KR Stock Analysis: Kroger | NYSE
Grocery Stores | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 34.862m USD | 12M Return: -9.4% | US5010441013 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 487M
EPS Trend: 69.1%
Qual. Beats: 1
Rev. Trend: -34.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Kroger Co. is one of the largest food and drug retailers in the United States, operating a multi-format store network that includes combination food and drug stores, multi-department stores, marketplace stores, and price impact warehouses. Founded in 1883 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, the company has been publicly traded since 1928 and is classified within the Consumer Staples sector under the Food Retail sub-industry.
Krogers store formats are differentiated by depth and breadth of assortment. Combination stores anchor the core business with groceries, pharmacies, natural and organic offerings, pet centers, and fresh seafood; multi-department and marketplace stores layer in general merchandise such as apparel, home goods, electronics, and toys; while price impact warehouses focus on value-oriented grocery, health and beauty, and perishable items.
A notable element of Krogers business model is its vertical integration: the company manufactures and processes a range of food products sold in its own stores and online, complementing its retail operations. It also operates fuel centers, generating an additional revenue stream that is commonly used across the food retail sector as a customer acquisition and loyalty tool.
The U.S. food retail industry is highly competitive, with major competitors including Walmart, Costco, and Albertsons. Krogers combination of private-label manufacturing, multi-format real estate, and digital channels reflects the broader sector trend toward scale, vertical integration, and omnichannel grocery fulfillment.
- Albertsons merger termination shifts focus to buybacks and store growth
- Our Brands private label expansion lifts gross margins
- Fuel center profitability swings with wholesale gasoline prices
| Net Income: 1.08b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.46 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -3.68% < 20% (prev -0.61%; Δ -3.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 > 3% & CFO 6.60b > Net Income 1.08b |
| Net Debt (31.3b) to EBITDA (5.50b): 5.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.70 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (608.0m) vs 12m ago -8.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.11% > 18% (prev 23.12%; Δ -0.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 289.7% > 50% (prev 274.3%; Δ 15.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.82 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.00b / Interest Expense TTM 710.0m) |
| A: -0.11 (Total Current Assets 12.9b - Total Current Liabilities 18.4b) / Total Assets 49.5b |
| B: 0.61 (Retained Earnings 29.9b / Total Assets 49.5b) |
| C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 2.00b / Avg Total Assets 51.5b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 5.85b / Total Liabilities 43.6b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 1.65 = BB |
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 2.19b/2.21b, Revenue 149b/147b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 23.12% / 23.11%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 149b / 147b) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI 1.08b - CFO 6.60b) / TA 49.5b) |
| Beneish M = -3.06 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 59.25 with a total of 8,938,480 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.07%, over one month by +3.58%, over three months by +1.91% and over the past year by -9.40%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 56.00 (which is 5.5% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Kroger has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy KR.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 68.1 | 15% |
P/E Trailing = 31.9081
P/E Forward = 11.325
P/S = 0.2335
P/B = 5.9221
P/EG = 0.5735
Revenue TTM = 149b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.50b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.9b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 32.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 8.79b
Net Debt = 31.3b USD (calculated: Debt 32.9b - CCE 1.68b)
Enterprise Value = 66.1b USD (34.9b + Debt 32.9b - CCE 1.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.82 (Ebit TTM 2.00b / Interest Expense TTM 710.0m)
EV/FCF = 29.11x (Enterprise Value 66.1b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
FCF Yield = 3.44% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Enterprise Value 66.1b)
FCF Margin = 1.52% (FCF TTM 2.27b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Net Margin = 0.73% (Net Income TTM 1.08b / Revenue TTM 149b)
Gross Margin = 23.11% ((Revenue TTM 149b - Cost of Revenue TTM 115b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 22.70% (prev 23.04%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.34 (Enterprise Value 66.1b / Total Assets 49.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.15% (Interest Expense 710.0m / Debt 32.9b)
Taxrate = 18.69% (251.0m / 1.34b)
NOPAT = 1.63b (EBIT 2.00b * (1 - 18.69%))
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 12.9b / Total Current Liabilities 18.4b)
Debt / Equity = 5.64 (Debt 32.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.85b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.68 (Net Debt 31.3b / EBITDA 5.50b)
Debt / FCF = 13.76 (Net Debt 31.3b / FCF TTM 2.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 1.08b / Total Assets 49.5b)
RoE = 17.16% (Net Income TTM 1.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.32b)
RoCE = 9.90% (EBIT 2.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.32b + L.T.Debt 13.9b))
RoIC = 5.11% (NOPAT 1.63b / Invested Capital 31.9b)
WACC = 2.63% (E(34.9b)/V(67.8b) * Re(3.46%) + D(32.9b)/V(67.8b) * Rd(2.15%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 3.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 3.72%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.84 | Cagr: -7.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.79% ; FCFF base≈2.25b ; Y1≈2.31b ; Y5≈2.56b
[DCF] Fair Price = 14.06 (EV 39.6b - Net Debt 31.3b = Equity 8.31b / Shares 590.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 2.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 69.13 | EPS CAGR: 2.93% | SUE: 1.47 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -34.49 | Revenue CAGR: -0.35% | SUE: 0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.16 | Chg30d=-1.34% | Revisions=-35% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=-0.43% | Revisions=-35% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=5.51 | Chg30d=-0.39% | Revisions=-47% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+1.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -44% (up=12, down=33)