(HWM) Howmet Aerospace - Ratings and Ratios
Engine,Fasteners,Forgings,Wheels
HWM EPS (Earnings per Share)
HWM Revenue
Description: HWM Howmet Aerospace September 26, 2025
Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:HWM) designs and manufactures high-performance components for aerospace and transportation markets across North America, Europe, and Asia, operating under four business segments: Engine Products, Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. The company traces its roots to 1888 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, having rebranded from Arconic Inc.
In fiscal 2023 the firm reported roughly $5.2 billion in revenue, with the Engine Products segment contributing about 45 % of sales and maintaining an EBITDA margin near 12 %. The Fastening Systems line, a key supplier to both commercial jet OEMs and defense contractors, has benefited from rising aircraft deliveries, while the Engineered Structures segment leverages its titanium and nickel capabilities to capture higher-margin defense contracts. The Forged Wheels business, although a smaller share, serves the growing heavy-duty truck market, which is sensitive to fuel-efficiency regulations.
Key economic drivers for HWM include the global jet-engine fleet renewal cycle (estimated at 2-3 % annual growth), defense spending trends that boost demand for titanium airframe parts, and macro-level supply-chain constraints on specialty alloys. A material-cost exposure to aluminum and titanium prices adds volatility; recent spot-price spikes have pressured margins, but the company’s long-term supply agreements mitigate some risk. Investors should monitor OEM inventory levels and the pace of commercial aircraft deliveries, as these are leading indicators of segment-specific revenue trends.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform provides granular, real-time metrics that can help you test the sensitivity of HWM’s valuation to these drivers.
HWM Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 77,610m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 1962-01-02 |
HWM Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 97.9% |
| Fundamental | 85.3% |
| Dividend Rating | 65.2% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 65.9% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.40 of 5 |
HWM Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.26% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.88% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 104.04% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.3% |
HWM Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 66.6% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 94.5% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 97.7% |
| CAGR 5y | 80.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 4.13 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 24.32 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.89 |
| Alpha | 66.65 |
| Beta | 1.454 |
| Volatility | 32.31% |
| Current Volume | 2279.3k |
| Average Volume 20d | 1726.3k |
| Stop Loss | 193.9 (-3.1%) |
| Signal | 1.28 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.40b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 463.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 27.12% (prev 17.55%; Δ 9.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.42b > Net Income 1.40b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.71b) to EBITDA (2.10b) ratio: 1.29 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (407.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.97% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 29.23% (prev 26.03%; Δ 3.21pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 71.08% (prev 66.42%; Δ 4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.32 (EBITDA TTM 2.10b / Interest Expense TTM 161.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.75
| (A) 0.19 = (Total Current Assets 3.69b - Total Current Liabilities 1.60b) / Total Assets 11.05b |
| (B) 0.31 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.43b / Total Assets 11.05b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 1.82b / Avg Total Assets 10.86b |
| (D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 2.09b / Total Liabilities 6.00b |
| Total Rating: 3.75 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.33
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.27% = 0.63 |
| 3. FCF Margin 13.18% = 3.30 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.65 = 2.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.29 = 1.32 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.84)% = 11.04 |
| 7. RoE 29.58% = 2.47 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.81% = 7.34 |
| 9. EPS Trend 98.66% = 4.93 |
What is the price of HWM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.39%, over one month by +3.37%, over three months by +7.42% and over the past year by +95.14%.
Is Howmet Aerospace a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of HWM is around 317.79 USD . This means that HWM is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +58.82% (Margin of Safety).
Is HWM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HWM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 212 | 5.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 212 | 5.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 362.1 | 81% |
HWM Fundamental Data Overview October 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 55.4813
P/E Forward = 44.0529
P/S = 10.0518
P/B = 15.446
P/EG = 0.8035
Beta = 1.454
Revenue TTM = 7.72b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.82b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.25b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.26b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.71b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 80.32b USD (77.61b + Debt 3.26b - CCE 545.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.32 (Ebit TTM 1.82b / Interest Expense TTM 161.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.27% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 80.32b)
FCF Margin = 13.18% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 7.72b)
Net Margin = 18.09% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Revenue TTM 7.72b)
Gross Margin = 29.23% ((Revenue TTM 7.72b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.46b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.15% (prev 30.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.27 (Enterprise Value 80.32b / Total Assets 11.05b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.17% (Interest Expense 38.0m / Debt 3.26b)
Taxrate = 13.22% (62.0m / 469.0m)
NOPAT = 1.58b (EBIT 1.82b * (1 - 13.22%))
Current Ratio = 2.31 (Total Current Assets 3.69b / Total Current Liabilities 1.60b)
Debt / Equity = 0.65 (Debt 3.26b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.29 (Net Debt 2.71b / EBITDA 2.10b)
Debt / FCF = 2.67 (Net Debt 2.71b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.72b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.65% (Net Income 1.40b / Total Assets 11.05b)
RoE = 29.58% (Net Income TTM 1.40b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.72b)
RoCE = 22.84% (EBIT 1.82b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.72b + L.T.Debt 3.25b))
RoIC = 19.79% (NOPAT 1.58b / Invested Capital 7.99b)
WACC = 10.95% (E(77.61b)/V(80.87b) * Re(11.37%) + D(3.26b)/V(80.87b) * Rd(1.17%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 11.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.84%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.39% ; FCFE base≈999.6m ; Y1≈1.23b ; Y5≈2.10b
Fair Price DCF = 52.51 (DCF Value 21.17b / Shares Outstanding 403.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 98.66 | EPS CAGR: 40.10% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 97.81 | Revenue CAGR: 13.97% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for HWM Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle