GFF Stock Analysis: Griffon | NYSE

Building Products & Equipment | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 4.316m USD | 12M Return: 21.9% | US3984331021 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Garage Doors, Garden Tools, Hand Tools, Closet Organizers
Total Rating 67
Safety 72
Buy Signal 0.55
Building Products & Equipment
Industry Rotation: +0.3
Market Cap: 4.32B
Avg Turnover: 33.8M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.8%
VaR 5th Pctl6.20%
VaR vs Median2.37%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.61
Rel. Str. IBD65
Rel. Str. Peer Group92.2
Character TTM
Beta1.458
Beta Downside1.135
Hurst Exponent0.631
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.85%
CAGR/Max DD1.20
CAGR/Mean DD3.57
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of GFF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.4, "2021-12": 0.39, "2022-03": 1.37, "2022-06": 1.23, "2022-09": 1.09, "2022-12": 0.86, "2023-03": 1.21, "2023-06": 1.29, "2023-09": 1.19, "2023-12": 1.07, "2024-03": 1.35, "2024-06": 1.24, "2024-09": 1.47, "2024-12": 1.39, "2025-03": 1.23, "2025-06": 1.5, "2025-09": 1.54, "2025-12": 1.45, "2026-03": 1.05, "2026-06": 1.51,
EPS CAGR: 8.21%
EPS Trend: 91.7%
Last SUE: 1.55
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of GFF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 379.711, 2021-12: 591.749, 2022-03: 779.617, 2022-06: 768.179, 2022-09: 708.943, 2022-12: 649.384, 2023-03: 710.984, 2023-06: 683.43, 2023-09: 641.385, 2023-12: 643.153, 2024-03: 672.88, 2024-06: 647.814, 2024-09: 659.673, 2024-12: 632.371, 2025-03: 611.746, 2025-06: 613.627, 2025-09: 662.182, 2025-12: 649.088, 2026-03: 421.86, 2026-06: 481.37,
Rev. CAGR: -5.32%
Rev. Trend: -87.1%
Last SUE: 0.86
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Idiosyncratic Leader
Confidence

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +0.3% 7
Feb -0.1% 5
Mar -0.4% 10
Apr -2.1% 11
May +0.9% 19
Jun +2.0% 8
Jul -0.5% 5
Aug -0.7% 8
Sep -0.5% 0
Oct -1.1% 14
Nov +3.8% 29
Dec -1.7% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: GFF Griffon

Griffon Corporation (NYSE: GFF) is a diversified manufacturer that operates through two main segments: Home and Building Products, and Consumer and Professional Products. The Home and Building Products segment produces residential and commercial garage doors, rolling steel service doors, fire doors, shutters, security grilles, and room dividers, along with garage door openers. The Consumer and Professional Products segment manufactures a broad range of long-handled tools, wheelbarrows, snow tools, pruning products, striking tools, hand tools, planters, garden hoses, shelving and storage products, fans, and cleaning items. The company sells its products in the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia, and other international markets.

Griffon serves a varied customer base that includes independent professional installing dealers, home center retail chains, industrial distributors, homebuilders, e-commerce platforms, and mass market, specialty, and hardware retailers. The company is classified within the Industrials sector, specifically the Building Products sub-industry, reflecting its focus on physical goods tied to construction, home improvement, and maintenance. Originally incorporated in 1959 as Instrument Systems Corporation, the company adopted the Griffon Corporation name in 1995 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Garage door demand tracks housing starts and remodeling cycles
  • Consumer tools revenue tied to discretionary and seasonal spending
  • Steel input costs pressure Home and Building Products margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 201.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.16 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.58 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 19.12% < 20% (prev 22.81%; Δ -3.69% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 324.1m > Net Income 201.6m
Net Debt (1.30b) to EBITDA (488.2m): 2.65 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.41 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (45.5m) vs 12m ago -2.92% < -2%
Gross Margin: 43.40% > 18% (prev 41.52%; Δ 1.88% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 112.9% > 50% (prev 120.6%; Δ -7.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.91 > 6 (EBIT TTM 436.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.8m)
Altman Z'' 4.12
A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 723.6m - Total Current Liabilities 300.2m) / Total Assets 1.84b
B: 0.32 (Retained Earnings 584.3m / Total Assets 1.84b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 436.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.96b)
D: 0.08 (Book Value of Equity 129.2m / Total Liabilities 1.71b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.12 = AA
Beneish M -2.53
DSRI: 1.52 (Receivables 363.7m/271.6m, Revenue 2.21b/2.52b)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 41.52% / 43.40%)
AQI: 1.33 (AQ_t 0.46 / AQ_t-1 0.34)
SGI: 0.88 (Revenue 2.21b / 2.52b)
TATA: -0.07 (NI 201.6m - CFO 324.1m) / TA 1.84b)
Beneish M = -2.53 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of GFF shares?

As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 90.59 with a total of 338,354 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.60%, over one month by -7.17%, over three months by -0.94% and over the past year by +21.90%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 85.80 (which is 5.3% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).

Is GFF a buy, sell or hold?

Griffon has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy GFF.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the GFF price?
Analysts Target Price 127 40.2%
Griffon (GFF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 4.32b (4.32b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.278
P/E Forward = 10.2145
P/S = 1.6874
P/B = 34.179
P/EG = 0.5429
Revenue TTM = 2.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 436.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 488.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 69.4m
Net Debt = 1.30b USD (calculated: Debt 1.41b - CCE 110.3m)
Enterprise Value = 5.61b USD (4.32b + Debt 1.41b - CCE 110.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.91 (Ebit TTM 436.2m / Interest Expense TTM 88.8m)
EV/FCF = 19.50x (Enterprise Value 5.61b / FCF TTM 287.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.13% (FCF TTM 287.8m / Enterprise Value 5.61b)
FCF Margin = 13.00% (FCF TTM 287.8m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Net Margin = 9.10% (Net Income TTM 201.6m / Revenue TTM 2.21b)
Gross Margin = 43.40% ((Revenue TTM 2.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.96% (prev 45.51%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.06 (Enterprise Value 5.61b / Total Assets 1.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.31% (Interest Expense 88.8m / Debt 1.41b)
Taxrate = 36.31% (126.2m / 347.4m)
NOPAT = 277.8m (EBIT 436.2m * (1 - 36.31%))
Current Ratio = 2.41 (Total Current Assets 723.6m / Total Current Liabilities 300.2m)
Debt / Equity = 10.89 (Debt 1.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 129.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.65 (Net Debt 1.30b / EBITDA 488.2m)
Debt / FCF = 4.50 (Net Debt 1.30b / FCF TTM 287.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 101.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.28% (Net Income 201.6m / Total Assets 1.84b)
RoE = 198.4% (Net Income TTM 201.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 101.6m)
RoCE = 32.04% (EBIT 436.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 101.6m + L.T.Debt 1.26b))
RoIC = 19.15% (NOPAT 277.8m / Invested Capital 1.45b)
WACC = 9.37% (E(4.32b)/V(5.72b) * Re(11.11%) + D(1.41b)/V(5.72b) * Rd(6.31%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 11.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.74 | Cagr: -4.01%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.61% ; FCFF base≈290.4m ; Y1≈286.2m ; Y5≈292.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 56.57 (EV 3.89b - Net Debt 1.30b = Equity 2.59b / Shares 45.9m; r=9.37% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.21% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.72 | EPS CAGR: 8.21% | SUE: 1.55 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -87.12 | Revenue CAGR: -5.32% | SUE: 0.86 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.46 | Chg30d=+5.84% | Revisions=+10% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=5.40 | Chg30d=+3.80% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=-4.5% | GrowthRev=-27.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=6.15 | Chg30d=+6.97% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+14.0% | GrowthRev=+3.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +54% (up=17, down=4)