(KR) Kroger - Ratings and Ratios
Grocery, Pharmacy, Fuel, Apparel, Produce
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.15% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.69% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 15.73% |
| Payout Consistency | 62.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | 8.01 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.92 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.379 |
| Beta | -0.209 |
| Beta Downside | -0.089 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.77% |
| Mean DD | 5.32% |
| Median DD | 5.05% |
Description: KR Kroger December 04, 2025
The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) is a U.S.-based food and drug retailer that operates four primary formats: combination food-and-drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price-impact warehouse stores. Across these formats the company offers a broad assortment that includes natural and organic foods, pharmacy services, general merchandise, apparel, electronics, and fuel, while also manufacturing many of its private-label food products and selling them through both brick-and-mortar locations and online channels.
Key performance indicators from recent filings show that Kroger’s FY 2023 comparable sales grew roughly 4.5% year-over-year, driven in part by a 12% surge in digital sales and a 3.2% increase in fuel-center volume. The retailer’s operating margin hovered around 3.0%, reflecting cost-inflation pressures common in the grocery sector. A critical economic driver is consumer inflation, which tends to shift demand toward private-label and value-priced items-a trend Kroger has capitalized on through its Simple Truth and Private Selection brands. Additionally, the broader food-retail industry is sensitive to commodity price volatility and labor cost dynamics, both of which can materially affect Kroger’s cost structure.
If you’re looking for a deeper, data-driven assessment of KR’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analyst notes provide a concise next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (2.73b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 8.82b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.46pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -1.52% (prev 5.83%; Δ -7.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.02b > Net Income 2.73b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (24.98b) to EBITDA (7.94b) ratio: 3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (NaN) change vs 12m ago NaN% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.12% (prev 22.43%; Δ 0.68pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 258.2% (prev 240.6%; Δ 17.58pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.10 (EBITDA TTM 7.94b / Interest Expense TTM 656.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.02
| (A) -0.04 = (Total Current Assets 15.99b - Total Current Liabilities 18.22b) / Total Assets 51.44b |
| (B) 0.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 28.72b / Total Assets 51.44b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 4.00b / Avg Total Assets 56.93b |
| (D) 0.01 = Book Value of Equity 642.0m / Total Liabilities 44.40b |
| Total Rating: 2.02 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.61
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 1.50% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 8.99)% |
| 7. RoE 32.54% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 13.78% |
| 9. EPS Trend 16.59% |
What is the price of KR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.47%, over one month by -3.81%, over three months by -6.97% and over the past year by +3.50%.
Is KR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the KR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 75.6 | 21.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 75.6 | 21.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 71.2 | 14.5% |
KR Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.0254
P/E Forward = 12.7389
P/S = 0.2846
P/B = 4.7263
P/EG = 1.4385
Beta = 0.581
Revenue TTM = 147.00b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 7.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 17.63b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.60b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 25.20b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 24.98b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 66.82b USD (41.84b + Debt 25.20b - CCE 222.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.10 (Ebit TTM 4.00b / Interest Expense TTM 656.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.31% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Enterprise Value 66.82b)
FCF Margin = 1.50% (FCF TTM 2.21b / Revenue TTM 147.00b)
Net Margin = 1.86% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Revenue TTM 147.00b)
Gross Margin = 23.12% ((Revenue TTM 147.00b - Cost of Revenue TTM 113.02b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.01% (prev 23.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 66.82b / Total Assets 51.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.57% (Interest Expense 144.0m / Debt 25.20b)
Taxrate = 20.98% (162.0m / 772.0m)
NOPAT = 3.16b (EBIT 4.00b * (1 - 20.98%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 15.99b / Total Current Liabilities 18.22b)
Debt / Equity = 3.58 (Debt 25.20b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.04b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 24.98b / EBITDA 7.94b)
Debt / FCF = 11.29 (Net Debt 24.98b / FCF TTM 2.21b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.30% (Net Income 2.73b / Total Assets 51.44b)
RoE = 32.54% (Net Income TTM 2.73b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.38b)
RoCE = 15.38% (EBIT 4.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.38b + L.T.Debt 17.63b))
RoIC = 12.43% (NOPAT 3.16b / Invested Capital 25.42b)
WACC = 3.44% (E(41.84b)/V(67.04b) * Re(5.24%) + D(25.20b)/V(67.04b) * Rd(0.57%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.24% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.23%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.26% ; FCFE base≈2.04b ; Y1≈1.90b ; Y5≈1.76b
Fair Price DCF = 47.68 (DCF Value 31.60b / Shares Outstanding 662.7m; 5y FCF grow -8.34% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 16.59 | EPS CAGR: 3.89% | SUE: 1.05 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 13.78 | Revenue CAGR: 1.70% | SUE: -0.59 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.69 | Chg30d=+0.033 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.29 | Chg30d=+0.018 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+10.5% | Growth Revenue=+2.7%
Additional Sources for KR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle