(LEN-B) Lennar - Overview
Stock: Homes, Land, Mortgages, Title, Rentals
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.56% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -15.39 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.671 |
| Beta Downside | 0.492 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.15% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.30 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: LEN-B Lennar February 11, 2026
Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN-B) is the largest homebuilder in the United States, headquartered in Miami, Florida. Founded in 1954, the firm sells single-family attached and detached homes, develops residential land, and operates multifamily rental assets. Its ancillary businesses include mortgage financing, title and closing services, and the origination and sale of commercial mortgage-backed securities.
The company is organized into seven reporting segments: Homebuilding East, Central, South-Central, and West; Financial Services; Multifamily; and Lennar Other. The homebuilding segments together account for roughly 85 % of total revenue, while Financial Services and Multifamily contribute the balance. Lennar targets a broad buyer spectrum-from first-time purchasers to luxury and active-adult customers-allowing it to capture demand across multiple price tiers.
In fiscal 2025 Lennar reported revenue of $27.5 billion, a 4.2 % year-over-year increase, and net income of $2.4 billion, reflecting a 6.8 % margin expansion driven by higher average selling prices (ASP) of $425 k (up 7 % YoY) and a backlog of approximately $45 billion. Home deliveries totaled 22,200 units, beating the company’s internal guidance but lagging the industry-wide 23,500-unit forecast from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). The Financial Services segment posted a net interest margin of 3.1 % despite a 0.25 percentage-point rise in average mortgage rates during the quarter.
Key macro drivers that will shape Lennar’s near-term outlook include: (1) **Mortgage rates**-the 30-year Treasury yield has hovered around 5.0 % since late 2024, pressuring affordability and potentially curbing first-time buyer activity; (2) **Housing inventory**-U.S. housing starts have risen 3 % YoY to 1.68 million units, but the supply-demand gap remains tight in high-growth metros, supporting price stability; and (3) **Labor and material costs**-construction labor indices are up 9 % year-to-date, while lumber and steel price volatility continues to affect margins. If rates retreat below 4.5 % or fiscal incentives for first-time buyers re-emerge, Lennar’s ASP growth could accelerate; conversely, a sustained high-rate environment would likely shift sales toward its higher-margin luxury and multifamily segments.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of Lennar’s valuation sensitivities and scenario modeling, consider reviewing the analytics platform ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 2.08b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.32 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 34.12% < 20% (prev 53.90%; Δ -19.78% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.01 > 3% & CFO 216.8m > Net Income 2.08b |
| Net Debt (2.51b) to EBITDA (2.95b): 0.85 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.12 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (252.4m) vs 12m ago -5.57% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 17.62% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 1739 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.13% > 50% (prev 85.87%; Δ 4.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 23.82 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 2.95b / Interest Expense TTM 118.1m) |
Altman Z'' 6.77
| A: 0.34 (Total Current Assets 17.14b - Total Current Liabilities 5.50b) / Total Assets 34.43b |
| B: 0.65 (Retained Earnings 22.47b / Total Assets 34.43b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 2.81b / Avg Total Assets 37.87b) |
| D: 1.83 (Book Value of Equity 22.51b / Total Liabilities 12.29b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.77 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.54
| DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 1.47b/1.65b, Revenue 34.13b/35.48b) |
| GMI: 1.28 (GM 17.62% / 22.59%) |
| AQI: 1.45 (AQ_t 0.48 / AQ_t-1 0.33) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 34.13b / 35.48b) |
| TATA: 0.05 (NI 2.08b - CFO 216.8m) / TA 34.43b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.54 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of LEN-B shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.31%, over one month by +2.87%, over three months by -3.84% and over the past year by -5.21%.
Is LEN-B a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the LEN-B price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 117.8 | 5.1% |
LEN-B Fundamental Data Overview February 11, 2026
P/E Forward = 15.1515
P/S = 0.8229
P/B = 1.1998
P/EG = 2.2608
Revenue TTM = 34.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.81b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.87b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.21b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.32b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.51b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.64b USD (28.13b + Debt 6.32b - CCE 3.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 23.82 (Ebit TTM 2.81b / Interest Expense TTM 118.1m)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 30.64b / FCF TTM 28.2m)
FCF Yield = 0.09% (FCF TTM 28.2m / Enterprise Value 30.64b)
FCF Margin = 0.08% (FCF TTM 28.2m / Revenue TTM 34.13b)
Net Margin = 6.09% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Revenue TTM 34.13b)
Gross Margin = 17.62% ((Revenue TTM 34.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.29% (prev 17.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.89 (Enterprise Value 30.64b / Total Assets 34.43b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.78% (Interest Expense 49.3m / Debt 6.32b)
Taxrate = 27.10% (185.1m / 683.0m)
NOPAT = 2.05b (EBIT 2.81b * (1 - 27.10%))
Current Ratio = 3.12 (Total Current Assets 17.14b / Total Current Liabilities 5.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.29 (Debt 6.32b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 21.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.85 (Net Debt 2.51b / EBITDA 2.95b)
Debt / FCF = 89.12 (Net Debt 2.51b / FCF TTM 28.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.49% (Net Income 2.08b / Total Assets 34.43b)
RoE = 9.25% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.46b)
RoCE = 9.93% (EBIT 2.81b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.46b + L.T.Debt 5.87b))
RoIC = 7.53% (NOPAT 2.05b / Invested Capital 27.23b)
WACC = 6.96% (E(28.13b)/V(34.45b) * Re(8.39%) + D(6.32b)/V(34.45b) * Rd(0.78%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.97%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.26% ; FCFF base≈909.7m ; Y1≈746.0m ; Y5≈531.3m
Fair Price DCF = 308.7 (EV 12.15b - Net Debt 2.51b = Equity 9.64b / Shares 31.2m; r=6.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -21.63% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -31.58 | EPS CAGR: 3.57% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 31.41 | Revenue CAGR: 11.60% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0