(MATX) Matson - Ratings and Ratios
Ocean Freight, Logistics, Containers, Warehousing
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.58% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.05% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 10.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.29% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.68 |
| Alpha | -46.96 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.45 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.390 |
| Beta | 1.166 |
| Beta Downside | 1.287 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 46.90% |
| Mean DD | 13.40% |
| Median DD | 8.26% |
Description: MATX Matson November 08, 2025
Matson, Inc. (NYSE: MATX) operates two core businesses: an Ocean Transportation segment that moves dry-container, refrigerated, and specialized cargo to Hawaii, Alaska, Guam, Micronesia and select Pacific destinations, and a Logistics segment that offers multimodal brokerage, warehousing, and supply-chain services to U.S. military, retailers, and manufacturers. The company’s historic roots date back to 1882 and it rebranded from Alexander & Baldwin Holdings in 2012, with headquarters in Honolulu.
As of FY 2023, Matson generated $2.9 billion in revenue, with the Ocean Transportation segment contributing roughly 70 % and delivering an adjusted operating margin of 12 %-above the industry median of ~8 % for regional carriers. Key growth drivers include rising U.S. military logistics spend (the Pentagon accounts for ~15 % of total shipments), sustained tourism demand to Hawaii, and accelerating e-commerce shipments to island markets, which together have lifted container volumes by an estimated 4 % YoY. A sector-wide factor to watch is the Baltic Dry Index, which has been volatile but generally supportive of freight rates for the Pacific trade lane.
If you want a deeper quantitative view of MATX’s valuation dynamics, the free analytics platform ValueRay provides granular model inputs and scenario analysis that can help you test the sensitivity of these drivers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (429.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 203.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.04pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.76% (prev 2.23%; Δ -5.00pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 542.8m > Net Income 429.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (626.3m) to EBITDA (830.8m) ratio: 0.75 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.83 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (31.8m) change vs 12m ago -5.92% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.29% (prev 22.97%; Δ 0.32pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 74.81% (prev 74.75%; Δ 0.06pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 82.97 (EBITDA TTM 830.8m / Interest Expense TTM 6.60m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.68
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 447.1m - Total Current Liabilities 540.6m) / Total Assets 4.60b |
| (B) 0.52 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.38b / Total Assets 4.60b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 547.6m / Avg Total Assets 4.52b |
| (D) 1.25 = Book Value of Equity 2.40b / Total Liabilities 1.91b |
| Total Rating: 3.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.12
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.54% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.90% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.75 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.94)% |
| 7. RoE 16.23% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -55.74% |
| 9. EPS Trend -35.29% |
What is the price of MATX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.58%, over one month by +11.90%, over three months by +3.69% and over the past year by -27.96%.
Is MATX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MATX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 144 | 32.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 144 | 32.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 119.4 | 9.5% |
MATX Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.9197
P/E Forward = 17.6056
P/S = 0.9734
P/B = 1.209
P/EG = 3.31
Beta = 1.338
Revenue TTM = 3.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 547.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 830.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 321.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 156.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 719.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 626.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.92b USD (3.29b + Debt 719.0m - CCE 92.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 82.97 (Ebit TTM 547.6m / Interest Expense TTM 6.60m)
FCF Yield = 8.54% (FCF TTM 334.9m / Enterprise Value 3.92b)
FCF Margin = 9.90% (FCF TTM 334.9m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Net Margin = 12.70% (Net Income TTM 429.7m / Revenue TTM 3.38b)
Gross Margin = 23.29% ((Revenue TTM 3.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.60b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.88% (prev 21.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 3.92b / Total Assets 4.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.25% (Interest Expense 1.80m / Debt 719.0m)
Taxrate = 20.25% (34.2m / 168.9m)
NOPAT = 436.7m (EBIT 547.6m * (1 - 20.25%))
Current Ratio = 0.83 (Total Current Assets 447.1m / Total Current Liabilities 540.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 719.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.75 (Net Debt 626.3m / EBITDA 830.8m)
Debt / FCF = 1.87 (Net Debt 626.3m / FCF TTM 334.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.34% (Net Income 429.7m / Total Assets 4.60b)
RoE = 16.23% (Net Income TTM 429.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.65b)
RoCE = 18.44% (EBIT 547.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.65b + L.T.Debt 321.5m))
RoIC = 14.44% (NOPAT 436.7m / Invested Capital 3.02b)
WACC = 8.50% (E(3.29b)/V(4.01b) * Re(10.31%) + D(719.0m)/V(4.01b) * Rd(0.25%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 10.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.82%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.27% ; FCFE base≈384.2m ; Y1≈361.3m ; Y5≈339.0m
Fair Price DCF = 135.4 (DCF Value 4.22b / Shares Outstanding 31.2m; 5y FCF grow -7.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -35.29 | EPS CAGR: -19.11% | SUE: 2.23 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -55.74 | Revenue CAGR: -9.26% | SUE: 1.77 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.62 | Chg30d=+0.180 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2025-12-31): EPS=12.10 | Chg30d=+1.507 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-13.2% | Growth Revenue=-4.1%
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.59 | Chg30d=+0.857 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=-12.5% | Growth Revenue=+1.4%
Additional Sources for MATX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle