IOT Stock Analysis: Samsara | NYSE
Software - Infrastructure | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 22.511m USD | 12M Return: -0.8% | US79589L1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 239M
EPS Trend: 87.9%
Qual. Beats: 16
Rev. Trend: 99.8%
Qual. Beats: 15
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 4.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Samsara Inc. (NYSE: IOT) is a provider of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions that connect physical operations data to its Connected Operations Platform, serving customers across the United States and internationally. The companys platform is built around a Data Platform that ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from IoT devices and third-party systems, with embedded capabilities for AI, workflows, analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security. Its main application areas include video-based safety, telematics (with features such as GPS tracking, routing, fuel management, and electric vehicle planning), and site visibility for remote monitoring of physical locations. Samsara serves a broad range of industries, including transportation, construction, logistics, manufacturing, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, and food and beverage. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Within the Information Technology sector, Samsara operates in the Application Software sub-industry as part of the broader Industrial IoT (IIoT) market, which focuses on instrumenting physical assets and field operations with connected sensors and cloud-based software. Like most enterprise software peers in this segment, the company typically generates revenue through a subscription-based model, combining hardware (sensors and gateways) with recurring software subscriptions tied to its platform.
- Subscription revenue growth drives path to operating profitability
- AI video safety products accelerate average revenue per customer expansion
- Competition from Geotab and Motive pressures pricing and win rates
| Net Income: 90.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.54 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 32.73% < 20% (prev 27.64%; Δ 5.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 288.4m > Net Income 90.6m |
| Net Debt (-759.4m) to EBITDA (132.9m): -5.71 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (590.5m) vs 12m ago 3.64% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.38% > 18% (prev 76.87%; Δ -0.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 74.26% > 50% (prev 64.64%; Δ 9.62% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.22 (Total Current Assets 1.57b - Total Current Liabilities 968.1m) / Total Assets 2.77b |
| B: -0.56 (Retained Earnings -1.56b / Total Assets 2.77b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 103.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.49b) |
| D: 1.37 (Book Value of Equity 1.60b / Total Liabilities 1.17b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.32 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 337.8m/246.1m, Revenue 1.85b/1.43b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 76.87% / 76.38%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.40) |
| SGI: 1.30 (Revenue 1.85b / 1.43b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 90.6m - CFO 288.4m) / TA 2.77b) |
| Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.38 with a total of 6,747,926 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.95%, over one month by -4.81%, over three months by +18.97% and over the past year by -0.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 33.30 (which is 13.2% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Samsara has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy IOT.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 52.5 | 36.7% |
P/E Trailing = 256.2666
P/E Forward = 49.7512
P/S = 12.184
P/B = 14.1286
Revenue TTM = 1.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 103.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 132.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 57.0m USD (estimated: total debt 69.5m - short term 12.5m)
Short Term Debt = 12.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 69.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 69.5m already included)
Net Debt = -759.4m USD (calculated: Debt 69.5m - CCE 828.9m)
Enterprise Value = 21.8b USD (22.5b + Debt 69.5m - CCE 828.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 103.1m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 85.14x (Enterprise Value 21.8b / FCF TTM 255.5m)
FCF Yield = 1.17% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Enterprise Value 21.8b)
FCF Margin = 13.83% (FCF TTM 255.5m / Revenue TTM 1.85b)
Net Margin = 4.90% (Net Income TTM 90.6m / Revenue TTM 1.85b)
Gross Margin = 76.38% ((Revenue TTM 1.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 436.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.21% (prev 75.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.85 (Enterprise Value 21.8b / Total Assets 2.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 69.5m)
Taxrate = 12.16% (12.5m / 103.1m)
NOPAT = 90.6m (EBIT 103.1m * (1 - 12.16%))
Current Ratio = 1.62 (Total Current Assets 1.57b / Total Current Liabilities 968.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 69.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.71 (Net Debt -759.4m / EBITDA 132.9m)
Debt / FCF = -2.97 (Net Debt -759.4m / FCF TTM 255.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.64% (Net Income 90.6m / Total Assets 2.77b)
RoE = 6.21% (Net Income TTM 90.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.46b)
RoCE = 6.80% (EBIT 103.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.46b + L.T.Debt 57.0m))
RoIC = 5.26% (NOPAT 90.6m / Invested Capital 1.72b)
WACC = 10.52% (E(22.5b)/V(22.6b) * Re(10.55%) + D(69.5m)/V(22.6b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 10.55% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.07 | Cagr: 3.32%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.29% ; FCFF base≈221.1m ; Y1≈253.5m ; Y5≈373.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.67 (EV 4.06b - Net Debt -759.4m = Equity 4.82b / Shares 380.3m; r=10.52% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.91 | EPS CAGR: 216.0% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 16
Revenue Correlation: 99.83 | Revenue CAGR: 31.62% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 15
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=+3.40% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.77 | Chg30d=+8.22% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+37.6% | GrowthRev=+26.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.94 | Chg30d=+4.83% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+22.4% | GrowthRev=+19.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)