KR Stock Analysis: Kroger | NYSE
Grocery Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 35.760m USD | 12M Return: -9.8% | US5010441013 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 400M
EPS Trend: 69.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -34.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Kroger is a U.S. food and drug retailer that operates a multi-format store base, including combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouse stores. The company offers groceries, pharmacy services, health and beauty care, general merchandise, apparel, and fuel through its fuel centers, and it also manufactures and processes food products for sale in its own supermarkets. Products are distributed through physical stores, fuel centers, and online platforms. Founded in 1883, Kroger is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, and trades on the NYSE under the ticker KR.
Within the Consumer Staples sector, Kroger sits in the Food Retail sub-industry, a category characterized by high sales volume, thin operating margins, and intense competition from mass merchants, warehouse clubs, and discount grocers. The companys vertical integration into food manufacturing and its fuel-center operations are strategies commonly used by large food retailers to diversify revenue streams and drive incremental store traffic beyond core grocery sales.
- Albertsons merger termination triggers $4.7B fee and standalone strategy reset
- Our Brands private label expansion boosts gross margins and loyalty
- Digital grocery and Boost membership subscriptions drive customer engagement
| Net Income: 1.08b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.68% < 20% (prev -0.61%; Δ -3.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 6.60b > Net Income 1.08b |
| Net Debt (31.3b) to EBITDA (5.50b): 5.69 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.70 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (608.0m) vs 12m ago -8.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.11% > 18% (prev 23.12%; Δ -0.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 289.7% > 50% (prev 274.3%; Δ 15.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.00b / Interest Expense TTM 710.0m) |
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 12.9b - Total Current Liabilities 18.4b) / Total Assets 49.5b |
| B: 0.58 (Retained Earnings 28.9b / Total Assets 49.5b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 2.00b / Avg Total Assets 51.5b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 5.85b / Total Liabilities 43.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.57 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.19b/2.21b, Revenue 149b/147b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 23.12% / 23.11%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 149b / 147b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.08b - CFO 6.60b) / TA 49.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 57.64 with a total of 6,812,525 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.72%, over one month by -2.44%, over three months by +1.73% and over the past year by -9.80%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 54.40 (which is 5.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Kroger has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold KR.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 67.9 | 17.8% |
P/E Trailing = 32.7869
P/E Forward = 11.7509
P/S = 0.2395
P/B = 6.1935
P/EG = 0.595
Revenue TTM = 149b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 33.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.81b
Net Debt = 31.3b USD (calculated: Debt 33.0b - CCE 1.68b)
Enterprise Value = 67.1b USD (35.8b + Debt 33.0b - CCE 1.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 2.00b / Interest Expense TTM 710.0m)
EV/FCF = 29.51x (Enterprise Value 67.1b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
FCF Yield = 3.39% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Enterprise Value 67.1b)
FCF Margin = 1.52% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Net Margin = 0.73% (Net Income TTM 1.08b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Gross Margin = 23.11% ((Revenue TTM 149b - Cost of Revenue TTM 115b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.70% (prev 23.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.35 (Enterprise Value 67.1b / Total Assets 49.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.15% (Interest Expense 710.0m / Debt 33.0b)
Taxrate = 18.69% (251.0m / 1.34b)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.00b * (1 - 18.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.9b / Total Current Liabilities 18.4b)
Debt / Equity = 5.64 (Debt 33.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.69 (Net Debt 31.3b / EBITDA 5.50b)
Debt / FCF = 13.77 (Net Debt 31.3b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 1.08b / Total Assets 49.5b)
RoE = 17.16% (Net Income TTM 1.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.32b)
RoCE = 9.62% (EBIT 2.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.32b + L.T.Debt 14.5b))
RoIC = 5.11% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 31.9b)
WACC = 2.63% (E(35.8b)/V(68.7b) * Re(3.45%) + D(33.0b)/V(68.7b) * Rd(2.15%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 3.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 3.72%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.84 | Cagr: -7.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.79% ; FCFF base≈2.25b ; Y1≈2.31b ; Y5≈2.56b
[DCF] Fair Price = 13.90 (EV 39.6b - Net Debt 31.3b = Equity 8.28b / Shares 596.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 69.13 | EPS CAGR: 2.93% | SUE: 1.47 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -34.49 | Revenue CAGR: -0.35% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=-0.47% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=-0.33% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.1% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=5.51 | Chg30d=-0.43% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +8% (up=5, down=4)