(IOT) Samsara - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US79589L1061
Stock: Platform, Video Safety, Vehicle Telematics, Workforce Apps, Equipment Monitoring
Total Rating 41
Risk 39
Buy Signal -0.43
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 58.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.96% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.18 |
| Alpha | -73.82 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.455 |
| Beta Downside | 1.484 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.22% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.32 |
Description: IOT Samsara December 19, 2025
Samsara Inc. (NYSE:IOT) delivers a cloud-native Connected Operations Platform that aggregates data from its own IoT sensors and third-party assets, then layers AI-driven analytics, workflow automation, and security controls to enable real-time visibility across safety, fleet, workforce, equipment, and site operations.
Key performance indicators from the most recent filings show FY 2023 revenue of roughly $1.03 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of about 30 %, while annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew ~35 % and gross margins remained near 70 %. The company’s churn rate for enterprise contracts is reported at ~5 %, indicating relatively sticky demand. Macro-level, the industrial IoT market is projected to expand at a 12 % CAGR through 2028, driven by accelerating digital transformation in logistics, construction, and utilities, as well as tighter ESG and safety regulations that push firms toward data-centric operational models.
For a deeper dive into how Samsara’s valuation compares to sector peers, you might explore the analytics on ValueRay to see the latest consensus metrics and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: -42.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.38 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 29.70% < 20% (prev 32.67%; Δ -2.98% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 220.3m > Net Income -42.4m |
| Net Debt (-199.5m) to EBITDA (6.13m): -32.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.56 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (571.7m) vs 12m ago 2.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 76.92% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 7616 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.80% > 50% (prev 63.27%; Δ 9.53% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -100.0k > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.13m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0) |
Altman Z'' -2.85
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 1.26b - Total Current Liabilities 806.4m) / Total Assets 2.31b |
| B: -0.71 (Retained Earnings -1.64b / Total Assets 2.31b) |
| C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -35.3m / Avg Total Assets 2.09b) |
| D: -1.62 (Book Value of Equity -1.64b / Total Liabilities 1.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.85 = D |
Beneish M -2.84
| DSRI: 1.11 (Receivables 256.7m/178.7m, Revenue 1.52b/1.18b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 76.92% / 75.66%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.40 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 1.29 (Revenue 1.52b / 1.18b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -42.4m - CFO 220.3m) / TA 2.31b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.84 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of IOT shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 25.42 with a total of 7,631,157 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.38%, over one month by -27.29%, over three months by -33.28% and over the past year by -52.94%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -9.38%, over one month by -27.29%, over three months by -33.28% and over the past year by -52.94%.
Is IOT a buy, sell or hold?
Samsara has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy IOT.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IOT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.9 | 92.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.9 | 92.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 24.1 | -5.3% |
IOT Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 48.7805
P/S = 10.0213
P/B = 12.4179
Revenue TTM = 1.52b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.13m USD
Long Term Debt = 75.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 75.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -199.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.04b USD (15.24b + Debt 75.6m - CCE 275.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -35.3m (Ebit TTM -35.3m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0)
EV/FCF = 77.43x (Enterprise Value 15.04b / FCF TTM 194.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Enterprise Value 15.04b)
FCF Margin = 12.77% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Net Margin = -2.79% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Gross Margin = 76.92% ((Revenue TTM 1.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 350.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.69% (prev 76.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.50 (Enterprise Value 15.04b / Total Assets 2.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 38.69% (Interest Expense 29.3m / Debt 75.6m)
Taxrate = 14.61% (1.33m / 9.10m)
NOPAT = -30.1m (EBIT -35.3m * (1 - 14.61%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 806.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 75.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -32.55 (Net Debt -199.5m / EBITDA 6.13m)
Debt / FCF = -1.03 (Net Debt -199.5m / FCF TTM 194.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -42.4m / Total Assets 2.31b)
RoE = -3.59% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.18b)
RoCE = -2.81% (EBIT -35.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.18b + L.T.Debt 75.6m))
RoIC = -2.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -30.1m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 11.39% (E(15.24b)/V(15.31b) * Re(11.28%) + D(75.6m)/V(15.31b) * Rd(38.69%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 11.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.67% ; FCFF base≈124.1m ; Y1≈81.5m ; Y5≈37.2m
Fair Price DCF = 1.85 (EV 463.9m - Net Debt -199.5m = Equity 663.4m / Shares 358.2m; r=11.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 89.31 | EPS CAGR: 45.46% | SUE: 2.13 | # QB: 13
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 37.58% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 12
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+20.5%
P/S = 10.0213
P/B = 12.4179
Revenue TTM = 1.52b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.13m USD
Long Term Debt = 75.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 75.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -199.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.04b USD (15.24b + Debt 75.6m - CCE 275.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -35.3m (Ebit TTM -35.3m / Interest Expense TTM -1.0)
EV/FCF = 77.43x (Enterprise Value 15.04b / FCF TTM 194.2m)
FCF Yield = 1.29% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Enterprise Value 15.04b)
FCF Margin = 12.77% (FCF TTM 194.2m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Net Margin = -2.79% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Revenue TTM 1.52b)
Gross Margin = 76.92% ((Revenue TTM 1.52b - Cost of Revenue TTM 350.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.69% (prev 76.88%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.50 (Enterprise Value 15.04b / Total Assets 2.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 38.69% (Interest Expense 29.3m / Debt 75.6m)
Taxrate = 14.61% (1.33m / 9.10m)
NOPAT = -30.1m (EBIT -35.3m * (1 - 14.61%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.56 (Total Current Assets 1.26b / Total Current Liabilities 806.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 75.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.30b)
Debt / EBITDA = -32.55 (Net Debt -199.5m / EBITDA 6.13m)
Debt / FCF = -1.03 (Net Debt -199.5m / FCF TTM 194.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.18b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.03% (Net Income -42.4m / Total Assets 2.31b)
RoE = -3.59% (Net Income TTM -42.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.18b)
RoCE = -2.81% (EBIT -35.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.18b + L.T.Debt 75.6m))
RoIC = -2.55% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -30.1m / Invested Capital 1.18b)
WACC = 11.39% (E(15.24b)/V(15.31b) * Re(11.28%) + D(75.6m)/V(15.31b) * Rd(38.69%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 11.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.13%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.67% ; FCFF base≈124.1m ; Y1≈81.5m ; Y5≈37.2m
Fair Price DCF = 1.85 (EV 463.9m - Net Debt -199.5m = Equity 663.4m / Shares 358.2m; r=11.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 89.31 | EPS CAGR: 45.46% | SUE: 2.13 | # QB: 13
Revenue Correlation: 99.23 | Revenue CAGR: 37.58% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 12
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=16
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+7 | Growth EPS=+16.1% | Growth Revenue=+20.5%