(IOT) Samsara - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Infrastructure | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 17.271m USD | Total Return: -37% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +27.8
Avg Turnover: 134M
EPS Trend: 74.2%
Qual. Beats: 14
Rev. Trend: 99.3%
Qual. Beats: 13
Warnings
Altman Z'' -2.12 < 1.0 - financial distress zone
Tailwinds
Confidence
Samsara Inc. (IOT) operates a cloud-based platform designed to digitize physical operations through the integration of Internet of Things (IoT) hardware and data analytics. The company’s Connected Operations Platform aggregates data from vehicle fleets, industrial equipment, and remote sites to provide real-time visibility into safety, telematics, and maintenance workflows. Its core applications include AI-driven video safety, GPS tracking, and fuel management for industries such as construction, logistics, and utilities.
The company operates under a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, typically securing multi-year subscription contracts that provide high recurring revenue visibility. Within the broader Application Software sector, Samsara competes in the rapidly expanding fleet management and industrial IoT markets, where organizations prioritize operational efficiency and regulatory compliance through automated data capture.
Investors can evaluate the company’s valuation metrics and growth trajectory further on ValueRay.
- Strong enterprise adoption of video-based safety and telematics drives recurring revenue growth
- High customer acquisition costs and R&D spending delay consistent GAAP profitability
- Expansion into international markets and government sectors diversifies the core customer base
- Increasing demand for AI-driven operational efficiency accelerates connected asset platform integration
- Macroeconomic pressure on logistics and construction industries impacts fleet expansion and renewals
| Net Income: -9.12m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.66 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 36.46% < 20% (prev 30.72%; Δ 5.73% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 236.2m > Net Income -9.12m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.64 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (587.6m) vs 12m ago 4.24% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.74% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 7.60k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.92% > 50% (prev 61.71%; Δ 9.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBITDA TTM and Interest Expense TTM) |
| A: 0.23 (Total Current Assets 1.51b - Total Current Liabilities 917.0m) / Total Assets 2.54b |
| B: -0.64 (Retained Earnings -1.62b / Total Assets 2.54b) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -17.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.28b) |
| D: -1.44 (Book Value of Equity -1.61b / Total Liabilities 1.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.12 = D |
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 321.4m/234.0m, Revenue 1.62b/1.25b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 76.74% / 76.12%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.30 (Revenue 1.62b / 1.25b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI -9.12m - CFO 236.2m) / TA 2.54b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.92 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.61%, over one month by +2.46%, over three months by +13.00% and over the past year by -37.01%.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 44.2 | 49.4% |
P/S = 10.6698
P/B = 12.1585
Revenue TTM = 1.62b USD
EBIT TTM = -17.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -4.10m USD
Long Term Debt = 72.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 72.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -246.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 17.02b USD (17.27b + Debt 72.8m - CCE 318.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -17.6m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = 82.07x (Enterprise Value 17.02b / FCF TTM 207.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.22% (FCF TTM 207.4m / Enterprise Value 17.02b)
FCF Margin = 12.82% (FCF TTM 207.4m / Revenue TTM 1.62b)
Net Margin = -0.56% (Net Income TTM -9.12m / Revenue TTM 1.62b)
Gross Margin = 76.74% ((Revenue TTM 1.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 376.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.16% (prev 76.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.70 (Enterprise Value 17.02b / Total Assets 2.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 72.8m)
Taxrate = 19.97% (5.50m / 27.5m)
NOPAT = -14.1m (EBIT -17.6m * (1 - 19.97%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.64 (Total Current Assets 1.51b / Total Current Liabilities 917.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 72.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.42b)
Debt / EBITDA = 59.95 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -246.0m / EBITDA -4.10m)
Debt / FCF = -1.19 (Net Debt -246.0m / FCF TTM 207.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.40% (Net Income -9.12m / Total Assets 2.54b)
RoE = -0.72% (Net Income TTM -9.12m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.27b)
RoCE = -1.31% (EBIT -17.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.27b + L.T.Debt 72.8m))
RoIC = -1.11% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -14.1m / Invested Capital 1.27b)
WACC = 11.27% (E(17.27b)/V(17.34b) * Re(11.32%) + D(72.8m)/V(17.34b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 4.04%
[DCF] Terminal Value 57.43% ; FCFF base≈169.1m ; Y1≈111.0m ; Y5≈50.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.42 (EV 645.1m - Net Debt -246.0m = Equity 891.1m / Shares 368.4m; r=11.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 74.24 | EPS CAGR: 50.17% | SUE: 3.32 | # QB: 14
Revenue Correlation: 99.30 | Revenue CAGR: 35.39% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 13
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.15 | Chg30d=+5.48% | Revisions=+23% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.68 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+83% | GrowthEPS=+21.4% | GrowthRev=+21.8%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+24.8% | GrowthRev=+19.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +83%