(GNRC) Generac Holdings - Overview
Stock: Generator, Battery, Inverter, Transfer Switch, Software
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 44.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.57% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.67 |
| Alpha | 9.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.361 |
| Beta Downside | 1.449 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.76% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
Description: GNRC Generac Holdings January 07, 2026
Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:GNRC) designs, manufactures, and distributes a broad portfolio of energy-technology products, ranging from residential standby generators and battery storage systems to commercial natural-gas generators and the Concerto energy-balancing software platform.
The company reaches customers through a multi-channel network that includes independent residential dealers, industrial distributors, national retailers, e-commerce partners, solar installers, and direct-to-consumer sales, enabling it to capture demand across both the DIY homeowner market and large-scale commercial projects.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $2.0 billion, with a Q4 2023 adjusted EPS of $0.93; the backlog of generator orders stood at roughly $1.1 billion, reflecting sustained demand amid increasing power-outage events and the shift toward distributed energy resources.
Sector drivers that materially affect GNRC include the U.S. residential generator market’s projected 6% compound annual growth rate, heightened consumer interest in backup power due to climate-related outages, and the broader transition to renewable energy which fuels demand for battery storage and smart-grid integration solutions.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of GNRC’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-driven dashboard worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 312.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.70 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 31.15% < 20% (prev 25.55%; Δ 5.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 588.2m > Net Income 312.9m |
| Net Debt (1.12b) to EBITDA (632.9m): 1.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.18 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (59.1m) vs 12m ago -1.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.45% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3907 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 80.71% > 50% (prev 79.52%; Δ 1.19% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.04 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 632.9m / Interest Expense TTM 73.7m) |
Altman Z'' 4.91
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 2.50b - Total Current Liabilities 1.15b) / Total Assets 5.60b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 3.03b / Total Assets 5.60b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 445.4m / Avg Total Assets 5.39b) |
| D: 0.96 (Book Value of Equity 2.82b / Total Liabilities 2.95b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 4.91 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 680.1m/658.6m, Revenue 4.35b/4.12b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 39.45% / 37.65%) |
| AQI: 0.90 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.43) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 4.35b / 4.12b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 312.9m - CFO 588.2m) / TA 5.60b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of GNRC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +9.22%, over one month by +26.34%, over three months by +19.34% and over the past year by +28.60%.
Is GNRC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the GNRC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 202.9 | 10.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 202.9 | 10.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 193.9 | 5.7% |
GNRC Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.3666
P/S = 2.2657
P/B = 3.7738
P/EG = 1.4389
Revenue TTM = 4.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 445.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 632.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 63.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.42b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.98b USD (9.86b + Debt 1.42b - CCE 300.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.04 (Ebit TTM 445.4m / Interest Expense TTM 73.7m)
EV/FCF = 21.41x (Enterprise Value 10.98b / FCF TTM 513.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.67% (FCF TTM 513.0m / Enterprise Value 10.98b)
FCF Margin = 11.79% (FCF TTM 513.0m / Revenue TTM 4.35b)
Net Margin = 7.19% (Net Income TTM 312.9m / Revenue TTM 4.35b)
Gross Margin = 39.45% ((Revenue TTM 4.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.31% (prev 39.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 10.98b / Total Assets 5.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.30% (Interest Expense 18.5m / Debt 1.42b)
Taxrate = 15.01% (11.8m / 78.3m)
NOPAT = 378.6m (EBIT 445.4m * (1 - 15.01%))
Current Ratio = 2.18 (Total Current Assets 2.50b / Total Current Liabilities 1.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.54 (Debt 1.42b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.77 (Net Debt 1.12b / EBITDA 632.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.18 (Net Debt 1.12b / FCF TTM 513.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.54b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.80% (Net Income 312.9m / Total Assets 5.60b)
RoE = 12.30% (Net Income TTM 312.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.54b)
RoCE = 11.66% (EBIT 445.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.54b + L.T.Debt 1.27b))
RoIC = 9.85% (NOPAT 378.6m / Invested Capital 3.84b)
WACC = 9.69% (E(9.86b)/V(11.28b) * Re(10.93%) + D(1.42b)/V(11.28b) * Rd(1.30%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 10.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.58%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.98% ; FCFF base≈574.8m ; Y1≈377.3m ; Y5≈172.1m
Fair Price DCF = 25.34 (EV 2.61b - Net Debt 1.12b = Equity 1.49b / Shares 58.7m; r=9.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -32.66 | EPS CAGR: -49.84% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -10.38 | Revenue CAGR: 1.16% | SUE: -3.76 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.33 | Chg30d=-0.044 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=-0.152 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+23.4% | Growth Revenue=+10.4%