MDT Stock Analysis: Medtronic | NYSE

Medical Devices | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 117.809m USD | 12M Return: 2% | IE00BTN1Y115 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Cardiovascular Devices, Neuroscience Devices, Surgical Instruments, Diabetes Care
Total Rating 72
Safety 81
Buy Signal -0.66
Medical Devices
Industry Rotation: -3.9
Market Cap: 118B
Avg Turnover: 639M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.4%
VaR 5th Pctl3.99%
VaR vs Median3.46%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.07
Rel. Str. IBD48.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group48.9
Character TTM
Beta0.065
Beta Downside0.073
Hurst Exponent0.522
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.90%
CAGR/Max DD0.29
CAGR/Mean DD1.16
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MDT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 1.41, "2021-10": 1.32, "2022-01": 1.37, "2022-04": 1.52, "2022-07": 1.13, "2022-10": 1.3, "2023-01": 1.3, "2023-04": 1.57, "2023-07": 1.2, "2023-10": 1.25, "2024-01": 1.3, "2024-04": 1.46, "2024-07": 1.23, "2024-10": 1.26, "2025-01": 1.39, "2025-04": 1.62, "2025-07": 1.26, "2025-10": 1.36, "2026-01": 1.36, "2026-04": 1.55, "2026-07": 1.45,
EPS CAGR: 3.12%
EPS Trend: 87.4%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MDT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 7987, 2021-10: 7847, 2022-01: 7763, 2022-04: 8089, 2022-07: 7371, 2022-10: 7585, 2023-01: 7727, 2023-04: 8544, 2023-07: 7702, 2023-10: 7984, 2024-01: 8089, 2024-04: 8589, 2024-07: 7915, 2024-10: 8403, 2025-01: 8292, 2025-04: 8927, 2025-07: 8578, 2025-10: 8961, 2026-01: 9018, 2026-04: 9807, 2026-07: 9756,
Rev. CAGR: 5.63%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Last SUE: 2.26
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

Fakeout
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Supp Ema20
Pead

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +4.6% 26
Feb +0.5% 5
Mar -0.7% 25
Apr -0.6% 10
May -0.9% 21
Jun +2.7% 9
Jul +3.2% 49
Aug +1.3% 14
Sep -2.0% 29
Oct -4.6% 47
Nov +0.4% 10
Dec -0.9% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MDT Medtronic

Medtronic plc (NYSE: MDT) is a global medical device company founded in 1949 and headquartered in Galway, Ireland. It develops, manufactures, and sells device-based medical therapies to healthcare systems, physicians, clinicians, and patients across the United States, Ireland, and international markets.

The company operates through four main business segments: Cardiovascular Portfolio (offering pacemakers, defibrillators, cardiac ablation products, heart valves, and endovascular stent grafts), Neuroscience Portfolio (including spinal cord stimulation, brain modulation systems, drug infusion systems, and the Accurian nerve ablation system), Medical Surgical Portfolio (covering surgical stapling, robotic-assisted surgery, hernia devices, and patient monitoring products), and a Diabetes Operating Unit (providing insulin pumps, continuous glucose monitoring systems, and the InPen smart insulin pen).

Medtronic competes in the Health Care Equipment sub-industry within the broader Health Care sector, a space dominated by large multinational firms developing capital-intensive, regulated medical technologies. Its diversified portfolio spans chronic disease management, surgical solutions, and neuromodulation, with products sold across multiple medical specialties including cardiology, neurology, orthopedics, and endocrinology.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • MiniMed 780G adoption fuels Diabetes segment growth
  • Hugo robot launches compete with Intuitive Surgical
  • TAVR market share faces pressure from Edwards Lifesciences
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 5.23b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 4.81 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 475.5 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -26.32% < 20% (prev 34.19%; Δ -60.51% < -1%)
CFO/TA 6.31 > 3% & CFO 8.04b > Net Income 5.23b
Net Debt (26.2b) to EBITDA (9.74b): 2.69 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.15 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.29b) vs 12m ago -0.16% < -2%
Gross Margin: 66.69% > 18% (prev 63.44%; Δ 3.25% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 81.40% > 50% (prev 37.59%; Δ 43.80% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM 6.79b / Interest Expense TTM 725.0m)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: -7.76 (Total Current Assets 1.78b - Total Current Liabilities 11.7b) / Total Assets 1.27b
B: 25.62 (Retained Earnings 32.6b / Total Assets 1.27b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 6.79b / Avg Total Assets 46.1b)
D: 1.15 (Book Value of Equity 49.5b / Total Liabilities 43.0b)
Altman-Z'' = 34.84 = AAA
Beneish M -4.00
DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 224.0m/6.26b, Revenue 37.5b/34.2b)
GMI: 0.95 (GM 63.44% / 66.69%)
AQI: -9.33 (AQ_t -6.22 / AQ_t-1 0.67)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 37.5b / 34.2b)
TATA: -2.20 (NI 5.23b - CFO 8.04b) / TA 1.27b)
Beneish M = -10.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA
What is the price of MDT shares?

As of September 03, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 92.18 with a total of 9,157,834 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.17%, over one month by +6.35%, over three months by +26.12% and over the past year by +1.98%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 87.10 (which is 5.5% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is MDT a buy, sell or hold?

Medtronic has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.81. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MDT.

  • StrongBuy: 12
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 13
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the MDT price?
Analysts Target Price 98.8 7.2%
Medtronic (MDT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 118b (118b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 24.3492
P/E Forward = 15.1057
P/S = 3.2397
P/B = 2.3282
P/EG = 1.776
Revenue TTM = 37.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.79b USD
EBITDA TTM = 9.74b USD
Long Term Debt = 26.1b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.79b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 28.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 60.0m
Net Debt = 26.2b USD (calculated: Debt 28.0b - CCE 1.79b)
Enterprise Value = 144b USD (118b + Debt 28.0b - CCE 1.79b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.36 (Ebit TTM 6.79b / Interest Expense TTM 725.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.49x (Enterprise Value 144b / FCF TTM 6.13b)
FCF Yield = 4.26% (FCF TTM 6.13b / Enterprise Value 144b)
FCF Margin = 16.33% (FCF TTM 6.13b / Revenue TTM 37.5b)
Net Margin = 13.93% (Net Income TTM 5.23b / Revenue TTM 37.5b)
Gross Margin = 66.69% ((Revenue TTM 37.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 12.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.99% (prev 75.86%)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 113.1 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 144b / Total Assets 1.27b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 2.59% (Interest Expense 725.0m / Debt 28.0b)
Taxrate = 20.19% (1.33b / 6.60b)
NOPAT = 5.42b (EBIT 6.79b * (1 - 20.19%))
Current Ratio = 0.15 (Total Current Assets 1.78b / Total Current Liabilities 11.7b)
Debt / Equity = 0.57 (Debt 28.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 49.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.69 (Net Debt 26.2b / EBITDA 9.74b)
Debt / FCF = 4.28 (Net Debt 26.2b / FCF TTM 6.13b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 48.7b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.34% (Net Income 5.23b / Total Assets 1.27b)
RoE = 10.73% (Net Income TTM 5.23b / Total Stockholder Equity 48.7b)
RoCE = 9.06% (EBIT 6.79b / Capital Employed (Equity 48.7b + L.T.Debt 26.1b))
RoIC = 506.2% (NOPAT 5.42b / Invested Capital 1.07b)
WACC = 5.41% (E(118b)/V(146b) * Re(6.21%) + D(28.0b)/V(146b) * Rd(2.59%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 6.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -62.02 | Cagr: -1.36%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈5.80b ; Y1≈6.65b ; Y5≈9.79b
[DCF] Fair Price = 94.56 (EV 147b - Net Debt 26.2b = Equity 121b / Shares 1.28b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 87.41 | EPS CAGR: 3.12% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.38 | Revenue CAGR: 5.63% | SUE: 2.26 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2027-04-30): EPS=5.95 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+7.6% | GrowthRev=+7.0%
EPS next Year (2028-04-30): EPS=6.40 | Chg30d=-0.12% | Revisions=+12% | GrowthEPS=+7.7% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +15% (up=6, down=4)