(MS) Morgan Stanley - Ratings and Ratios
Wealth Management, Investment Management, Institutional Securities
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.78% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.02% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.36% |
| Payout Consistency | 90.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 31.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 40.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.20 |
| Alpha | 26.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.01 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.405 |
| Beta | 1.291 |
| Beta Downside | 1.443 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 29.24% |
| Mean DD | 7.84% |
| Median DD | 5.78% |
Description: MS Morgan Stanley December 01, 2025
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is a diversified financial services firm that operates across Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. It delivers capital-raising, underwriting, M&A advisory, and project-finance services to governments, corporations, and high-net-worth individuals worldwide.
In the Institutional Securities segment, the bank combines equity and fixed-income sales, prime brokerage, and market-making. Recent data show that net revenue in Q3 2024 rose 5% YoY to roughly $13.5 billion, driven largely by higher trading volumes and a 12% increase in underwriting fees.
The Wealth Management arm, anchored in North America and expanding in Asia, now oversees about $2.5 trillion in client assets, with a 2024-23 net new assets inflow of $120 billion, reflecting strong demand for discretionary portfolio management amid volatile equity markets.
Investment Management provides multi-asset solutions to pension plans, sovereign wealth funds, and endowments, managing roughly $1.1 trillion in assets. A key sector driver is the ongoing shift toward ESG-focused allocations, which has lifted the firm’s alternatives AUM by 8% year-over-year.
Given the firm’s exposure to interest-rate cycles and global M&A activity, analysts should monitor the Federal Reserve policy path and cross-border deal flow as primary risk factors.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Morgan Stanley’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the ValueRay platform’s quantitative models.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (16.86b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 6.97b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.11pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -537.4% (prev -244.1%; Δ -293.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 (>3.0%) and CFO -3.68b <= Net Income 16.86b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (414.62b) to EBITDA (26.56b) ratio: 15.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.59b) change vs 12m ago -0.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 57.48% (prev 55.61%; Δ 1.88pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 9.00% (prev 8.49%; Δ 0.51pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.45 (EBITDA TTM 26.56b / Interest Expense TTM 49.02b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.62
| (A) -0.46 = (Total Current Assets 216.31b - Total Current Liabilities 840.30b) / Total Assets 1364.81b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 112.43b / Total Assets 1364.81b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 21.95b / Avg Total Assets 1289.94b |
| (D) 0.0 = Book Value of Equity 0.0 / Total Liabilities 1253.76b |
| Total Rating: -2.62 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.79
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.94% |
| 3. FCF Margin -5.81% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.77 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 15.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.01)% |
| 7. RoE 15.70% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 93.93% |
| 9. EPS Trend 67.67% |
What is the price of MS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.35%, over one month by +9.33%, over three months by +17.45% and over the past year by +41.58%.
Is MS a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 17
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 184.6 | -2.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 184.6 | -2.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 241.3 | 27.6% |
MS Fundamental Data Overview January 17, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.0648
P/S = 4.4544
P/B = 2.8671
P/EG = 1.4453
Revenue TTM = 116.11b USD
EBIT TTM = 21.95b USD
EBITDA TTM = 26.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 332.20b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 82.43b USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 414.62b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, two quarters ago)
Net Debt = 414.62b USD (using Total Debt 414.62b, CCE unavailable)
Enterprise Value = 719.89b USD (305.27b + Debt 414.62b - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.45 (Ebit TTM 21.95b / Interest Expense TTM 49.02b)
EV/FCF = -106.7x (Enterprise Value 719.89b / FCF TTM -6.75b)
FCF Yield = -0.94% (FCF TTM -6.75b / Enterprise Value 719.89b)
FCF Margin = -5.81% (FCF TTM -6.75b / Revenue TTM 116.11b)
Net Margin = 14.52% (Net Income TTM 16.86b / Revenue TTM 116.11b)
Gross Margin = 57.48% ((Revenue TTM 116.11b - Cost of Revenue TTM 49.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.60% (prev 56.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 719.89b / Total Assets 1364.81b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.92% (Interest Expense 12.10b / Debt 414.62b)
Taxrate = 23.19% (1.34b / 5.76b)
NOPAT = 16.86b (EBIT 21.95b * (1 - 23.19%))
Current Ratio = 0.26 (Total Current Assets 216.31b / Total Current Liabilities 840.30b)
Debt / Equity = 3.77 (Debt 414.62b / totalStockholderEquity, two quarters ago 109.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 15.61 (Net Debt 414.62b / EBITDA 26.56b)
Debt / FCF = -61.45 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 414.62b / FCF TTM -6.75b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 107.37b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.31% (Net Income 16.86b / Total Assets 1364.81b)
RoE = 15.70% (Net Income TTM 16.86b / Total Stockholder Equity 107.37b)
RoCE = 4.99% (EBIT 21.95b / Capital Employed (Equity 107.37b + L.T.Debt 332.20b))
RoIC = 3.81% (NOPAT 16.86b / Invested Capital 442.94b)
WACC = 5.82% (E(305.27b)/V(719.89b) * Re(10.67%) + D(414.62b)/V(719.89b) * Rd(2.92%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.05%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.75b)
EPS Correlation: 67.67 | EPS CAGR: 7.83% | SUE: 1.19 | # QB: 8
Revenue Correlation: 93.93 | Revenue CAGR: 21.71% | SUE: 3.64 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=2.85 | Chg30d=+0.035 | Revisions Net=+8 | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=10.73 | Chg30d=+0.175 | Revisions Net=+16 | Growth EPS=+5.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=11.92 | Chg30d=+0.148 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+11.0% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%
Additional Sources for MS Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle