(NKE) Nike - Overview
Stock: Footwear, Apparel, Equipment, Accessories, Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.33% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.21% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.25% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 94.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -18.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.11 |
| Alpha | -28.64 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.064 |
| Beta Downside | 0.999 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.32 |
Description: NKE Nike January 27, 2026
Nike Inc. designs, develops and markets athletic footwear, apparel, equipment and related services worldwide, operating under the Nike, Jordan, Converse and other iconic brands. Its product portfolio spans performance gear, casual sneakers and digital experiences, sold through a mix of owned stores, wholesale partners and e-commerce channels.
In FY 2023 Nike reported revenue of $51.2 billion, with digital and direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales representing roughly 36 % of total revenue and growing 15 % year-over-year. The company’s DTC segment now accounts for about 38 % of overall sales, driving higher margins and stronger inventory control. Nike’s U.S. footwear market share remains near 24 %, while its gross margin expanded to 44.5 % despite supply-chain pressures and higher input costs.
Key macro-economic factors include U.S. consumer confidence trends, inflation-adjusted disposable income, and the pace of recovery in Greater China, where sales have been volatile. The broader footwear sector is being reshaped by a continued shift toward DTC and digital engagement, as well as heightened consumer demand for sustainable and performance-focused products.
For a deeper dive into Nike’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed model on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 2.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 26.61% < 20% (prev 28.04%; Δ -1.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 3.06b > Net Income 2.52b |
| Net Debt (4.31b) to EBITDA (3.72b): 1.16 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.06 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.48b) vs 12m ago -0.67% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.13% > 18% (prev 0.45%; Δ 4069 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 122.8% > 50% (prev 129.0%; Δ -6.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.07 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.72b / Interest Expense TTM 296.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.45
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 24.02b - Total Current Liabilities 11.64b) / Total Assets 37.79b |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -519.0m / Total Assets 37.79b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 2.09b / Avg Total Assets 37.87b) |
| D: -0.03 (Book Value of Equity -620.0m / Total Liabilities 23.70b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.45 = A |
Beneish M -2.81
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 5.74b/5.30b, Revenue 46.51b/48.98b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 41.13% / 44.60%) |
| AQI: 1.13 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 46.51b / 48.98b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 2.52b - CFO 3.06b) / TA 37.79b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.81 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of NKE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.41%, over one month by -2.19%, over three months by +3.94% and over the past year by -8.79%.
Is NKE a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 20
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NKE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.3 | 19.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.3 | 19.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 57.1 | -10.6% |
NKE Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Forward = 40.9836
P/S = 1.9672
P/B = 6.5795
P/EG = 2.2605
Revenue TTM = 46.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.09b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.72b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.28b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.31b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 95.81b USD (91.50b + Debt 11.28b - CCE 6.97b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.07 (Ebit TTM 2.09b / Interest Expense TTM 296.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.71x (Enterprise Value 95.81b / FCF TTM 2.48b)
FCF Yield = 2.58% (FCF TTM 2.48b / Enterprise Value 95.81b)
FCF Margin = 5.32% (FCF TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 46.51b)
Net Margin = 5.43% (Net Income TTM 2.52b / Revenue TTM 46.51b)
Gross Margin = 41.13% ((Revenue TTM 46.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.38b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.60% (prev 42.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.54 (Enterprise Value 95.81b / Total Assets 37.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.80% (Interest Expense 90.0m / Debt 11.28b)
Taxrate = 20.72% (207.0m / 999.0m)
NOPAT = 1.66b (EBIT 2.09b * (1 - 20.72%))
Current Ratio = 2.06 (Total Current Assets 24.02b / Total Current Liabilities 11.64b)
Debt / Equity = 0.80 (Debt 11.28b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 14.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.16 (Net Debt 4.31b / EBITDA 3.72b)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 4.31b / FCF TTM 2.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.69b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.66% (Net Income 2.52b / Total Assets 37.79b)
RoE = 18.43% (Net Income TTM 2.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.69b)
RoCE = 10.11% (EBIT 2.09b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.69b + L.T.Debt 7.02b))
RoIC = 7.57% (NOPAT 1.66b / Invested Capital 21.93b)
WACC = 8.83% (E(91.50b)/V(102.78b) * Re(9.84%) + D(11.28b)/V(102.78b) * Rd(0.80%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.71%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.01% ; FCFF base≈3.69b ; Y1≈3.67b ; Y5≈3.84b
Fair Price DCF = 45.24 (EV 58.21b - Net Debt 4.31b = Equity 53.90b / Shares 1.19b; r=8.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -1.27% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -58.40 | EPS CAGR: -12.38% | SUE: 2.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -24.60 | Revenue CAGR: 3.63% | SUE: 0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-05-31): EPS=1.59 | Chg30d=+0.013 | Revisions Net=-22 | Growth EPS=-26.2% | Growth Revenue=+0.9%
EPS next Year (2027-05-31): EPS=2.38 | Chg30d=-0.026 | Revisions Net=-21 | Growth EPS=+49.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%