(IP) International Paper - Overview
Stock: Linerboard, Medium, Pulp, Packaging, Fiber
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.04% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.72% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -15.81% |
| Payout Consistency | 29.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 158.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 |
| Alpha | -28.14 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.087 |
| Beta Downside | 1.160 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.36% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.30 |
Description: IP International Paper December 17, 2025
International Paper (NYSE:IP) manufactures renewable fiber-based packaging and pulp products across North America, Latin America, Europe, and North Africa, organized into two segments: Industrial Packaging and Global Cellulose Fibers. Its product slate includes linerboard, medium, whitetop, recycled board, saturating kraft, and a variety of specialty pulps used in diapers, tissue, feminine-care, textiles, construction, and coatings. Sales are made directly to converters and end-users as well as through agents, resellers, and distributors. The firm, founded in 1898, is headquartered in Memphis, Tennessee.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show net sales of roughly $20 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 13 %, and a free-cash-flow conversion of about 70 % of EBITDA, reflecting strong cash generation. The company’s earnings are sensitive to pulp price cycles (≈ 30 % of margin exposure) and to e-commerce-driven demand for corrugated packaging, which has grown at ~5 % CAGR over the past five years. Sustainability trends-particularly the shift toward recyclable and renewable packaging-provide a secular tailwind, while higher input costs (energy, wood fiber) and potential trade-policy shifts in Europe and North Africa constitute material risks.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s sector dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -3.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.74 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.86% < 20% (prev 11.63%; Δ -2.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 1.70b > Net Income -3.52b |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.28 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (528.0m) vs 12m ago 51.99% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.53% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2925 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 81.94% > 50% (prev 81.66%; Δ 0.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -8.00 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -130.0m / Interest Expense TTM 372.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.37
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 10.11b - Total Current Liabilities 7.90b) / Total Assets 37.96b |
| B: 0.13 (Retained Earnings 4.88b / Total Assets 37.96b) |
| C: -0.10 (EBIT TTM -2.98b / Avg Total Assets 30.38b) |
| D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 4.98b / Total Liabilities 23.14b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.37 = B |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 4.43b/3.36b, Revenue 24.90b/18.62b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 29.53% / 28.16%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.34 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 1.34 (Revenue 24.90b / 18.62b) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI -3.52b - CFO 1.70b) / TA 37.96b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of IP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.74%, over one month by +9.60%, over three months by +26.77% and over the past year by -9.83%.
Is IP a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the IP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 46.3 | -2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 46.3 | -2.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 50.3 | 5.9% |
IP Fundamental Data Overview February 09, 2026
P/S = 1.0407
P/B = 1.6589
P/EG = 1.7506
Revenue TTM = 24.90b USD
EBIT TTM = -2.98b USD
EBITDA TTM = -130.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.99b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 992.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.66b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.25b USD (24.60b + Debt 10.80b - CCE 1.15b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8.00 (Ebit TTM -2.98b / Interest Expense TTM 372.0m)
EV/FCF = -215.4x (Enterprise Value 34.25b / FCF TTM -159.0m)
FCF Yield = -0.46% (FCF TTM -159.0m / Enterprise Value 34.25b)
FCF Margin = -0.64% (FCF TTM -159.0m / Revenue TTM 24.90b)
Net Margin = -14.12% (Net Income TTM -3.52b / Revenue TTM 24.90b)
Gross Margin = 29.53% ((Revenue TTM 24.90b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.55b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.35% (prev 31.10%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 34.25b / Total Assets 37.96b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 95.0m / Debt 10.80b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -2.35b (EBIT -2.98b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 10.11b / Total Current Liabilities 7.90b)
Debt / Equity = 0.73 (Debt 10.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.83b)
Debt / EBITDA = -74.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 9.66b / EBITDA -130.0m)
Debt / FCF = -60.74 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.66b / FCF TTM -159.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -11.57% (Net Income -3.52b / Total Assets 37.96b)
RoE = -20.43% (Net Income TTM -3.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.21b)
RoCE = -11.36% (EBIT -2.98b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.21b + L.T.Debt 8.99b))
RoIC = -8.45% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -2.35b / Invested Capital 27.84b)
WACC = 7.10% (E(24.60b)/V(35.40b) * Re(9.92%) + D(10.80b)/V(35.40b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 23.47%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -159.0m)
EPS Correlation: -88.32 | EPS CAGR: -26.09% | SUE: -0.87 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 39.57 | Revenue CAGR: 3.72% | SUE: 3.53 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=-0.150 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=-0.304 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=+1006.8% | Growth Revenue=+4.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.93 | Chg30d=-0.237 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+61.4% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%