(NEU) NewMarket - Ratings and Ratios
Lubricant Additives, Fuel Additives, Antiknock Compounds
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.01% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.10% |
| Payout Consistency | 77.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.4% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.35 |
| Alpha | 34.78 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.500 |
| Beta | 0.481 |
| Beta Downside | 0.276 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.64% |
| Mean DD | 6.91% |
| Median DD | 3.58% |
Description: NEU NewMarket November 05, 2025
NewMarket Corporation (NYSE: NEU) manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of petroleum-based additives, covering lubricant formulations for automotive, heavy-duty, marine and industrial equipment, as well as fuel additives that improve refinery yields and fuel performance. Its product lines span engine-oil additives for passenger cars, motorcycles, off-road equipment and ocean-going vessels; driveline additives for transmissions and axles; and industrial additives for hydraulic fluids, greases, turbine oils, and specialty applications. The company also markets antiknock compounds, offers contract manufacturing services, and holds a real-property asset in Virginia.
Key operating metrics highlight the firm’s exposure to cyclical end-markets: NEU reported FY 2024 revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~13%, reflecting steady demand from the automotive aftermarket and industrial sectors. The additive business is sensitive to global lubricant consumption, which is projected to grow 3-4% annually through 2028, driven by rising vehicle miles traveled and stricter engine-efficiency standards. Conversely, the transition to electric vehicles could suppress long-term demand for traditional engine-oil additives, making diversification into industrial and fuel-additive segments a strategic hedge.
For investors seeking a data-driven appraisal of NEU’s valuation and scenario-based risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a granular, model-ready analysis that can complement your own due-diligence.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income (448.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 164.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 25.17% (prev 26.51%; Δ -1.34pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.19 (>3.0%) and CFO 609.0m > Net Income 448.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (759.5m) to EBITDA (745.2m) ratio: 1.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.68 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (9.40m) change vs 12m ago -2.08% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.86% (prev 30.84%; Δ 1.02pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 85.76% (prev 87.65%; Δ -1.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 15.03 (EBITDA TTM 745.2m / Interest Expense TTM 41.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.49
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 1.10b - Total Current Liabilities 410.5m) / Total Assets 3.23b |
| (B) 0.50 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.62b / Total Assets 3.23b |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 623.1m / Avg Total Assets 3.20b |
| (D) 1.09 = Book Value of Equity 1.69b / Total Liabilities 1.54b |
| Total Rating: 5.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 85.11
| 1. Piotroski 8.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.87% |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.85% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.51 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.02 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.64)% |
| 7. RoE 28.53% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 37.42% |
| 9. EPS Trend 38.40% |
What is the price of NEU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.04%, over one month by -1.41%, over three months by -7.33% and over the past year by +44.01%.
Is NEU a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the NEU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 450 | -41.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 450 | -41.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 987.5 | 28.9% |
NEU Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 16.1286
P/S = 2.6144
P/B = 4.2446
P/EG = 5.09
Beta = 0.497
Revenue TTM = 2.74b USD
EBIT TTM = 623.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 745.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 783.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 861.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 759.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.93b USD (7.17b + Debt 861.9m - CCE 102.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.03 (Ebit TTM 623.1m / Interest Expense TTM 41.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.87% (FCF TTM 544.8m / Enterprise Value 7.93b)
FCF Margin = 19.85% (FCF TTM 544.8m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Net Margin = 16.33% (Net Income TTM 448.2m / Revenue TTM 2.74b)
Gross Margin = 31.86% ((Revenue TTM 2.74b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.87b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.37% (prev 31.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.45 (Enterprise Value 7.93b / Total Assets 3.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.97% (Interest Expense 8.37m / Debt 861.9m)
Taxrate = 26.06% (35.3m / 135.6m)
NOPAT = 460.7m (EBIT 623.1m * (1 - 26.06%))
Current Ratio = 2.68 (Total Current Assets 1.10b / Total Current Liabilities 410.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 861.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.69b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.02 (Net Debt 759.5m / EBITDA 745.2m)
Debt / FCF = 1.39 (Net Debt 759.5m / FCF TTM 544.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.86% (Net Income 448.2m / Total Assets 3.23b)
RoE = 28.53% (Net Income TTM 448.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.57b)
RoCE = 26.47% (EBIT 623.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.57b + L.T.Debt 783.1m))
RoIC = 18.67% (NOPAT 460.7m / Invested Capital 2.47b)
WACC = 7.03% (E(7.17b)/V(8.04b) * Re(7.79%) + D(861.9m)/V(8.04b) * Rd(0.97%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 7.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.87% ; FCFE base≈506.8m ; Y1≈568.3m ; Y5≈758.2m
Fair Price DCF = 1399 (DCF Value 13.15b / Shares Outstanding 9.40m; 5y FCF grow 14.06% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 38.40 | EPS CAGR: 64.51% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 37.42 | Revenue CAGR: 4.92% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NEU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle