IX Stock Analysis: Orix Ads | NYSE
Financial Conglomerates | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 42.663m USD | 12M Return: 81.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 10.1M
EPS Trend: -84.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 94.3%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
ORIX Corporation (NYSE: IX) is a Tokyo-based diversified financial services company that operates across Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. Originally incorporated in 1950 as Orient Leasing Co., Ltd., the firm adopted its current name in 1989 and trades as a large-cap stock on the NYSE, classified under the Diversified Financial Services sub-industry.
ORIX runs a highly diversified business spanning multiple segments. Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing covers automobile and equipment leasing and rentals. Real Estate includes property development, rental, management, and asset management. The PE Investment and Concession segment handles private equity and concession operations. Environment and Energy provides ESCO services, recycling and waste management, solar panel sales, and renewable energy generation. Insurance is distributed through agents, banks, and both face-to-face and online channels. Banking and Credit offers consumer finance services, while the Aircraft and Ships segment manages aircraft leasing, ship finance, maritime asset management, and ship brokerage. Geographically, ORIX USA delivers finance, investment, and asset management; ORIX Europe focuses on equity and fixed-income asset management; and the Asia and Australia segment carries out finance and investment activities.
As a Japanese diversified financial, the company combines traditional lending and leasing with operating businesses such as real estate, renewable energy, and aircraft leasing, a structure that gives it both financial and industrial revenue streams across global markets.
- BoJ rate hikes expand net interest margins across lending segments
- Aircraft leasing profits recover as global air travel rebounds
- Yen weakness lifts translation of overseas segment earnings
| Net Income: 448b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.93 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 49.91% < 20% (prev 32.98%; Δ 16.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 1370b > Net Income 448b |
| Net Debt (5109b) to EBITDA (1265b): 4.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.38 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.09b) vs 12m ago -4.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.91% > 18% (prev 41.76%; Δ -6.85% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 19.14% > 50% (prev 17.04%; Δ 2.09% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.41 > 6 (EBIT TTM 860b / Interest Expense TTM 195b) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 6067b - Total Current Liabilities 4398b) / Total Assets 18081b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 3518b / Total Assets 18081b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 860b / Avg Total Assets 17474b) |
| D: 0.34 (Book Value of Equity 4502b / Total Liabilities 13437b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.92 = BBB |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 4609b/411b, Revenue 3344b/2875b) |
| GMI: 1.20 (GM 41.76% / 34.91%) |
| AQI: 0.99 (AQ_t 0.61 / AQ_t-1 0.62) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 3344b / 2875b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 448b - CFO 1370b) / TA 18081b) |
| Beneish M = -1.10 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.36 with a total of 254,968 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.47%, over one month by +2.15%, over three months by +25.47% and over the past year by +81.58%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 37.20 (which is 5.5% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).
Orix Ads has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold IX.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 38.9 | -1.2% |
Market Cap JPY = 6925b (42.7b USD * 162.32 USD.JPY)
P/E Trailing = 15.8138
P/E Forward = 14.245
P/S = 0.0128
P/B = 1.5463
P/EG = 2.7166
Revenue TTM = 3344b JPY
EBIT TTM = 860b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 1265b JPY
Long Term Debt = 5966b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 575b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6566b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5109b JPY (calculated: Debt 6566b - CCE 1457b)
Enterprise Value = 12034b JPY (6925b + Debt 6566b - CCE 1457b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.41 (Ebit TTM 860b / Interest Expense TTM 195b)
EV/FCF = 324.1x (Enterprise Value 12034b / FCF TTM 37.1b)
FCF Yield = 0.31% (FCF TTM 37.1b / Enterprise Value 12034b)
FCF Margin = 1.11% (FCF TTM 37.1b / Revenue TTM 3344b)
Net Margin = 13.41% (Net Income TTM 448b / Revenue TTM 3344b)
Gross Margin = 34.91% ((Revenue TTM 3344b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2176b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.79% (prev 30.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.67 (Enterprise Value 12034b / Total Assets 18081b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.97% (Interest Expense 195b / Debt 6566b)
Taxrate = 33.76% (234b / 694b)
NOPAT = 570b (EBIT 860b * (1 - 33.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 6067b / Total Current Liabilities 4398b)
Debt / Equity = 1.46 (Debt 6566b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4502b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.04 (Net Debt 5109b / EBITDA 1265b)
Debt / FCF = 137.6 (Net Debt 5109b / FCF TTM 37.1b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4419b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.57% (Net Income 448b / Total Assets 18081b)
RoE = 10.15% (Net Income TTM 448b / Total Stockholder Equity 4419b)
RoCE = 8.28% (EBIT 860b / Capital Employed (Equity 4419b + L.T.Debt 5966b))
RoIC = 3.18% (NOPAT 570b / Invested Capital 17914b)
WACC = 5.59% (E(6925b)/V(13491b) * Re(9.03%) + D(6566b)/V(13491b) * Rd(2.97%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 9.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -95.45 | Cagr: -3.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈503b ; Y1≈441b ; Y5≈357b
[DCF] Fair Price = 563.4 (EV 5724b - Net Debt 5109b = Equity 615b / Shares 1.09b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -84.72 | EPS CAGR: -33.12% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.31 | Revenue CAGR: 7.16% | SUE: 0.45 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=0
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=3.14 | Chg30d=+15.50% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-75.4% | GrowthRev=+376.2%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=2.98 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-4.9% | GrowthRev=+4.3%