(GFI) Gold Fields - Overview
Stock: Gold, Silver, Copper
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.92% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 9.44% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 21.43% |
| Payout Consistency | 80.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 34.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 53.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.05% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 2.17 |
| Alpha | 203.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.233 |
| Beta Downside | 0.055 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.39% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.85 |
Description: GFI Gold Fields January 29, 2026
Gold Fields Ltd (NYSE:GFI) is a vertically integrated gold producer with operating mines and development projects spanning Australia, South Africa, Ghana, Peru, Chile, and Canada, and it also holds exploratory assets for copper and silver. Founded in 1887 and headquartered in Sandton, South Africa, the company reports under the “Gold” sub-industry of the GICS classification.
As of the latest quarterly release (Q4 2023), Gold Fields produced 2.4 million ounces of gold, a 5 % increase YoY, while its all-in sustaining cash cost fell to US$945 per ounce, driven by operational efficiencies at the South African and Australian mines. The firm’s proven and probable reserves stood at 13.8 million ounces, and its resource base exceeded 30 million ounces, providing a reserve-to-production ratio of roughly 6 years. A key sector driver remains the macro-economic environment: real-interest-rate differentials and persistent inflation have kept the spot gold price above US$1,950/oz in Q4 2023, supporting revenue outlooks.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Gold Fields’ valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s platform useful as a next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 2.54b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 8.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.95% < 20% (prev 5.90%; Δ 3.06% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 > 3% & CFO 4.53b > Net Income 2.54b |
| Net Debt (1.49b) to EBITDA (5.59b): 0.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last fiscal year (895.5m) vs prev 0.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.15% > 18% (prev 0.37%; Δ 4278 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 114.5% > 50% (prev 78.73%; Δ 35.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 28.45 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.59b / Interest Expense TTM 150.0m) |
Altman Z'' 6.34
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 2.08b - Total Current Liabilities 1.10b) / Total Assets 10.86b |
| B: 0.42 (Retained Earnings 4.54b / Total Assets 10.86b) |
| C: 0.45 (EBIT TTM 4.27b / Avg Total Assets 9.54b) |
| D: 1.32 (Book Value of Equity 6.08b / Total Liabilities 4.61b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.34 = AAA |
Beneish M -1.89
| DSRI: 2.53 (Receivables 293.1m/68.7m, Revenue 10.92b/6.48b) |
| GMI: 0.85 (GM 43.15% / 36.63%) |
| AQI: 0.50 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.15) |
| SGI: 1.69 (Revenue 10.92b / 6.48b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 2.54b - CFO 4.53b) / TA 10.86b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.89 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
What is the price of GFI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.82%, over one month by +13.60%, over three months by +29.24% and over the past year by +198.52%.
Is GFI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.7 | -4.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.7 | -4.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 81.7 | 63.1% |
GFI Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 13.587
P/S = 7.168
P/B = 7.6819
Revenue TTM = 10.92b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.27b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.59b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 82.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.55b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.49b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 38.89b USD (37.40b + Debt 2.55b - CCE 1.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 28.45 (Ebit TTM 4.27b / Interest Expense TTM 150.0m)
EV/FCF = 19.00x (Enterprise Value 38.89b / FCF TTM 2.05b)
FCF Yield = 5.26% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Enterprise Value 38.89b)
FCF Margin = 18.74% (FCF TTM 2.05b / Revenue TTM 10.92b)
Net Margin = 23.24% (Net Income TTM 2.54b / Revenue TTM 10.92b)
Gross Margin = 43.15% ((Revenue TTM 10.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.21b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.41% (prev 60.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.58 (Enterprise Value 38.89b / Total Assets 10.86b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 29.2m / Debt 2.55b)
Taxrate = 35.39% (580.1m / 1.64b)
NOPAT = 2.76b (EBIT 4.27b * (1 - 35.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 2.08b / Total Current Liabilities 1.10b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 2.55b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.27 (Net Debt 1.49b / EBITDA 5.59b)
Debt / FCF = 0.73 (Net Debt 1.49b / FCF TTM 2.05b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.11b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 26.61% (Net Income 2.54b / Total Assets 10.86b)
RoE = 49.73% (Net Income TTM 2.54b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.11b)
RoCE = 59.03% (EBIT 4.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.11b + L.T.Debt 2.12b))
RoIC = 40.06% (NOPAT 2.76b / Invested Capital 6.88b)
WACC = 6.38% (E(37.40b)/V(39.96b) * Re(6.77%) + D(2.55b)/V(39.96b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.35)))
Discount Rate = 6.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.72% ; FCFF base≈1.56b ; Y1≈1.93b ; Y5≈3.28b
Fair Price DCF = 89.98 (EV 82.03b - Net Debt 1.49b = Equity 80.54b / Shares 895.0m; r=6.38% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 45.43 | EPS CAGR: 34.04% | SUE: 0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 30.46 | Revenue CAGR: 19.47% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.26 | Chg30d=+0.317 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+34.7% | Growth Revenue=+28.1%