(MATX) Matson - Ratings and Ratios
Ocean Freight, Logistics, Hawaii, Alaska, Guam
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.25% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.30% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.20% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 10.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.01 |
| Alpha | -26.97 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.62 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.234 |
| Beta | 1.170 |
| Beta Downside | 1.342 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.90% |
| Mean DD | 14.28% |
| Median DD | 9.29% |
Description: MATX Matson January 11, 2026
Matson, Inc. (NYSE: MATX) is a Hawaii-based carrier that delivers ocean freight and integrated logistics services across the Pacific, focusing on the U.S. non-contiguous markets (Hawaii, Alaska, Guam) and a network of Micronesian islands. The Ocean Transportation segment moves a mix of dry-container, refrigerated, and specialized cargo-including food, automobiles, livestock, and e-commerce goods-while also offering stevedoring, refrigerated handling, and inland transport at key Hawaiian and Alaskan terminals.
The Logistics segment acts as a multimodal broker, providing rail intermodal, truckload, flat-bed, LTL, and expedited freight services, plus warehousing, distribution, and supply-chain management for customers ranging from the U.S. military to retailers and consumer-goods manufacturers. In FY 2023 Matson generated roughly $2.0 billion in revenue, with the logistics arm contributing about 30 % of total sales and delivering an operating margin near 5 %-a modest but stable profitability profile given the capital-intensive nature of maritime operations.
Key economic drivers for Matson include U.S. defense spending (the company is a primary carrier for military shipments to the Pacific), tourism-linked freight demand to Hawaii, and broader container-rate cycles captured by indices such as the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI). Capacity constraints on Pacific routes and rising fuel costs remain material risks, while the company’s long-term terminal concessions and its diversified logistics platform provide a hedge against pure shipping volatility.
For a deeper quantitative view of Matson’s valuation metrics, you might explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (429.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 203.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.76% (prev 2.23%; Δ -5.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 542.8m > Net Income 429.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (626.3m) to EBITDA (830.8m) ratio: 0.75 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (31.8m) change vs 12m ago -5.92% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.29% (prev 22.97%; Δ 0.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 74.81% (prev 74.75%; Δ 0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 82.97 (EBITDA TTM 830.8m / Interest Expense TTM 6.60m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.68
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 447.1m - Total Current Liabilities 540.6m) / Total Assets 4.60b |
| (B) 0.52 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.38b / Total Assets 4.60b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 547.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.52b |
| (D) 1.25 = Book Value of Equity 2.40b / Total Liabilities 1.91b |
| Total Rating: 3.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.67
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.90% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.75 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.70)% |
| 7. RoE 16.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -55.12% |
| 9. EPS Trend -43.90% |
What is the price of MATX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.07%, over one month by +7.52%, over three months by +45.40% and over the past year by -5.01%.
Is MATX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MATX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 166 | 27.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 166 | 27.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 154.1 | 18% |
MATX Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 1.2239
P/B = 1.4981
P/EG = 3.31
Beta = 1.333
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 547.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 830.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 321.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 156.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 719.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 626.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.77b USD (4.14b + Debt 719.0m - CCE 92.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 82.97 (Ebit TTM 547.6m / Interest Expense TTM 6.60m)
EV/FCF = 14.23x (Enterprise Value 4.77b / FCF TTM 334.9m)
FCF Yield = 7.03% (FCF TTM 334.9m / Enterprise Value 4.77b)
FCF Margin = 9.90% (FCF TTM 334.9m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 12.70% (Net Income TTM 429.7m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 23.29% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.88% (prev 21.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 4.77b / Total Assets 4.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.25% (Interest Expense 1.80m / Debt 719.0m)
Taxrate = 20.25% (34.2m / 168.9m)
NOPAT = 436.7m (EBIT 547.6m * (1 - 20.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 447.1m / Total Current Liabilities 540.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 719.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.75 (Net Debt 626.3m / EBITDA 830.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.87 (Net Debt 626.3m / FCF TTM 334.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.50% (Net Income 429.7m / Total Assets 4.60b)
RoE = 16.23% (Net Income TTM 429.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.65b)
RoCE = 18.44% (EBIT 547.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.65b + L.T.Debt 321.5m))
RoIC = 14.44% (NOPAT 436.7m / Invested Capital 3.02b)
WACC = 8.75% (E(4.14b)/V(4.86b) * Re(10.23%) + D(719.0m)/V(4.86b) * Rd(0.25%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.38% ; FCFF base≈384.2m ; Y1≈361.3m ; Y5≈338.2m
Fair Price DCF = 148.7 (EV 5.26b - Net Debt 626.3m = Equity 4.64b / Shares 31.2m; r=8.75% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -7.65% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -43.90 | EPS CAGR: -58.65% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -55.12 | Revenue CAGR: -9.26% | SUE: 1.77 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.95 | Chg30d=+0.363 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-9.5% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%
Additional Sources for MATX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle