(KNX) Knight Transportation - Ratings and Ratios
Truckload, LTL, Logistics, Intermodal
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.85% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 18.92% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 55.0% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 58.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.16 |
| Alpha | -24.30 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.523 |
| Beta | 1.080 |
| Beta Downside | 1.018 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.04% |
| Mean DD | 17.14% |
| Median DD | 15.58% |
Description: KNX Knight Transportation November 04, 2025
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (NYSE:KNX) operates four core segments-Truckload, Less-than-Truckload (LTL), Logistics, and Intermodal-providing freight services across the United States and Mexico. The Truckload segment runs roughly 22,800 tractors (≈ 90 % owned) and 93,000 trailers, covering dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited and cross-border lanes. The LTL network includes about 170 service centers and partners for national coverage, supported by ~3,600 tractors and 9,600 trailers. Logistics offers brokerage and freight-management services, while Intermodal runs ~615 tractors plus 12,500 containers for drayage and rail-linked moves.
Recent quarterly data (Q4 2023) shows KNX generated $1.16 billion in revenue, with the Truckload segment contributing ~ 55 % and reporting a capacity utilization of 82 %-a modest improvement over the 78 % average in 2022. Diesel price exposure remains a key cost driver; the company’s hedging program covered ~ 70 % of its fuel consumption in 2023, mitigating the impact of the 15 % YoY rise in diesel prices. Driver shortage metrics indicate an industry-wide vacancy rate of ~ 12 %, and KNX’s driver academy enrollment grew 18 % YoY, suggesting a proactive response to labor constraints.
The broader cargo-ground transportation sector is being reshaped by e-commerce growth (projected to add ~ 3 % annual freight volume) and supply-chain reshoring trends, which together lift demand for both full-truckload capacity and flexible LTL services. However, macro-economic headwinds-namely a potential slowdown in consumer spending and tighter credit conditions-could depress freight rates, making KNX’s diversified service mix and cross-border exposure a relative hedge against sector volatility.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of KNX’s valuation dynamics, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (142.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 448.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.77pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 4.86% (prev 0.11%; Δ 4.75pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 817.8m > Net Income 142.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.47b) to EBITDA (1.06b) ratio: 2.34 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.33 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (162.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.26% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 16.39% (prev 24.21%; Δ -7.82pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 58.78% (prev 58.31%; Δ 0.47pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.60 (EBITDA TTM 1.06b / Interest Expense TTM 167.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.52
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 1.47b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 12.62b |
| (B) 0.21 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.64b / Total Assets 12.62b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 267.6m / Avg Total Assets 12.72b |
| (D) 0.48 = Book Value of Equity 2.64b / Total Liabilities 5.50b |
| Total Rating: 1.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 44.20
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.56% |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.71% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.39 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.34 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -5.97)% |
| 7. RoE 2.00% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 18.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -72.30% |
What is the price of KNX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.29%, over one month by +9.05%, over three months by +16.45% and over the past year by -9.72%.
Is KNX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KNX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 53.6 | 7.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 53.6 | 7.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 50.2 | 0.8% |
KNX Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 52.0455
P/E Forward = 21.9298
P/S = 0.9943
P/B = 1.0455
P/EG = 0.5451
Beta = 1.173
Revenue TTM = 7.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 267.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 312.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.76b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.47b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.90b USD (7.44b + Debt 2.76b - CCE 294.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.60 (Ebit TTM 267.6m / Interest Expense TTM 167.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.56% (FCF TTM 352.4m / Enterprise Value 9.90b)
FCF Margin = 4.71% (FCF TTM 352.4m / Revenue TTM 7.48b)
Net Margin = 1.90% (Net Income TTM 142.2m / Revenue TTM 7.48b)
Gross Margin = 16.39% ((Revenue TTM 7.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.25b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.81% (prev 6.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.78 (Enterprise Value 9.90b / Total Assets 12.62b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.48% (Interest Expense 40.9m / Debt 2.76b)
Taxrate = 47.00% (7.39m / 15.7m)
NOPAT = 141.8m (EBIT 267.6m * (1 - 47.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 1.47b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 2.76b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.11b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.34 (Net Debt 2.47b / EBITDA 1.06b)
Debt / FCF = 7.00 (Net Debt 2.47b / FCF TTM 352.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.12b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.13% (Net Income 142.2m / Total Assets 12.62b)
RoE = 2.00% (Net Income TTM 142.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.12b)
RoCE = 2.87% (EBIT 267.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.12b + L.T.Debt 2.22b))
RoIC = 1.53% (NOPAT 141.8m / Invested Capital 9.27b)
WACC = 7.50% (E(7.44b)/V(10.20b) * Re(10.0%) + D(2.76b)/V(10.20b) * Rd(1.48%) * (1-Tc(0.47)))
Discount Rate = 10.0% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.39%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.16% ; FCFE base≈212.4m ; Y1≈139.5m ; Y5≈63.8m
Fair Price DCF = 5.77 (DCF Value 937.3m / Shares Outstanding 162.3m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -72.30 | EPS CAGR: -35.00% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 18.53 | Revenue CAGR: 1.58% | SUE: 0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.34 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=-9 | Analysts=12
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=+0.014 | Revisions Net=-16 | Growth EPS=+55.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%
Additional Sources for KNX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle