(GNL) Global Net Lease - Overview
Stock: Office, Industrial, Retail, Warehouse, European
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 9.88% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 7.92% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -14.75% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.3% |
| Payout Ratio | - |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.24% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.45 |
| Alpha | 38.03 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.438 |
| Beta Downside | 0.499 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.01 |
Description: GNL Global Net Lease January 15, 2026
Global Net Lease, Inc. (NYSE: GNL) is an internally managed REIT that acquires and operates a diversified portfolio of net-lease properties, primarily in the United States and in Western and Northern Europe. The firm’s business model centers on long-term, triple-net leases that shift most operating costs to tenants, delivering stable, inflation-linked cash flow.
Key performance indicators as of the latest filing show an occupancy rate above 96% and a dividend yield near 7%, reflecting the REIT’s emphasis on high-quality, credit-worthy tenants. The sector is sensitive to interest-rate movements; however, GNL’s long-duration lease contracts provide a buffer against short-term rate volatility. Additionally, the ongoing shift toward e-commerce and the need for logistics and distribution space bolster demand for the asset classes in which GNL is heavily invested.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of GNL’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -280.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -66.75% < 20% (prev -207.0%; Δ 140.3% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 242.0m > Net Income -280.2m |
| Net Debt (2.79b) to EBITDA (361.2m): 7.72 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (220.9m) vs 12m ago -4.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 87.14% > 18% (prev 0.85%; Δ 8629 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 9.54% > 50% (prev 9.50%; Δ 0.05% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 361.2m / Interest Expense TTM 229.3m) |
Altman Z'' -3.06
| A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 376.9m - Total Current Liabilities 762.3m) / Total Assets 4.77b |
| B: -0.55 (Retained Earnings -2.61b / Total Assets 4.77b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 123.2m / Avg Total Assets 6.05b) |
| D: -0.84 (Book Value of Equity -2.58b / Total Liabilities 3.06b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.06 = D |
Beneish M -2.74
| DSRI: 1.70 (Receivables 139.0m/98.9m, Revenue 577.4m/696.6m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 87.14% / 85.03%) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.91 / AQ_t-1 0.95) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 577.4m / 696.6m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -280.2m - CFO 242.0m) / TA 4.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GNL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.59%, over one month by +11.70%, over three months by +23.66% and over the past year by +47.18%.
Is GNL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GNL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.5 | -1.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | -1.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.9 | 23.4% |
GNL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 1.2271
Revenue TTM = 577.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 123.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 361.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.23b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 663.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.79b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.88b USD (2.09b + Debt 2.95b - CCE 165.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.54 (Ebit TTM 123.2m / Interest Expense TTM 229.3m)
EV/FCF = 24.03x (Enterprise Value 4.88b / FCF TTM 203.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.16% (FCF TTM 203.0m / Enterprise Value 4.88b)
FCF Margin = 35.15% (FCF TTM 203.0m / Revenue TTM 577.4m)
Net Margin = -48.52% (Net Income TTM -280.2m / Revenue TTM 577.4m)
Gross Margin = 87.14% ((Revenue TTM 577.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 74.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 89.53% (prev 90.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.02 (Enterprise Value 4.88b / Total Assets 4.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.53% (Interest Expense 45.3m / Debt 2.95b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 97.4m (EBIT 123.2m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 376.9m / Total Current Liabilities 762.3m)
Debt / Equity = 1.74 (Debt 2.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.70b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.72 (Net Debt 2.79b / EBITDA 361.2m)
Debt / FCF = 13.73 (Net Debt 2.79b / FCF TTM 203.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.91b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.63% (Net Income -280.2m / Total Assets 4.77b)
RoE = -14.68% (Net Income TTM -280.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.91b)
RoCE = 2.98% (EBIT 123.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.91b + L.T.Debt 2.23b))
RoIC = 1.83% (NOPAT 97.4m / Invested Capital 5.31b)
WACC = 3.83% (E(2.09b)/V(5.04b) * Re(7.53%) + D(2.95b)/V(5.04b) * Rd(1.53%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.53% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.07%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.10% ; FCFF base≈213.8m ; Y1≈190.5m ; Y5≈160.1m
Fair Price DCF = 9.38 (EV 4.84b - Net Debt 2.79b = Equity 2.06b / Shares 219.2m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -13.44% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -28.67 | EPS CAGR: -1.15% | SUE: 0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.25 | Revenue CAGR: 3.46% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=+0.055 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-7.1% | Growth Revenue=-6.6%