(MCO) Moodys - Overview
Stock: Credit Ratings, Analytics, Saas, Risk Assessment, Data
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.41% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.96% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 33.2% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.99% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.34 |
| Alpha | -24.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.049 |
| Beta Downside | 1.113 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.65% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.61 |
Description: MCO Moodys January 27, 2026
Moody’s Corporation (NYSE: MCO) is a global risk-assessment firm organized into two operating segments: Moody’s Analytics, which delivers credit research, data, modeling and SaaS solutions for banks, insurers and other financial institutions; and Moody’s Investors Service, which issues credit ratings and related assessments on corporate, sovereign and structured-finance obligations.
In FY 2023 the Analytics segment generated $2.2 billion of revenue, representing a 9 % year-over-year increase driven by strong demand for ESG-focused data and cloud-based risk platforms. The Investors Service segment contributed $4.5 billion in revenue, with a 4 % rise supported by higher issuance volumes in the United States and Europe as interest-rate environments normalize. As of Q2 2024, Moody’s reported a consolidated net income of $1.1 billion and an adjusted earnings-per-share of $8.45, reflecting a 12 % margin expansion versus the prior year.
Key macro drivers include the ongoing re-pricing of credit risk as central banks adjust policy rates, and the accelerating adoption of digital risk-management tools across the banking sector, which together underpin the growth outlook for Moody’s Analytics. The firm’s market-share in the global credit-rating market remains above 35 %, and its analytics platform now serves over 1,200 institutional clients worldwide.
For a deeper dive into Moody’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring ValueRay’s analyst models, which can help you quantify the impact of credit-cycle volatility on the stock’s upside potential.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 2.24b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.40 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.00% < 20% (prev 29.58%; Δ -1.59% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 2.72b > Net Income 2.24b |
| Net Debt (5.46b) to EBITDA (3.64b): 1.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.84 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (180.2m) vs 12m ago -1.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 67.46% > 18% (prev 0.67%; Δ 6679 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 48.11% > 50% (prev 43.73%; Δ 4.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.84 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.64b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m) |
Altman Z'' 7.37
| A: 0.14 (Total Current Assets 4.60b - Total Current Liabilities 2.50b) / Total Assets 15.41b |
| B: 1.10 (Retained Earnings 16.93b / Total Assets 15.41b) |
| C: 0.20 (EBIT TTM 3.17b / Avg Total Assets 15.59b) |
| D: 1.45 (Book Value of Equity 16.42b / Total Liabilities 11.30b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.37 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 1.85b/1.76b, Revenue 7.50b/6.90b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 67.46% / 66.81%) |
| AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.61) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 7.50b / 6.90b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.24b - CFO 2.72b) / TA 15.41b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of MCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -12.49%, over one month by -14.81%, over three months by -6.50% and over the past year by -9.58%.
Is MCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 10
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 575.5 | 27.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 575.5 | 27.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 494.3 | 9.2% |
MCO Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 31.4465
P/S = 12.3277
P/B = 23.2389
P/EG = 1.9787
Revenue TTM = 7.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.64b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.46b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 97.93b USD (92.47b + Debt 7.64b - CCE 2.18b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.84 (Ebit TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 200.0m)
EV/FCF = 37.05x (Enterprise Value 97.93b / FCF TTM 2.64b)
FCF Yield = 2.70% (FCF TTM 2.64b / Enterprise Value 97.93b)
FCF Margin = 35.24% (FCF TTM 2.64b / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Net Margin = 29.92% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Revenue TTM 7.50b)
Gross Margin = 67.46% ((Revenue TTM 7.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.44b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.36% (prev 67.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.35 (Enterprise Value 97.93b / Total Assets 15.41b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.94% (Interest Expense 72.0m / Debt 7.64b)
Taxrate = 25.37% (220.0m / 867.0m)
NOPAT = 2.36b (EBIT 3.17b * (1 - 25.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.84 (Total Current Assets 4.60b / Total Current Liabilities 2.50b)
Debt / Equity = 1.93 (Debt 7.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.50 (Net Debt 5.46b / EBITDA 3.64b)
Debt / FCF = 2.07 (Net Debt 5.46b / FCF TTM 2.64b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.79b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.39% (Net Income 2.24b / Total Assets 15.41b)
RoE = 59.17% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 3.79b)
RoCE = 29.40% (EBIT 3.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 3.79b + L.T.Debt 6.98b))
RoIC = 21.80% (NOPAT 2.36b / Invested Capital 10.84b)
WACC = 9.09% (E(92.47b)/V(100.12b) * Re(9.78%) + D(7.64b)/V(100.12b) * Rd(0.94%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.78% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.93%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.81% ; FCFF base≈2.52b ; Y1≈3.10b ; Y5≈5.29b
Fair Price DCF = 379.3 (EV 73.13b - Net Debt 5.46b = Equity 67.67b / Shares 178.4m; r=9.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -5.52 | EPS CAGR: -47.85% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 82.38 | Revenue CAGR: 7.34% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.23 | Chg30d=+0.022 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.48 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+11.8% | Growth Revenue=+7.9%