(K) Kellanova - Ratings and Ratios
Snacks, Crackers, Pastries, Cereals, Waffles
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.43% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.22% |
| Payout Consistency | 75.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 62.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 2.27% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 3.46% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha | 1.26 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.381 |
| Beta | 0.042 |
| Beta Downside | 0.007 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 28.12% |
| Mean DD | 7.43% |
| Median DD | 5.62% |
Description: K Kellanova October 14, 2025
Kellanova (NYSE:K), formerly Kellogg Company, is a worldwide producer and marketer of snacks and convenience foods, operating in North America, Europe, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific, the Middle East, Australia and Africa.
The portfolio spans crackers, savory snacks, toaster pastries, cereal and granola bars, as well as ready-to-eat cereals, frozen waffles, veggie foods and noodles. Flagship brands include Kellogg’s, Pringles, Cheez-It, RXBAR, Eggo, MorningStar Farms, Special K, Pop-Tarts and many regional names.
Products reach retailers through a combination of Kellanova’s direct sales force, third-party brokers and distributors, allowing the company to serve both large-format chains and smaller independent outlets.
The firm rebranded from Kellogg Company to Kellanova in October 2023; it was founded in 1906 and remains headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
In FY 2023 Kellanova reported net sales of approximately $14.3 billion, with an adjusted operating margin of 12.5% and a 4.2% year-over-year increase in emerging-market revenue, driven largely by growth in Asia-Pacific snack categories.
Key sector dynamics include persistent inflationary pressure on grain and dairy inputs, a consumer shift toward “better-for-you” and plant-based snacking, and the ongoing consolidation of private-label competitors that compresses pricing power across the packaged-foods industry.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Kellanova’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboard a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (1.28b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 760.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.98% (prev -8.75%; Δ -4.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.25b <= Net Income 1.28b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.96b) to EBITDA (2.28b) ratio: 2.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (350.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.86% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 34.89% (prev 35.38%; Δ -0.49pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 80.68% (prev 81.20%; Δ -0.52pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.56 (EBITDA TTM 2.28b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.85
| (A) -0.11 = (Total Current Assets 3.46b - Total Current Liabilities 5.11b) / Total Assets 15.64b |
| (B) 0.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 9.70b / Total Assets 15.64b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 1.91b / Avg Total Assets 15.70b |
| (D) 0.67 = Book Value of Equity 7.57b / Total Liabilities 11.35b |
| Total Rating: 2.85 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.62
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.71% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.73% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.07)% |
| 7. RoE 31.92% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -69.01% |
| 9. EPS Trend -31.69% |
What is the price of K shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.18%, over one month by +0.61%, over three months by +5.98% and over the past year by +5.79%.
Is K a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the K price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 83.4 | -0.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 83.4 | -0.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 91.7 | 9.7% |
K Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.8005
P/E Forward = 21.4133
P/S = 2.2916
P/B = 6.9082
P/EG = 3.6267
Beta = 0.251
Revenue TTM = 12.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.91b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.28b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.44b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.96b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.99b USD (29.03b + Debt 6.20b - CCE 240.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.56 (Ebit TTM 1.91b / Interest Expense TTM 291.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.71% (FCF TTM 599.0m / Enterprise Value 34.99b)
FCF Margin = 4.73% (FCF TTM 599.0m / Revenue TTM 12.67b)
Net Margin = 10.08% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Revenue TTM 12.67b)
Gross Margin = 34.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.25% (prev 34.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.24 (Enterprise Value 34.99b / Total Assets 15.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 60.0m / Debt 6.20b)
Taxrate = 22.25% (89.0m / 400.0m)
NOPAT = 1.49b (EBIT 1.91b * (1 - 22.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 3.46b / Total Current Liabilities 5.11b)
Debt / Equity = 1.48 (Debt 6.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.20b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.61 (Net Debt 5.96b / EBITDA 2.28b)
Debt / FCF = 9.95 (Net Debt 5.96b / FCF TTM 599.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.00b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.16% (Net Income 1.28b / Total Assets 15.64b)
RoE = 31.92% (Net Income TTM 1.28b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.00b)
RoCE = 22.90% (EBIT 1.91b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.00b + L.T.Debt 4.34b))
RoIC = 15.28% (NOPAT 1.49b / Invested Capital 9.72b)
WACC = 5.22% (E(29.03b)/V(35.23b) * Re(6.17%) + D(6.20b)/V(35.23b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 6.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.83% ; FCFE base≈730.2m ; Y1≈626.2m ; Y5≈488.6m
Fair Price DCF = 25.65 (DCF Value 8.92b / Shares Outstanding 347.9m; 5y FCF grow -17.32% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -31.69 | EPS CAGR: 3.37% | SUE: 0.78 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -69.01 | Revenue CAGR: -1.28% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for K Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle