(MTUS) Metallus - Overview
Stock: Alloy Steel, Carbon Steel, Micro-Alloy Steel, SBQ Bars, Seamless Tubes
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.74% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.87 |
| Alpha | 22.57 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.198 |
| Beta Downside | 1.056 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 52.74% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.06 |
Description: MTUS Metallus December 26, 2025
Metallus, Inc. (NYSE:MTUS) is a U.S.–based steelmaker that produces alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel products for a broad range of end-markets, including automotive, energy, aerospace, defense, and heavy equipment. Its portfolio spans special-bar-quality (SBQ) bars, seamless mechanical tubes, precision components, and billets used in applications such as gears, crankshafts, drill pipes, wind-energy shafts, and artillery bodies. The company, originally TimkenSteel, rebranded to Metallus in February 2024 and traces its roots back to 1899, operating from Canton, Ohio.
Key industry metrics that affect Metallus’s outlook include: (1) U.S. steel demand, which rose 4.2 % YoY in Q2 2024 driven by automotive and renewable-energy construction; (2) capacity utilization at U.S. integrated steel mills, hovering around 78 %, indicating modest excess supply pressure; and (3) the price spread between alloy steel and commodity carbon steel, which widened by ~15 % in early 2024, supporting higher margins for specialty producers like Metallus. Macro-level drivers such as the Inflation Reduction Act’s clean-energy incentives and the resurgence of domestic manufacturing under “Buy American” policies also bolster demand for high-specification steel.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Metallus’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analysis on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income: -8.30m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.14 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 24.23% < 20% (prev 31.91%; Δ -7.67% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 31.8m > Net Income -8.30m |
| Net Debt (-175.8m) to EBITDA (56.6m): -3.11 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.90 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (43.3m) vs 12m ago 0.46% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.84% > 18% (prev 0.11%; Δ 872.8% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 99.09% > 50% (prev 103.4%; Δ -4.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.29 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 56.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m) |
Altman Z'' 1.38
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 579.6m - Total Current Liabilities 305.4m) / Total Assets 1.15b |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -39.3m / Total Assets 1.15b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 800.0k / Avg Total Assets 1.14b) |
| D: -0.07 (Book Value of Equity -33.9m / Total Liabilities 452.7m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.38 = BB |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 1.27 (Receivables 129.3m/105.1m, Revenue 1.13b/1.17b) |
| GMI: 1.24 (GM 8.84% / 10.94%) |
| AQI: 0.50 (AQ_t 0.01 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 1.13b / 1.17b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI -8.30m - CFO 31.8m) / TA 1.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of MTUS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.77%, over one month by +13.54%, over three months by +23.48% and over the past year by +38.76%.
Is MTUS a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTUS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22 | 3.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22 | 3.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 22.8 | 7.1% |
MTUS Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.7375
P/B = 1.1855
P/EG = 0.6315
Revenue TTM = 1.13b USD
EBIT TTM = 800.0k USD
EBITDA TTM = 56.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.10m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -175.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 658.6m USD (834.4m + Debt 15.7m - CCE 191.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.29 (Ebit TTM 800.0k / Interest Expense TTM 2.80m)
EV/FCF = -11.53x (Enterprise Value 658.6m / FCF TTM -57.1m)
FCF Yield = -8.67% (FCF TTM -57.1m / Enterprise Value 658.6m)
FCF Margin = -5.05% (FCF TTM -57.1m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Net Margin = -0.73% (Net Income TTM -8.30m / Revenue TTM 1.13b)
Gross Margin = 8.84% ((Revenue TTM 1.13b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.44% (prev 10.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.57 (Enterprise Value 658.6m / Total Assets 1.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.92% (Interest Expense 1.40m / Debt 15.7m)
Taxrate = 25.69% (2.80m / 10.9m)
NOPAT = 594.5k (EBIT 800.0k * (1 - 25.69%))
Current Ratio = 1.90 (Total Current Assets 579.6m / Total Current Liabilities 305.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 15.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 697.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.11 (Net Debt -175.8m / EBITDA 56.6m)
Debt / FCF = 3.08 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -175.8m / FCF TTM -57.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 691.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.73% (Net Income -8.30m / Total Assets 1.15b)
RoE = -1.20% (Net Income TTM -8.30m / Total Stockholder Equity 691.1m)
RoCE = 0.11% (EBIT 800.0k / Capital Employed (Equity 691.1m + L.T.Debt 15.7m))
RoIC = 0.09% (NOPAT 594.5k / Invested Capital 693.8m)
WACC = 10.26% (E(834.4m)/V(850.1m) * Re(10.33%) + D(15.7m)/V(850.1m) * Rd(8.92%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 10.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.12%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -57.1m)
EPS Correlation: -55.24 | EPS CAGR: -44.06% | SUE: -0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -50.36 | Revenue CAGR: -2.65% | SUE: -0.20 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.20 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.18 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+103.0% | Growth Revenue=+11.2%