(GFL) Gfl Environmental Holdings - Overview
Stock: Solid Waste, Hauling, Landfill, Transfer, Recycling
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.13% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.27% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.23% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.36 |
| Alpha | -17.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.572 |
| Beta Downside | 0.451 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.27% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.36 |
Description: GFL Gfl Environmental Holdings January 03, 2026
GFL Environmental Inc. (NYSE:GFL) is a North-American provider of non-hazardous solid waste and environmental services, operating through distinct Solid Waste and Environmental Services segments. Its portfolio includes hauling, landfill, transfer and material-recovery facilities, as well as liquid-waste management and soil-remediation solutions for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Canada and the United States. The company, founded in 2007 and based in Vaughan, Ontario, has grown primarily via strategic acquisitions that expand its geographic footprint and service breadth.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show revenue of approximately $2.2 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13%, reflecting operational scaling and cost-control initiatives. Volume growth remains modest, with total waste tonnage processed increasing about 2% year-over-year, driven by population growth and stricter regulatory mandates on waste diversion. A salient sector driver is the rising ESG focus, prompting municipalities to contract with firms that can meet higher recycling and landfill-diversion targets, which benefits GFL’s material-recovery and composting operations.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore GFL’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 3.61b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.34 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.26% < 20% (prev -17.86%; Δ 11.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.44b > Net Income 3.61b |
| Net Debt (5.51b) to EBITDA (1.88b): 2.93 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.69 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (370.2m) vs 12m ago -3.91% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.38% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 2020 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 40.64% > 50% (prev 32.03%; Δ 8.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.01 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.88b / Interest Expense TTM 501.2m) |
Altman Z'' 0.71
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 978.5m - Total Current Liabilities 1.41b) / Total Assets 13.90b |
| B: 0.01 (Retained Earnings 145.9m / Total Assets 13.90b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 507.3m / Avg Total Assets 17.02b) |
| D: 0.65 (Book Value of Equity 5.36b / Total Liabilities 8.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.71 = B |
Beneish M -3.35
| DSRI: 0.49 (Receivables 648.4m/1.23b, Revenue 6.92b/6.45b) |
| GMI: 0.87 (GM 20.38% / 17.67%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.55) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 6.92b / 6.45b) |
| TATA: 0.16 (NI 3.61b - CFO 1.44b) / TA 13.90b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.35 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GFL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.96%, over one month by -0.39%, over three months by -3.00% and over the past year by -7.42%.
Is GFL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GFL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 56.2 | 32.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 56.2 | 32.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.3 | 1.9% |
GFL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Trailing = 238.6111
P/E Forward = 51.5464
P/S = 1.8789
P/B = 2.6865
Revenue TTM = 6.92b CAD
EBIT TTM = 507.3m CAD
EBITDA TTM = 1.88b CAD
Long Term Debt = 7.27b CAD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 162.6m CAD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.65b CAD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.51b CAD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.63b CAD (21.11b + Debt 5.65b - CCE 139.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.01 (Ebit TTM 507.3m / Interest Expense TTM 501.2m)
EV/FCF = 118.0x (Enterprise Value 26.63b / FCF TTM 225.7m)
FCF Yield = 0.85% (FCF TTM 225.7m / Enterprise Value 26.63b)
FCF Margin = 3.26% (FCF TTM 225.7m / Revenue TTM 6.92b)
Net Margin = 52.22% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Revenue TTM 6.92b)
Gross Margin = 20.38% ((Revenue TTM 6.92b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.51b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 21.85% (prev 22.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.92 (Enterprise Value 26.63b / Total Assets 13.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.89% (Interest Expense 106.7m / Debt 5.65b)
Taxrate = 27.79% (41.6m / 149.7m)
NOPAT = 366.3m (EBIT 507.3m * (1 - 27.79%))
Current Ratio = 0.69 (Total Current Assets 978.5m / Total Current Liabilities 1.41b)
Debt / Equity = 1.03 (Debt 5.65b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.93 (Net Debt 5.51b / EBITDA 1.88b)
Debt / FCF = 24.43 (Net Debt 5.51b / FCF TTM 225.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.04b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.22% (Net Income 3.61b / Total Assets 13.90b)
RoE = 51.31% (Net Income TTM 3.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.04b)
RoCE = 3.55% (EBIT 507.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.04b + L.T.Debt 7.27b))
RoIC = 2.39% (NOPAT 366.3m / Invested Capital 15.34b)
WACC = 6.61% (E(21.11b)/V(26.77b) * Re(8.02%) + D(5.65b)/V(26.77b) * Rd(1.89%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 8.02% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.99% ; FCFF base≈239.2m ; Y1≈157.1m ; Y5≈71.7m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 1.87b - Net Debt 5.51b = -3.64b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 8.08 | EPS CAGR: -3.97% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 11.51 | Revenue CAGR: 4.44% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=+0.019 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=15
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.05 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+78.1% | Growth Revenue=+7.1%