(IOT) Samsara - Ratings and Ratios
Platform, Video Safety, Vehicle Telematics, Workforce Apps, Equipment Monitoring
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 80.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -43.13 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.473 |
| Beta | 1.426 |
| Beta Downside | 1.448 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 47.15% |
| Mean DD | 17.41% |
| Median DD | 14.24% |
Description: IOT Samsara December 19, 2025
Samsara Inc. (NYSE:IOT) delivers a cloud-native Connected Operations Platform that aggregates data from its own IoT sensors and third-party assets, then layers AI-driven analytics, workflow automation, and security controls to enable real-time visibility across safety, fleet, workforce, equipment, and site operations.
Key performance indicators from the most recent filings show FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.03 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of about 30 %, while annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew ~35 % and gross margins remained near 70 %. The company’s churn rate for enterprise contracts is reported at ~5 %, indicating relatively sticky demand. Macro-level, the industrial IoT market is projected to expand at a 12 % CAGR through 2028, driven by accelerating digital transformation in logistics, construction, and utilities, as well as tighter ESG and safety regulations that push firms toward data-centric operational models.
For a deeper dive into how Samsara’s valuation compares to sector peers, you might explore the analytics on ValueRay to see the latest consensus metrics and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (-42.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 91.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 7.38pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 29.70% (prev 32.67%; Δ -2.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 220.3m > Net Income -42.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-199.5m) to EBITDA (6.13m) ratio: -32.55 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.56 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (571.7m) change vs 12m ago 2.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 76.92% (prev 75.66%; Δ 1.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 72.80% (prev 63.27%; Δ 9.53pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -100.0k (EBITDA TTM 6.13m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.85
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 1.26b - Total Current Liabilities 806.4m) / Total Assets 2.31b |
| (B) -0.71 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.64b / Total Assets 2.31b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -35.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b |
| (D) -1.62 = Book Value of Equity -1.64b / Total Liabilities 1.01b |
| Total Rating: -2.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.88
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.77% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -32.55 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.90)% |
| 7. RoE -3.59% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.23% |
| 9. EPS Trend 98.04% |
What is the price of IOT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.48%, over one month by -2.33%, over three months by -4.05% and over the past year by -19.93%.
Is IOT a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 50.4 | 38% |
| Analysts Target Price | 50.4 | 38% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 44.5 | 21.8% |
IOT Fundamental Data Overview December 23, 2025
P/E Forward = 66.2252
P/S = 14.4912
P/B = 16.907
Beta = 1.612
Revenue TTM = 1.52b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.13m USD
Long Term Debt = 75.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 75.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -199.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.84b USD (22.04b + Debt 75.6m - CCE 275.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -35.3m (Ebit TTM -35.3m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0)
FCF Yield = 0.89% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Enterprise Value 21.84b)
FCF Margin = 12.77% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Net Margin = -2.79% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Gross Margin = 76.92% ((Revenue TTM 1.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 350.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.69% (prev 76.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.44 (Enterprise Value 21.84b / Total Assets 2.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 38.69% (Interest Expense 29.3m / Debt 75.6m)
Taxrate = 14.61% (1.33m / 9.10m)
NOPAT = -30.1m (EBIT -35.3m * (1 - 14.61%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 806.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 75.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -32.55 (Net Debt -199.5m / EBITDA 6.13m)
Debt / FCF = -1.03 (Net Debt -199.5m / FCF TTM 194.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -1.83% (Net Income -42.4m / Total Assets 2.31b)
RoE = -3.59% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.18b)
RoCE = -2.81% (EBIT -35.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.18b + L.T.Debt 75.6m))
RoIC = -2.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -30.1m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 11.34% (E(22.04b)/V(22.11b) * Re(11.27%) + D(75.6m)/V(22.11b) * Rd(38.69%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 11.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 57.44% ; FCFE base≈124.1m ; Y1≈81.5m ; Y5≈37.3m
Fair Price DCF = 1.32 (DCF Value 473.8m / Shares Outstanding 358.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 98.04 | EPS CAGR: 176.7% | SUE: 2.13 | # QB: 9
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 37.58% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 12
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-0.002 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=17
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+15.4% | Growth Revenue=+20.4%
Additional Sources for IOT Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle