b - Net Debt 1.49b = Equity 3.08b / Shares 46.6m; r=7.41% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.97% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -19.12 | EPS CAGR: -48.56% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -48.48 | Revenue CAGR: 3.04% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.97 | Chg30d=+0.010 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+5.7% | Growth Revenue=+0.4%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=6.85 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+14.7% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%
Additional Sources for GFF Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle