(NPKI) NPK International - Overview
Stock: Composite Mats, Rental Services, Site Construction, Erosion Control
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 39.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.68% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.71 |
| Alpha | 82.08 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.309 |
| Beta Downside | 1.658 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.08 |
Description: NPKI NPK International December 27, 2025
NPK International Inc. (NYSE: NPKI) supplies recyclable composite matting for temporary worksite access, offering both sales and rental models across a broad set of industries-including power transmission, oil & gas, pipelines, renewable energy, petrochemicals, and construction-in the United States and United Kingdom. The firm also provides ancillary services such as access-road construction, site planning, erosion control, and site restoration.
Key operating metrics (2023, disclosed in the last Form 10-K) show revenue of roughly **$151 million** with an adjusted EBITDA margin near **12 %**, and an **order backlog of about $80 million**, indicating a solid pipeline of near-term demand. The company’s rental segment contributed roughly **30 % of total revenue**, reflecting a higher-margin, recurring-revenue stream that can buffer cyclical swings in new-project sales.
Macro-level drivers are pivotal: (1) **U.S. infrastructure spending**-particularly the $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure law-boosts demand for temporary access solutions on large-scale construction and utility projects; (2) **Oil-price volatility** and the ongoing shift toward **renewable-energy capex** create a mixed exposure, with the firm benefitting from both traditional energy projects and the growing offshore wind and solar installation market; (3) **Environmental regulations** that favor recyclable, low-impact site-protection products give NPKI a competitive advantage in sustainability-focused contracts.
Assumptions: the financial figures rely on the most recent audited statements (FY 2023) and are projected forward without accounting for potential supply-chain disruptions or sudden regulatory changes. Uncertainty remains around the pace of renewable-energy deployment in the U.K., which could materially affect the overseas revenue mix.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed financial model useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income: 33.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -9.61 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.68% < 20% (prev 31.88%; Δ -9.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 50.0m > Net Income 33.0m |
| Net Debt (-16.4m) to EBITDA (69.8m): -0.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.20 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (85.1m) vs 12m ago -2.77% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 36.60% > 18% (prev 0.34%; Δ 3626 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 65.33% > 50% (prev 52.98%; Δ 12.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 24.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 69.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.87m) |
Altman Z'' -0.94
| A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 107.8m - Total Current Liabilities 49.0m) / Total Assets 404.5m |
| B: -0.28 (Retained Earnings -115.1m / Total Assets 404.5m) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 45.8m / Avg Total Assets 397.0m) |
| D: -1.65 (Book Value of Equity -116.7m / Total Liabilities 70.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.94 = CCC |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.84 (Receivables 57.4m/54.6m, Revenue 259.4m/206.4m) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 36.60% / 33.88%) |
| AQI: 0.88 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 259.4m / 206.4m) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 33.0m - CFO 50.0m) / TA 404.5m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NPKI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.17%, over one month by +13.33%, over three months by +11.10% and over the past year by +108.73%.
Is NPKI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NPKI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 16.8 | 18.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 16.8 | 18.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.1 | 42.6% |
NPKI Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.3807
P/S = 4.4988
P/B = 3.4995
Revenue TTM = 259.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 45.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 69.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 3.64m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -16.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.15b USD (1.17b + Debt 19.2m - CCE 35.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 24.52 (Ebit TTM 45.8m / Interest Expense TTM 1.87m)
EV/FCF = 565.0x (Enterprise Value 1.15b / FCF TTM 2.04m)
FCF Yield = 0.18% (FCF TTM 2.04m / Enterprise Value 1.15b)
FCF Margin = 0.78% (FCF TTM 2.04m / Revenue TTM 259.4m)
Net Margin = 12.74% (Net Income TTM 33.0m / Revenue TTM 259.4m)
Gross Margin = 36.60% ((Revenue TTM 259.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 164.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.91% (prev 36.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.84 (Enterprise Value 1.15b / Total Assets 404.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 9.73% (Interest Expense 1.87m / Debt 19.2m)
Taxrate = 33.18% (3.01m / 9.07m)
NOPAT = 30.6m (EBIT 45.8m * (1 - 33.18%))
Current Ratio = 2.20 (Total Current Assets 107.8m / Total Current Liabilities 49.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 19.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 333.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.24 (Net Debt -16.4m / EBITDA 69.8m)
Debt / FCF = -8.08 (Net Debt -16.4m / FCF TTM 2.04m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 329.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.32% (Net Income 33.0m / Total Assets 404.5m)
RoE = 10.04% (Net Income TTM 33.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 329.0m)
RoCE = 13.72% (EBIT 45.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 329.0m + L.T.Debt 4.83m))
RoIC = 9.12% (NOPAT 30.6m / Invested Capital 335.8m)
WACC = 10.67% (E(1.17b)/V(1.19b) * Re(10.74%) + D(19.2m)/V(1.19b) * Rd(9.73%) * (1-Tc(0.33)))
Discount Rate = 10.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.23% ; FCFF base≈17.0m ; Y1≈11.2m ; Y5≈5.09m
Fair Price DCF = 1.01 (EV 68.5m - Net Debt -16.4m = Equity 85.0m / Shares 84.5m; r=10.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 36.47 | EPS CAGR: 0.35% | SUE: -2.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.07 | Revenue CAGR: -22.56% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.54 | Chg30d=+0.033 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+36.7% | Growth Revenue=+14.3%