KNX Stock Analysis: Knight Transportation | NYSE
Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.176m USD | 12M Return: 35.6% | US4990491049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 213M
EPS Trend: 36.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 73.4%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) is a large-cap U.S. freight transportation company headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, that operates across four segments: Truckload, LTL (Less-Than-Truckload), Logistics, and Intermodal. The company provides a broad range of services, including irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, and cross-border trucking; regional LTL service supported by partner carriers; third-party freight brokerage; and intermodal rail coordination with drayage.
Beyond core transportation, Knight-Swift offers ancillary services such as repair and maintenance, equipment leasing, insurance, trailer parts manufacturing, warehousing, and a driving academy. Its customer base spans retail, food and beverage, consumer products, automotive, manufacturing, and housing industries across the United States and Mexico. The company was incorporated in 1989 and has been publicly traded since 1994.
Operating within the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry, Knight-Swift combines asset-based trucking with asset-light offerings (brokerage and intermodal), giving it exposure to multiple segments of the freight cycle. Truckload carriers handle the majority of U.S. domestic freight tonnage, while intermodal services pair long-haul rail with short-haul drayage to balance cost efficiency and delivery flexibility.
- Truckload freight rates pressured by soft demand and excess capacity
- LTL segment expansion drives margin improvement post-AAA Cooper integration
- Intermodal volumes grow as shippers convert from over-the-road to rail
| Net Income: 153.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.82 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.30% < 20% (prev 4.86%; Δ -6.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.39b > Net Income 153.3m |
| Net Debt (3.10b) to EBITDA (1.08b): 2.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (163.3m) vs 12m ago 0.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.86% > 18% (prev 16.39%; Δ 14.47% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 64.65% > 50% (prev 59.26%; Δ 5.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.77 > 6 (EBIT TTM 309.5m / Interest Expense TTM 111.9m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.04b - Total Current Liabilities 1.14b) / Total Assets 12.1b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 2.65b / Total Assets 12.1b) |
| C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 309.5m / Avg Total Assets 12.4b) |
| D: 1.40 (Book Value of Equity 7.07b / Total Liabilities 5.06b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.29 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.47 (Receivables 479.8m/952.6m, Revenue 8.00b/7.48b) |
| GMI: 0.53 (GM 16.39% / 30.86%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.48) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 8.00b / 7.48b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 153.3m - CFO 1.39b) / TA 12.1b) |
| Beneish M = -3.84 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 60.43 with a total of 3,342,250 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.40%, over one month by -4.91%, over three months by -14.32% and over the past year by +35.64%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 57.80 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Knight Transportation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.48. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KNX.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 85.3 | 41.1% |
P/E Trailing = 66.5106
P/E Forward = 15.6006
P/S = 1.3165
P/B = 1.5641
P/EG = 0.2484
Revenue TTM = 8.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 309.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.65b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 264.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.41b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 987.9m
Net Debt = 3.10b USD (calculated: Debt 3.41b - CCE 318.0m)
Enterprise Value = 13.3b USD (10.2b + Debt 3.41b - CCE 318.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.77 (Ebit TTM 309.5m / Interest Expense TTM 111.9m)
EV/FCF = 11.67x (Enterprise Value 13.3b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
FCF Yield = 8.57% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Enterprise Value 13.3b)
FCF Margin = 14.21% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Net Margin = 1.92% (Net Income TTM 153.3m / Revenue TTM 8.00b)
Gross Margin = 30.86% ((Revenue TTM 8.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.76% (prev 8.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 13.3b / Total Assets 12.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.28% (Interest Expense 111.9m / Debt 3.41b)
Taxrate = 29.77% (64.8m / 217.7m)
NOPAT = 217.4m (EBIT 309.5m * (1 - 29.77%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 1.04b / Total Current Liabilities 1.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 3.41b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.07b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 3.10b / EBITDA 1.08b)
Debt / FCF = 2.72 (Net Debt 3.10b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.24% (Net Income 153.3m / Total Assets 12.1b)
RoE = 2.18% (Net Income TTM 153.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.05b)
RoCE = 3.56% (EBIT 309.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.05b + L.T.Debt 1.65b))
RoIC = 1.99% (NOPAT 217.4m / Invested Capital 10.9b)
WACC = 7.25% (E(10.2b)/V(13.6b) * Re(8.91%) + D(3.41b)/V(13.6b) * Rd(3.28%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 98.63 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈760.5m ; Y1≈871.8m ; Y5≈1.28b
[DCF] Fair Price = 99.60 (EV 19.3b - Net Debt 3.10b = Equity 16.2b / Shares 162.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 36.66 | EPS CAGR: 10.61% | SUE: 1.20 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 73.44 | Revenue CAGR: 2.32% | SUE: 0.93 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.75 | Chg30d=+1.62% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.38 | Chg30d=+2.98% | Revisions=-6% | GrowthEPS=+89.2% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.06 | Chg30d=+0.73% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+70.3% | GrowthRev=+8.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -14% (up=11, down=15)