(MT) ArcelorMittal - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Luxembourg • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US03938L2034

Slabs, Coils, Plates, Bars, Pellets

MT EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MT over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.19, "2020-12": 0.19, "2021-03": 1.93, "2021-06": 3.46, "2021-09": 4.27, "2021-12": 3.92, "2022-03": 4.27, "2022-06": 4.24, "2022-09": 1.11, "2022-12": 1.37, "2023-03": 1.27, "2023-06": 2.2, "2023-09": 1.1, "2023-12": 1.18, "2024-03": 1.16, "2024-06": 0.63, "2024-09": 0.63, "2024-12": 0.52, "2025-03": 1.04, "2025-06": 1.32, "2025-09": 0.62,

MT Revenue

Revenue of MT over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 13266, 2020-12: 14184, 2021-03: 16193, 2021-06: 19343, 2021-09: 20229, 2021-12: 20806, 2022-03: 21836, 2022-06: 22142, 2022-09: 18975, 2022-12: 16891, 2023-03: 18501, 2023-06: 18606, 2023-09: 16616, 2023-12: 14552, 2024-03: 16282, 2024-06: 16249, 2024-09: 15196, 2024-12: 14714, 2025-03: 14798, 2025-06: 15926, 2025-09: 15657,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 32.0%
Value at Risk 5%th 48.9%
Relative Tail Risk -6.92%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.38
Alpha 49.18
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.402
Beta 1.164
Beta Downside 1.203
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 33.14%
Mean DD 14.88%
Median DD 15.25%

Description: MT ArcelorMittal October 14, 2025

ArcelorMittel S.A. (NYSE: MT) is a globally integrated steel and mining group with operations spanning the Americas, Europe, Asia, and Africa. Its product portfolio covers semi-finished flat and long steel (slabs, coils, plates, bars, rails, etc.), specialty coated steel (hot-dipped, electro-galvanized, tinplate, color-coated), and seamless or welded pipe/tube solutions, alongside mining outputs such as iron-ore concentrates, pellets and coking coal.

The company sells to end-markets that drive steel demand-automotive, appliances, engineering, construction, energy and machinery-through a centralized marketing organization and a network of distributors. Its iron-ore mining footprint includes Brazil, Bosnia, Liberia, Mexico, South Africa, Ukraine, India and Canada, providing a degree of vertical integration that can mitigate raw-material price volatility.

Key quantitative signals (FY 2023) include: ≈ 71 million metric tons of steel produced, a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of roughly 2.1×, and an operating margin of about 9 % after a 2022-23 price-recovery cycle in the European market. The steel sector remains highly sensitive to macro-economic variables such as global construction activity (a primary demand driver) and the price of coking coal, which accounts for ~ 30 % of total input costs.

Assuming the ongoing decarbonisation push accelerates demand for higher-grade, low-carbon steel, ArcelorMittal’s diversified product mix and mining integration could confer a relative cost advantage; however, the outlook is contingent on geopolitical stability in key mining regions (e.g., Ukraine) and the trajectory of global steel tariffs.

For a deeper quantitative assessment of MT’s valuation metrics, you may find the ValueRay platform’s analyst toolkit useful.

MT Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 30,614m
Sub-Industry Steel
IPO / Inception 1997-08-08
Return 12m vs S&P 500 35.7%
Analyst Rating 4.0 of 5

MT Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.39%
Yield on Cost 5y 3.56%
Yield CAGR 5y 18.56%
Payout Consistency 56.8%
Payout Ratio 15.7%

MT Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y 17.33%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.52
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 1.16
Current Volume 1139.2k
Average Volume 1027.3k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (2.58b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 3.67b TTM)
FCFTA 0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.31pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 14.82% (prev 15.70%; Δ -0.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.28b > Net Income 2.58b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (9.13b) to EBITDA (5.04b) ratio: 1.81 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 1.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (764.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 54.93% (prev -42.92%; Δ 97.85pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 63.66% (prev 66.85%; Δ -3.18pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 3.97 (EBITDA TTM 5.04b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.68

(A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 32.53b - Total Current Liabilities 23.48b) / Total Assets 98.77b
(B) 0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 47.25b / Total Assets 98.77b
(C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 2.24b / Avg Total Assets 95.97b
(D) 1.30 = Book Value of Equity 54.60b / Total Liabilities 42.09b
Total Rating: 3.68 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.51

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50
2. FCF Yield 0.15% = 0.07
3. FCF Margin 0.09% = 0.02
4. Debt/Equity 0.27 = 2.46
5. Debt/Ebitda 1.81 = 0.36
6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.36)% = -5.45
7. RoE 4.94% = 0.41
8. Rev. Trend -65.83% = -4.94
9. EPS Trend -58.74% = -2.94

What is the price of MT shares?

As of November 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 39.47 with a total of 1,139,200 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.43%, over one month by +2.47%, over three months by +15.45% and over the past year by +56.86%.

Is ArcelorMittal a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, ArcelorMittal (NYSE:MT) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 40.51 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MT is around 40.82 USD . This means that MT is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 3.42%.

Is MT a buy, sell or hold?

ArcelorMittal has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MT.
  • Strong Buy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MT price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 41.5 5.1%
Analysts Target Price 41.5 5.1%
ValueRay Target Price 44.9 13.9%

MT Fundamental Data Overview November 16, 2025

Market Cap USD = 30.61b (30.61b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 11.6088
P/E Forward = 9.3023
P/S = 0.5011
P/B = 0.5557
P/EG = 0.6602
Beta = 1.684
Revenue TTM = 61.09b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.24b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.49b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.38b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.87b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 39.75b USD (30.61b + Debt 14.87b - CCE 5.73b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.97 (Ebit TTM 2.24b / Interest Expense TTM 564.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.15% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Enterprise Value 39.75b)
FCF Margin = 0.09% (FCF TTM 58.0m / Revenue TTM 61.09b)
Net Margin = 4.23% (Net Income TTM 2.58b / Revenue TTM 61.09b)
Gross Margin = 54.93% ((Revenue TTM 61.09b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.79% (prev 100.0%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.40 (Enterprise Value 39.75b / Total Assets 98.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.56% (Interest Expense 84.0m / Debt 14.87b)
Taxrate = 20.99% (106.0m / 505.0m)
NOPAT = 1.77b (EBIT 2.24b * (1 - 20.99%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 32.53b / Total Current Liabilities 23.48b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 14.87b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.60b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.81 (Net Debt 9.13b / EBITDA 5.04b)
Debt / FCF = 157.5 (Net Debt 9.13b / FCF TTM 58.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.62% (Net Income 2.58b / Total Assets 98.77b)
RoE = 4.94% (Net Income TTM 2.58b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.35b)
RoCE = 3.56% (EBIT 2.24b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.35b + L.T.Debt 10.49b))
RoIC = 2.73% (NOPAT 1.77b / Invested Capital 64.85b)
WACC = 7.09% (E(30.61b)/V(45.48b) * Re(10.31%) + D(14.87b)/V(45.48b) * Rd(0.56%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.97%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 60.97% ; FCFE base≈58.0m ; Y1≈38.1m ; Y5≈17.4m
Fair Price DCF = 0.32 (DCF Value 246.4m / Shares Outstanding 760.5m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -58.74 | EPS CAGR: -25.05% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -65.83 | Revenue CAGR: -2.72% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MT Stock

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