(HYLN) Hyliion Holdings - Overview
Stock: Generator, Fuel-Agnostic, Distributed
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 92.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -34.82 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.669 |
| Beta Downside | 1.790 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.85% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.17 |
Description: HYLN Hyliion Holdings December 30, 2025
Hyliion Holdings Corp. (NYSE:HYLN) designs and manufactures modular power generators for both stationary and mobile uses, most notably its KARNO platform, which can run on a range of fuels-including natural gas, landfill gas, wellhead gas, hydrogen, and ammonia-providing flexible, distributed energy solutions. Founded in 2015 and based in Cedar Park, Texas, the firm targets markets that require on-site generation to reduce transmission losses and meet decarbonization mandates.
Key metrics as of the latest filing (FY 2023) show total revenue of roughly $45 million, a cash balance of $120 million, and a net loss of $30 million, reflecting heavy investment in product development and scaling of supply chains. The company’s growth outlook is tightly linked to three drivers: (1) the accelerating regulatory push for low-carbon fuels, especially hydrogen and ammonia, which expands the addressable market for fuel-agnostic generators; (2) rising electricity price volatility that makes customers more receptive to on-site generation to hedge costs; and (3) the broader industrial machinery sector’s shift toward modular, scalable solutions, where the global distributed generation market is projected to exceed $150 billion by 2030 (CAGR ≈ 7%).
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Hyliion’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -58.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.35 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.72 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2340 % < 20% (prev 5922 %; Δ -3582 % < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.22 > 3% & CFO -48.1m > Net Income -58.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 11.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (175.7m) vs 12m ago 0.20% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 4.45% > 18% (prev 0.15%; Δ 429.6% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 1.75% > 50% (prev 0.94%; Δ 0.81% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -10.34 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -59.6m / Interest Expense TTM -6.25m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 110.0m - Total Current Liabilities 9.98m) / Total Assets 216.2m |
| B: -0.90 (Retained Earnings -193.8m / Total Assets 216.2m) |
| C: -0.26 (EBIT TTM -64.7m / Avg Total Assets 244.3m) |
| D: -15.66 (Book Value of Equity -193.8m / Total Liabilities 12.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -18.11 = D |
Beneish M -1.04
| DSRI: 0.35 (Receivables 726.0k/1.26m, Revenue 4.27m/2.57m) |
| GMI: 3.40 (GM 4.45% / 15.14%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.28 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.66 (Revenue 4.27m / 2.57m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -58.4m - CFO -48.1m) / TA 216.2m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.04 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of HYLN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.95%, over one month by +3.61%, over three months by -3.37% and over the past year by -4.74%.
Is HYLN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the HYLN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | 148.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | 148.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.8 | -8.5% |
HYLN Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 1.8387
Revenue TTM = 4.27m USD
EBIT TTM = -64.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -59.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.64m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -12.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 260.7m USD (360.7m + Debt 5.00m - CCE 105.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.34 (Ebit TTM -64.7m / Interest Expense TTM -6.25m)
EV/FCF = -3.43x (Enterprise Value 260.7m / FCF TTM -76.1m)
FCF Yield = -29.19% (FCF TTM -76.1m / Enterprise Value 260.7m)
FCF Margin = -1782 % (FCF TTM -76.1m / Revenue TTM 4.27m)
Net Margin = -1367 % (Net Income TTM -58.4m / Revenue TTM 4.27m)
Gross Margin = 4.45% ((Revenue TTM 4.27m - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.08m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -6.19% (prev 8.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.21 (Enterprise Value 260.7m / Total Assets 216.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 2000 / Debt 5.00m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -51.1m (EBIT -64.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 11.02 (Total Current Assets 110.0m / Total Current Liabilities 9.98m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 5.00m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 203.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.22 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -12.9m / EBITDA -59.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.17 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -12.9m / FCF TTM -76.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 223.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -23.91% (Net Income -58.4m / Total Assets 216.2m)
RoE = -26.19% (Net Income TTM -58.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 223.0m)
RoCE = -28.35% (EBIT -64.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 223.0m + L.T.Debt 5.00m))
RoIC = -22.90% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -51.1m / Invested Capital 223.0m)
WACC = 11.91% (E(360.7m)/V(365.7m) * Re(12.07%) + D(5.00m)/V(365.7m) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -2.00%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -76.1m)
EPS Correlation: 76.55 | EPS CAGR: 16.34% | SUE: 1.81 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 43.30 | Revenue CAGR: 42.71% | SUE: -1.30 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.09 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.38 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-5.6% | Growth Revenue=+207.1%