(GPI) Group 1 Automotive - Overview
Stock: New Cars, Used Cars, Parts, Service, Finance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.47% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.30% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 4.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.80 |
| Alpha | -40.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.887 |
| Beta Downside | 0.581 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.13% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.54 |
Description: GPI Group 1 Automotive January 08, 2026
Group 1 Automotive Inc. (NYSE:GPI) is a publicly traded automotive retailer operating in the United States and the United Kingdom. Through its subsidiaries, the company sells new and used vehicles, light trucks, parts, and related services such as financing, insurance contracts, maintenance, and repairs. Founded in 1995, GPI is headquartered in Houston, Texas, and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Automotive Retail.”
Key operational metrics that analysts watch include same-store sales growth (comparable-store sales rose ~5% YoY in Q4 2023), inventory turnover (approximately 6.2× in FY 2023, indicating efficient stock management), and the contribution of service and parts to total revenue (about 30% of earnings, providing a higher-margin buffer against new-car market volatility). Macro drivers such as U.S. consumer confidence, prevailing interest-rate levels (which affect vehicle financing demand), and the gradual shift toward electric-vehicle (EV) adoption are likely to shape GPI’s near-term performance.
For a deeper dive into GPI’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 324.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 10.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -2.49% < 20% (prev 0.50%; Δ -2.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 566.1m > Net Income 324.6m |
| Net Debt (3.67b) to EBITDA (855.4m): 4.29 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.83 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (12.2m) vs 12m ago -8.13% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.51% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1535 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 358.3% > 50% (prev 202.9%; Δ 155.4% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.58 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 855.4m / Interest Expense TTM 284.4m) |
Altman Z'' 5.05
| A: -0.20 (Total Current Assets 2.77b - Total Current Liabilities 3.34b) / Total Assets 2.77b |
| B: 1.58 (Retained Earnings 4.38b / Total Assets 2.77b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 734.3m / Avg Total Assets 6.30b) |
| D: 0.42 (Book Value of Equity 3.05b / Total Liabilities 7.34b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.05 = AAA |
What is the price of GPI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.25%, over one month by -13.18%, over three months by -9.91% and over the past year by -26.34%.
Is GPI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GPI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 458.6 | 32.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 458.6 | 32.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 385 | 11.2% |
GPI Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.2102
P/S = 0.1907
P/B = 1.5452
P/EG = 0.7818
Revenue TTM = 22.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 734.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 855.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 2.16b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 3.70b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.67b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.97b USD (4.30b + Debt 3.70b - CCE 32.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.58 (Ebit TTM 734.3m / Interest Expense TTM 284.4m)
EV/FCF = 21.32x (Enterprise Value 7.97b / FCF TTM 373.9m)
FCF Yield = 4.69% (FCF TTM 373.9m / Enterprise Value 7.97b)
FCF Margin = 1.66% (FCF TTM 373.9m / Revenue TTM 22.57b)
Net Margin = 1.44% (Net Income TTM 324.6m / Revenue TTM 22.57b)
Gross Margin = 15.51% ((Revenue TTM 22.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 19.07b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.50% (prev 15.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.87 (Enterprise Value 7.97b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.08% (Interest Expense 76.9m / Debt 3.70b)
Taxrate = 30.98% (19.3m / 62.3m)
NOPAT = 506.8m (EBIT 734.3m * (1 - 30.98%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 2.77b / Total Current Liabilities 3.34b)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 3.70b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.79b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.29 (Net Debt 3.67b / EBITDA 855.4m)
Debt / FCF = 9.81 (Net Debt 3.67b / FCF TTM 373.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.99b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.15% (Net Income 324.6m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 10.85% (Net Income TTM 324.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.99b)
RoCE = 11.76% (EBIT 734.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.99b + L.T.Debt 3.25b))
RoIC = 6.16% (NOPAT 506.8m / Invested Capital 8.23b)
WACC = 5.60% (E(4.30b)/V(8.00b) * Re(9.18%) + D(3.70b)/V(8.00b) * Rd(2.08%) * (1-Tc(0.31)))
Discount Rate = 9.18% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.63%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈334.0m ; Y1≈219.2m ; Y5≈100.0m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 3.19b - Net Debt 3.67b = -479.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -59.65 | EPS CAGR: -6.49% | SUE: -1.97 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.53 | Revenue CAGR: 10.45% | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=9.61 | Chg30d=-0.383 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=42.95 | Chg30d=-1.056 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+5.5% | Growth Revenue=+3.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=47.29 | Chg30d=-1.512 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+10.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%