(IOT) Samsara - Ratings and Ratios
Connected Operations, Data Platform, Video Safety, Vehicle Telematics, Workforce Apps
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 78.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.57 |
| Alpha | -54.41 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.430 |
| Beta | 1.456 |
| Beta Downside | 1.446 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.15% |
| Mean DD | 16.80% |
| Median DD | 13.59% |
Description: IOT Samsara October 16, 2025
Samsara Inc. (NYSE:IOT) offers a cloud-based Connected Operations Platform that aggregates data from its own IoT sensors and third-party assets, then applies AI-driven analytics, workflow automation, and security controls. Core modules include video-based safety, vehicle telematics, workforce productivity apps, equipment monitoring, and remote site visibility, serving verticals such as transportation, construction, logistics, manufacturing, utilities, and public-sector organizations.
In FY 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, up about 30 % year-over-year, with a gross margin near 80 % and annual churn of ~5 % for its subscription base-metrics that signal strong pricing power and customer stickiness in a market where the global IoT services TAM is projected to exceed $1.5 trillion by 2028. A key economic driver is the accelerating digitization of supply-chain and fleet operations, while ESG and workplace-safety regulations are boosting demand for AI-enabled video monitoring and emissions-tracking telematics.
For a deeper, data-rich look at Samsara’s valuation dynamics and comparable peers, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (-87.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 85.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.89pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 27.64% (prev 35.85%; Δ -8.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 192.6m > Net Income -87.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 1.50 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (569.7m) change vs 12m ago 2.86% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.87% (prev 75.10%; Δ 1.77pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 70.74% (prev 59.95%; Δ 10.80pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -100.0k (EBITDA TTM -9.77m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.28
| (A) 0.18 = (Total Current Assets 1.19b - Total Current Liabilities 791.6m) / Total Assets 2.21b |
| (B) -0.75 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.65b / Total Assets 2.21b |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -81.7m / Avg Total Assets 2.02b |
| (D) -1.66 = Book Value of Equity -1.65b / Total Liabilities 992.3m |
| Total Rating: -3.28 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.21
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.84% |
| 3. FCF Margin 11.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 18.56 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -19.68)% |
| 7. RoE -7.97% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.54% |
| 9. EPS Trend 83.58% |
What is the price of IOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.47%, over one month by -6.41%, over three months by +11.16% and over the past year by -32.57%.
Is IOT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.6 | 30% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.6 | 30% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.1 | 26.2% |
IOT Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Forward = 65.3595
P/S = 14.5878
P/B = 17.3398
Beta = 1.607
Revenue TTM = 1.43b USD
EBIT TTM = -81.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -9.77m USD
Long Term Debt = 77.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 77.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -181.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 20.19b USD (20.81b + Debt 77.2m - CCE 701.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -81.7m (Ebit TTM -81.7m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0)
FCF Yield = 0.84% (FCF TTM 169.6m / Enterprise Value 20.19b)
FCF Margin = 11.89% (FCF TTM 169.6m / Revenue TTM 1.43b)
Net Margin = -6.16% (Net Income TTM -87.9m / Revenue TTM 1.43b)
Gross Margin = 76.87% ((Revenue TTM 1.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 330.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.88% (prev 77.33%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.15 (Enterprise Value 20.19b / Total Assets 2.21b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 37.91% (Interest Expense 29.3m / Debt 77.2m)
Taxrate = -10.58% (negative due to tax credits) (1.61m / -15.2m)
NOPAT = -90.3m (EBIT -81.7m * (1 - -10.58%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 1.50 (Total Current Assets 1.19b / Total Current Liabilities 791.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 77.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.21b)
Debt / EBITDA = 18.56 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -181.3m / EBITDA -9.77m)
Debt / FCF = -1.07 (Net Debt -181.3m / FCF TTM 169.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.98% (Net Income -87.9m / Total Assets 2.21b)
RoE = -7.97% (Net Income TTM -87.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.10b)
RoCE = -6.92% (EBIT -81.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.10b + L.T.Debt 77.2m))
RoIC = -8.19% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -90.3m / Invested Capital 1.10b)
WACC = 11.49% (E(20.81b)/V(20.89b) * Re(11.38%) + D(77.2m)/V(20.89b) * Rd(37.91%) * (1-Tc(-0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.38% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 2.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 57.06% ; FCFE base≈169.6m ; Y1≈111.4m ; Y5≈50.9m
Fair Price DCF = 1.84 (DCF Value 640.1m / Shares Outstanding 348.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.58 | EPS CAGR: 100.2% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.54 | Revenue CAGR: 39.02% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 11
Additional Sources for IOT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle