KNX Stock Analysis: Knight Transportation | NYSE
Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 12.406m USD | 12M Return: 64.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 339M
EPS Trend: -53.9%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 74.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (NYSE: KNX) is a large-cap U.S. freight transportation company headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, operating across the United States and Mexico. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is classified within the Industrials sector under Cargo Ground Transportation, a sub-industry covering businesses that move freight over land via truck, rail, and intermodal services.
The company operates through four reporting segments: Truckload, LTL, Logistics, and Intermodal. The Truckload segment provides irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, and cross-border services. The LTL (less-than-truckload) segment offers regional direct service, supplementing its own network with partner carriers for broader national coverage. The Logistics segment offers brokerage and freight management using third-party transportation providers, while the Intermodal segment arranges container movements on third-party rail networks and provides drayage services that connect rail terminals to customer facilities.
In addition to its core transportation operations, Knight-Swift provides repair and maintenance shop services, equipment leasing, warranty services, and insurance. It also engages in trailer parts manufacturing, warehousing, and driver training through its driving academy activities. The companys customer base spans retail, food and beverage, consumer and paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries.
- Truckload spot rates recover from cyclical lows amid tighter capacity
- LTL margins expand as AAA Cooper integration delivers cost synergies
- Intermodal volumes grow as shippers shift freight from truckload to rail
| Net Income: 34.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -5.39% < 20% (prev -2.61%; Δ -2.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.30b > Net Income 34.0m |
| Net Debt (3.67b) to EBITDA (992.6m): 3.70 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.70 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (163.1m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.77% > 18% (prev 24.28%; Δ 0.49% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.06% > 50% (prev 58.80%; Δ 2.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 205.6m / Interest Expense TTM 152.3m) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 954.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.36b) / Total Assets 11.9b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 2.56b / Total Assets 11.9b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 205.6m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b) |
| D: 1.44 (Book Value of Equity 7.05b / Total Liabilities 4.88b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.11 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.53 (Receivables 474.3m/889.9m, Revenue 7.50b/7.41b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 24.28% / 24.77%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 7.50b / 7.41b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 34.0m - CFO 1.30b) / TA 11.9b) |
| Beneish M = -3.42 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of July 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 74.81 with a total of 1,591,771 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.35%, over one month by -7.31%, over three months by +25.52% and over the past year by +64.19%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 71.50 (which is 4.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Knight Transportation has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.95. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KNX.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 81.6 | 9.1% |
P/E Trailing = 363.5714
P/E Forward = 38.61
P/S = 1.6552
P/B = 1.7588
P/EG = 0.6363
Revenue TTM = 7.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 205.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 992.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.36b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 610.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.30b
Net Debt = 3.67b USD (calculated: Debt 3.96b - CCE 293.2m)
Enterprise Value = 16.1b USD (12.4b + Debt 3.96b - CCE 293.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.35 (Ebit TTM 205.6m / Interest Expense TTM 152.3m)
EV/FCF = 12.90x (Enterprise Value 16.1b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
FCF Yield = 7.75% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Enterprise Value 16.1b)
FCF Margin = 16.63% (FCF TTM 1.25b / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Net Margin = 0.45% (Net Income TTM 34.0m / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Gross Margin = 24.77% ((Revenue TTM 7.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 9.63% (prev 72.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 16.1b / Total Assets 11.9b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.85% (Interest Expense 152.3m / Debt 3.96b)
Taxrate = 36.34% (19.4m / 53.3m)
NOPAT = 130.9m (EBIT 205.6m * (1 - 36.34%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 954.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.36b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 3.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.70 (Net Debt 3.67b / EBITDA 992.6m)
Debt / FCF = 2.94 (Net Debt 3.67b / FCF TTM 1.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.09b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.28% (Net Income 34.0m / Total Assets 11.9b)
RoE = 0.48% (Net Income TTM 34.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.09b)
RoCE = 2.43% (EBIT 205.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.09b + L.T.Debt 1.36b))
RoIC = 1.20% (NOPAT 130.9m / Invested Capital 10.9b)
WACC = 7.69% (E(12.4b)/V(16.4b) * Re(9.37%) + D(3.96b)/V(16.4b) * Rd(3.85%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 9.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 73.03 | Cagr: 0.27%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈796.5m ; Y1≈913.1m ; Y5≈1.34b
[DCF] Fair Price = 101.9 (EV 20.2b - Net Debt 3.67b = Equity 16.6b / Shares 162.5m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -53.92 | EPS CAGR: -24.63% | SUE: -1.33 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 74.89 | Revenue CAGR: 2.78% | SUE: -0.25 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.50 | Chg30d=+4.86% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=16
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=+7.02% | Revisions=+57% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.00 | Chg30d=+5.96% | Revisions=+62% | GrowthEPS=+58.4% | GrowthRev=+8.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.59 | Chg30d=+7.70% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+80.0% | GrowthRev=+8.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +87% (up=20, down=0)