Overview Dividends

(HBM) Hudbay Minerals - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA4436281022

Copper, Gold, Silver, Zinc, Molybdenum

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of HBM over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.1, "2020-12": -0.06, "2021-03": -0.06, "2021-06": 0.02, "2021-09": 0.15, "2021-12": 0.13, "2022-03": 0.02, "2022-06": 0.12, "2022-09": -0.05, "2022-12": 0.01, "2023-03": 0.0208, "2023-06": -0.07, "2023-09": 0.07, "2023-12": 0.2, "2024-03": 0.16, "2024-06": -0.045, "2024-09": 0.13, "2024-12": 0.18, "2025-03": 0.24, "2025-06": 0.19, "2025-09": 0.03,
EPS CAGR: 49.11%
EPS Trend: 49.2%
Last SUE: -2.00σ
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of HBM over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 316.108, 2020-12: 322.29, 2021-03: 313.624, 2021-06: 404.242, 2021-09: 358.961, 2021-12: 425.17, 2022-03: 378.619, 2022-06: 415.454, 2022-09: 346.171, 2022-12: 321.196, 2023-03: 295.219, 2023-06: 312.166, 2023-09: 480.456, 2023-12: 604.282, 2024-03: 525, 2024-06: 425.5, 2024-09: 485.773, 2024-12: 584.918, 2025-03: 594.9, 2025-06: 536.4, 2025-09: 346.8,
Revenue CAGR: 2.83%
Revenue Trend: 50.9%
Last SUE: -0.91σ
Qual. Beats: 0
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 53.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 81.0%
Relative Tail Risk -8.38%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.13
Alpha 46.47
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.495
Beta 1.489
Beta Downside 1.723
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 41.10%
Mean DD 15.31%
Median DD 14.84%

Description: HBM Hudbay Minerals November 07, 2025

Hudbay Minerals Inc. (NYSE: HBM) is a Toronto-based, diversified mining company operating primarily in North and South America. Its portfolio includes the flagship Constancia copper-gold-silver mine in Cusco, Peru, and it produces copper concentrates (with by-product gold and silver), silver/gold doré, zinc concentrates (with gold), and molybdenum concentrates.

Key operational metrics from FY 2023 show ≈ 260 kt of copper produced, ≈ 1.4 Mt of zinc, and ≈ 0.7 Mt of molybdenum, generating US$1.2 bn of revenue and a free cash flow conversion of roughly 45 %. The company’s exposure to copper prices remains a primary driver, with the ongoing EV-induced demand surge and Peru’s recent fiscal reforms influencing both cost structure and permitting timelines. Debt stands at US$1.1 bn (net-debt to EBITDA ≈ 2.3×), giving it moderate leverage relative to peers.

For a deeper quantitative view of HBM’s valuation and risk profile, a quick scan of the analyst tools on ValueRay could be a useful next step.

HBM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 5,903m
Sub-Industry Diversified Metals & Mining
IPO / Inception 2009-02-13
Return 12m vs S&P 500 47.7%
Analyst Rating 4.50 of 5

HBM Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 0.10%
Yield on Cost 5y 0.24%
Yield CAGR 5y -1.71%
Payout Consistency 87.0%
Payout Ratio 2.2%

HBM Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y 39.91%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.97
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 2.61
Current Volume 3979.2k
Average Volume 5547.4k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0

Net Income (461.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 123.8m TTM)
FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -1.68% (prev 21.29%; Δ -22.97pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 740.1m > Net Income 461.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (497.1m) to EBITDA (1.28b) ratio: 0.39 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.97 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (396.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.67% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 37.80% (prev 27.13%; Δ 10.67pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 36.11% (prev 37.05%; Δ -0.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 11.48 (EBITDA TTM 1.28b / Interest Expense TTM 75.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.31

(A) -0.01 = (Total Current Assets 994.3m - Total Current Liabilities 1.03b) / Total Assets 5.92b
(B) 0.06 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 332.5m / Total Assets 5.92b
(C) 0.15 = EBIT TTM 867.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.71b
(D) 1.09 = Book Value of Equity 3.08b / Total Liabilities 2.84b
Total Rating: 2.31 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.35

1. Piotroski 6.0pt
2. FCF Yield 4.96%
3. FCF Margin 15.38%
4. Debt/Equity 0.36
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.39
6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.24)%
7. RoE 16.56%
8. Rev. Trend 50.95%
9. EPS Trend 49.22%

What is the price of HBM shares?

As of November 24, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 14.88 with a total of 3,979,245 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.94%, over one month by -3.56%, over three months by +27.69% and over the past year by +64.87%.

Is HBM a buy, sell or hold?

Hudbay Minerals has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy HBM.
  • Strong Buy: 8
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the HBM price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 20.8 39.8%
Analysts Target Price 20.8 39.8%
ValueRay Target Price 18.4 23.9%

HBM Fundamental Data Overview November 23, 2025

Market Cap USD = 5.90b (5.90b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 12.8448
P/E Forward = 13.4409
P/S = 2.8612
P/B = 1.875
P/EG = 2.09
Beta = 2.081
Revenue TTM = 2.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 867.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.28b USD
Long Term Debt = 536.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 540.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 497.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 6.40b USD (5.90b + Debt 1.11b - CCE 611.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.48 (Ebit TTM 867.5m / Interest Expense TTM 75.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.96% (FCF TTM 317.3m / Enterprise Value 6.40b)
FCF Margin = 15.38% (FCF TTM 317.3m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Net Margin = 22.38% (Net Income TTM 461.7m / Revenue TTM 2.06b)
Gross Margin = 37.80% ((Revenue TTM 2.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.83% (prev 32.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 6.40b / Total Assets 5.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.62% (Interest Expense 18.0m / Debt 1.11b)
Taxrate = 32.71% (108.1m / 330.5m)
NOPAT = 583.7m (EBIT 867.5m * (1 - 32.71%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 994.3m / Total Current Liabilities 1.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 1.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.08b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.39 (Net Debt 497.1m / EBITDA 1.28b)
Debt / FCF = 1.57 (Net Debt 497.1m / FCF TTM 317.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.80% (Net Income 461.7m / Total Assets 5.92b)
RoE = 16.56% (Net Income TTM 461.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.79b)
RoCE = 26.10% (EBIT 867.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.79b + L.T.Debt 536.0m))
RoIC = 15.09% (NOPAT 583.7m / Invested Capital 3.87b)
WACC = 9.85% (E(5.90b)/V(7.01b) * Re(11.50%) + D(1.11b)/V(7.01b) * Rd(1.62%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 11.50% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.62%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.03% ; FCFE base≈319.9m ; Y1≈394.6m ; Y5≈673.2m
Fair Price DCF = 16.82 (DCF Value 6.66b / Shares Outstanding 396.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 49.22 | EPS CAGR: 49.11% | SUE: -2.00 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.95 | Revenue CAGR: 2.83% | SUE: -0.91 | # QB: 0

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