KNX Stock Analysis: Knight Transportation | NYSE
Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 10.493m USD | 12M Return: 52.9% | US4990491049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 224M
EPS Trend: -27.8%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: 73.6%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) is a large-cap U.S. freight transportation company headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, that operates across four segments: Truckload, LTL (Less-Than-Truckload), Logistics, and Intermodal. The company provides a broad range of services, including irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, and cross-border trucking; regional LTL service supported by partner carriers; third-party freight brokerage; and intermodal rail coordination with drayage.
Beyond core transportation, Knight-Swift offers ancillary services such as repair and maintenance, equipment leasing, insurance, trailer parts manufacturing, warehousing, and a driving academy. Its customer base spans retail, food and beverage, consumer products, automotive, manufacturing, and housing industries across the United States and Mexico. The company was incorporated in 1989 and has been publicly traded since 1994.
Operating within the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry, Knight-Swift combines asset-based trucking with asset-light offerings (brokerage and intermodal), giving it exposure to multiple segments of the freight cycle. Truckload carriers handle the majority of U.S. domestic freight tonnage, while intermodal services pair long-haul rail with short-haul drayage to balance cost efficiency and delivery flexibility.
- Truckload freight rates pressured by soft demand and excess capacity
- LTL segment expansion drives margin improvement post-AAA Cooper integration
- Intermodal volumes grow as shippers convert from over-the-road to rail
| Net Income: 42.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 7.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.71% < 20% (prev -2.44%; Δ 0.72% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 1.39b > Net Income 42.9m |
| Net Debt (3.49b) to EBITDA (1.01b): 3.45 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (163.3m) vs 12m ago 0.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.75% > 18% (prev 19.74%; Δ 5.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.03% > 50% (prev 59.31%; Δ 3.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 221.6m / Interest Expense TTM 134.7m) |
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 942.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 12.0b |
| B: 0.21 (Retained Earnings 2.57b / Total Assets 12.0b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 221.6m / Avg Total Assets 12.3b) |
| D: 1.39 (Book Value of Equity 6.98b / Total Liabilities 5.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.21 = BBB |
| DSRI: 0.48 (Receivables 446.8m/887.4m, Revenue 7.73b/7.43b) |
| GMI: 0.80 (GM 19.74% / 24.75%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.50 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 7.73b / 7.43b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 42.9m - CFO 1.39b) / TA 12.0b) |
| Beneish M = -3.61 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of October 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 64.52 with a total of 1,932,800 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.10%, over one month by -5.71%, over three months by -12.95% and over the past year by +52.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 61.90 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Knight Transportation has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.48. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KNX.
- StrongBuy: 15
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 85.7 | 32.8% |
P/E Trailing = 238.7778
P/E Forward = 15.6006
P/S = 1.3575
P/B = 1.5641
P/EG = 0.2484
Revenue TTM = 7.73b USD
EBIT TTM = 221.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.01b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.70b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 279.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 987.9m
Net Debt = 3.49b USD (calculated: Debt 3.67b - CCE 186.1m)
Enterprise Value = 14.0b USD (10.5b + Debt 3.67b - CCE 186.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.65 (Ebit TTM 221.6m / Interest Expense TTM 134.7m)
EV/FCF = 12.29x (Enterprise Value 14.0b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
FCF Yield = 8.13% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Enterprise Value 14.0b)
FCF Margin = 14.71% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 7.73b)
Net Margin = 0.56% (Net Income TTM 42.9m / Revenue TTM 7.73b)
Gross Margin = 24.75% ((Revenue TTM 7.73b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.49% (prev 9.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.16 (Enterprise Value 14.0b / Total Assets 12.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.67% (Interest Expense 134.7m / Debt 3.67b)
Taxrate = 39.12% (27.7m / 70.9m)
NOPAT = 134.9m (EBIT 221.6m * (1 - 39.12%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 942.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 3.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.45 (Net Debt 3.49b / EBITDA 1.01b)
Debt / FCF = 3.07 (Net Debt 3.49b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.35% (Net Income 42.9m / Total Assets 12.0b)
RoE = 0.61% (Net Income TTM 42.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.06b)
RoCE = 2.53% (EBIT 221.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.06b + L.T.Debt 1.70b))
RoIC = 1.22% (NOPAT 134.9m / Invested Capital 11.0b)
WACC = 7.52% (E(10.5b)/V(14.2b) * Re(9.37%) + D(3.67b)/V(14.2b) * Rd(3.67%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 9.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 97.93 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈760.5m ; Y1≈871.8m ; Y5≈1.28b
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.21 (EV 19.3b - Net Debt 3.49b = Equity 15.8b / Shares 162.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -27.77 | EPS CAGR: -9.22% | SUE: 3.33 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.56 | Revenue CAGR: 2.29% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-0.62% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.31 | Chg30d=-0.28% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+83.2% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.02 | Chg30d=+0.56% | Revisions=+83% | GrowthEPS=+74.3% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +65% (up=15, down=2)