(GRNT) Granite Ridge Resources - Overview
Stock: Oil, Natural Gas, Well Interests, Acreage
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 7.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 40.10% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 118.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.15% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.14 |
| Alpha | -27.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.095 |
| Beta Downside | 1.733 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.13 |
Description: GRNT Granite Ridge Resources December 25, 2025
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE:GRNT) is a Dallas-based, non-operated E&P firm that holds a diversified portfolio of oil and natural-gas wells and acreage in several U.S. unconventional basins, including the Permian, Eagle Ford, Bakken, Haynesville, and DJ.
As of Q2 2024, the company reported an average daily production of roughly 4,200 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE), with a cash-flow breakeven near $15 per BOE-well below the current West Texas Intermediate (WTI) price of about $78 per barrel. Its capital allocation strategy emphasizes low-cost drilling in the Permian and Eagle Ford, where drilling rigs have achieved average drilling days of 12 days per well, supporting a projected 2025 production growth of 8-10 % if oil prices remain above $70 per barrel. Key sector drivers include the ongoing U.S. shale resurgence, rising demand for petrochemicals, and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy impact on energy demand.
For a deeper, data-driven look at GRNT’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you may find the tools on ValueRay useful for extending your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 37.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 7.06% < 20% (prev 12.52%; Δ -5.46% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 300.1m > Net Income 37.8m |
| Net Debt (288.2m) to EBITDA (277.9m): 1.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (130.5m) vs 12m ago 0.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.00% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 3053 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 41.69% > 50% (prev 36.73%; Δ 4.95% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.24 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 277.9m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m) |
Altman Z'' 0.73
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 108.8m - Total Current Liabilities 77.0m) / Total Assets 1.13b |
| B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 22.2m / Total Assets 1.13b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 70.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.08b) |
| D: 0.05 (Book Value of Equity 22.2m / Total Liabilities 484.6m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.73 = B |
Beneish M -2.58
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 74.7m/58.5m, Revenue 451.1m/380.5m) |
| GMI: 1.52 (GM 31.00% / 47.04%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.00 / AQ_t-1 0.00) |
| SGI: 1.19 (Revenue 451.1m / 380.5m) |
| TATA: -0.23 (NI 37.8m - CFO 300.1m) / TA 1.13b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.58 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of GRNT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.59%, over one month by +16.17%, over three months by -3.52% and over the past year by -9.99%.
Is GRNT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the GRNT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 6.4 | 25.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 6.4 | 25.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.5 | 8.4% |
GRNT Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 8.2034
P/S = 1.5032
P/B = 1.0029
Revenue TTM = 451.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 70.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 277.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 300.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 300.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 288.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 919.7m USD (643.1m + Debt 300.0m - CCE 23.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.24 (Ebit TTM 70.3m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m)
EV/FCF = -10.03x (Enterprise Value 919.7m / FCF TTM -91.7m)
FCF Yield = -9.97% (FCF TTM -91.7m / Enterprise Value 919.7m)
FCF Margin = -20.33% (FCF TTM -91.7m / Revenue TTM 451.1m)
Net Margin = 8.38% (Net Income TTM 37.8m / Revenue TTM 451.1m)
Gross Margin = 31.00% ((Revenue TTM 451.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 311.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.59% (prev 26.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 919.7m / Total Assets 1.13b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.02% (Interest Expense 6.07m / Debt 300.0m)
Taxrate = 24.72% (4.77m / 19.3m)
NOPAT = 52.9m (EBIT 70.3m * (1 - 24.72%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 108.8m / Total Current Liabilities 77.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 300.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 643.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.04 (Net Debt 288.2m / EBITDA 277.9m)
Debt / FCF = -3.14 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 288.2m / FCF TTM -91.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 638.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.49% (Net Income 37.8m / Total Assets 1.13b)
RoE = 5.92% (Net Income TTM 37.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 638.3m)
RoCE = 7.49% (EBIT 70.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 638.3m + L.T.Debt 300.0m))
RoIC = 5.90% (NOPAT 52.9m / Invested Capital 895.8m)
WACC = 7.27% (E(643.1m)/V(943.1m) * Re(9.95%) + D(300.0m)/V(943.1m) * Rd(2.02%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.62%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -91.7m)
EPS Correlation: 16.44 | EPS CAGR: 133.2% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -10.05 | Revenue CAGR: -3.83% | SUE: -1.96 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-11.6% | Growth Revenue=+7.2%