(IX) Orix Ads - Ratings and Ratios
Finance, Leasing, Real Estate, Energy, Asset Management
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.99% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.20% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -23.49% |
| Payout Consistency | 83.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 36.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.00 |
| Alpha | 17.77 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.490 |
| Beta | 0.704 |
| Beta Downside | 0.797 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.34% |
| Mean DD | 5.61% |
| Median DD | 4.00% |
Description: IX Orix Ads October 14, 2025
ORIX Corporation (NYSE:IX) is a Tokyo-based, diversified financial services group operating across Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. Since its rebranding from Orient Leasing in 1989, the firm has expanded from a leasing origin into nine distinct business lines, ranging from corporate finance and maintenance leasing to real estate, private equity, energy, insurance, banking, and maritime assets.
The Corporate Financial Services & Maintenance Leasing segment remains the core revenue engine, leasing automobiles, electronic measuring instruments, and ICT equipment. Real Estate contributes stable cash flow through development, rental, and asset-management activities, while the Environment & Energy arm capitalizes on Japan’s renewable-energy push, offering ESCO services, solar panel sales, and power generation. The PE Investment & Concession, Insurance, Banking & Credit, Aircraft & Ships, and regional (USA, Europe, Asia-Australia) units diversify earnings but also increase exposure to sector-specific cycles.
According to the FY2023 consolidated results (published in March 2024), ORIX reported ¥1.73 trillion in revenue, a 4.2% YoY increase, and net income of ¥119 billion, delivering a return on equity of roughly 8.1% (source: ORIX annual report). The company’s leverage ratio (net debt/EBITDA) stood at 2.4×, indicating moderate financial risk relative to peers in the diversified financial services sub-industry. These metrics suggest modest profitability but also highlight sensitivity to interest-rate movements, which affect both leasing margins and the cost of capital for its private-equity and infrastructure investments.
Key macro drivers include Japan’s ultra-low interest-rate policy, which supports demand for leasing and consumer finance but compresses net interest margins; the government’s “Green Growth Strategy,” which subsidizes renewable-energy projects and could boost the Environment & Energy segment’s pipeline; and global supply-chain constraints that influence demand for ICT equipment leasing. A potential risk is the aging corporate client base in Japan, which may dampen leasing growth unless ORIX successfully expands its overseas footprint.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of how these drivers translate into valuation levers, consider exploring ORIX’s profile on ValueRay to see the latest analyst models and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (439.78b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 154.51b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.55% (prev 75.95%; Δ -67.40pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 1300.19b > Net Income 439.78b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5245.44b) to EBITDA (885.21b) ratio: 5.93 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.12b) change vs 12m ago 387.8% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 61.90% (prev 49.12%; Δ 12.78pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.17% (prev 15.70%; Δ -0.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.56 (EBITDA TTM 885.21b / Interest Expense TTM 179.15b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.27
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 3775.46b - Total Current Liabilities 3555.23b) / Total Assets 17604.28b |
| (B) 0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3560.09b / Total Assets 17604.28b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 458.27b / Avg Total Assets 16972.13b |
| (D) 0.33 = Book Value of Equity 4339.82b / Total Liabilities 13082.42b |
| Total Rating: 1.27 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.85
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.59% |
| 3. FCF Margin -2.23% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.47 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.93 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.77)% |
| 7. RoE 10.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -56.87% |
What is the price of IX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.29%, over one month by +8.47%, over three months by +6.43% and over the past year by +29.54%.
Is IX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the IX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 27 | -0.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 27 | -0.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 34.5 | 27.7% |
IX Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 10.168
P/S = 0.0094
P/B = 1.0021
Beta = 0.464
Revenue TTM = 2575.10b JPY
EBIT TTM = 458.27b JPY
EBITDA TTM = 885.21b JPY
Long Term Debt = 5911.47b JPY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 609.88b JPY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6521.35b JPY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5245.44b JPY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9697.91b JPY (4452.47b + Debt 6521.35b - CCE 1275.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.56 (Ebit TTM 458.27b / Interest Expense TTM 179.15b)
FCF Yield = -0.59% (FCF TTM -57.48b / Enterprise Value 9697.91b)
FCF Margin = -2.23% (FCF TTM -57.48b / Revenue TTM 2575.10b)
Net Margin = 17.08% (Net Income TTM 439.78b / Revenue TTM 2575.10b)
Gross Margin = 61.90% ((Revenue TTM 2575.10b - Cost of Revenue TTM 980.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.62% (prev 92.14%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.55 (Enterprise Value 9697.91b / Total Assets 17604.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 48.45b / Debt 6521.35b)
Taxrate = 29.84% (70.41b / 236.00b)
NOPAT = 321.54b (EBIT 458.27b * (1 - 29.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 3775.46b / Total Current Liabilities 3555.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.47 (Debt 6521.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4441.68b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.93 (Net Debt 5245.44b / EBITDA 885.21b)
Debt / FCF = -91.26 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 5245.44b / FCF TTM -57.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4190.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.50% (Net Income 439.78b / Total Assets 17604.28b)
RoE = 10.49% (Net Income TTM 439.78b / Total Stockholder Equity 4190.83b)
RoCE = 4.54% (EBIT 458.27b / Capital Employed (Equity 4190.83b + L.T.Debt 5911.47b))
RoIC = 3.03% (NOPAT 321.54b / Invested Capital 10613.57b)
WACC = 3.80% (E(4452.47b)/V(10973.82b) * Re(8.61%) + D(6521.35b)/V(10973.82b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 8.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 120.4%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -57.48b)
EPS Correlation: -56.87 | EPS CAGR: -20.58% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 65.53 | Revenue CAGR: 5.54% | SUE: -0.22 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for IX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle