(NRG) NRG Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Retail Energy, Home Services
NRG EPS (Earnings per Share)
NRG Revenue
Description: NRG NRG Energy
NRG Energy, Inc. (NYSE:NRG) and its subsidiaries operate as an integrated energy and home-services company across the United States and Canada, organized into six reporting segments: Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; Corporate Activities; and a catch-all “Other.”
The firm generates and sells electricity from a diversified mix of sources-coal, oil, natural gas, solar, and battery storage-while also delivering a cloud-based smart-home platform that includes hardware, software, installation, customer service, technical support, and professional monitoring.
Beyond generation, NRG offers a broad retail portfolio: electricity supply, energy-management tools, line and surge protection, HVAC installation and maintenance, home-protection products, carbon offsets, demand-response programs, commodity sales, and energy-efficiency solutions. Its distributed-generation and low-carbon offerings encompass backup generation, storage, distributed solar, and advisory services.
The company actively trades power, natural-gas, environmental, weather, and financial derivatives (forwards, futures, options, swaps) to hedge exposure and capture market opportunities. Its brands-including NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy, and Vivint-serve residential, commercial, government, industrial, and wholesale customers.
Founded in 1989 and headquartered in Houston, Texas, NRG reported adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.1 billion for FY 2023 and operates roughly 30 GW of generation capacity, with renewable assets now representing about 30 % of its net generation mix-a figure that is expected to rise as state-level decarbonization policies tighten. The firm’s earnings are particularly sensitive to natural-gas price volatility and to the regulatory trajectory of carbon-pricing mechanisms in its key markets.
For a deeper quantitative view of NRG’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides a concise dashboard of forward-looking fundamentals.
NRG Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 32,640m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 2000-05-25 |
NRG Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 92.1% |
| Fundamental | 47.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 60.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 65.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.80 of 5 |
NRG Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.06% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.98% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 7.99% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 22.2% |
NRG Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 44.1% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 86% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 81.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 60.42% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.91 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 6.04 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.64 |
| Alpha | 74.73 |
| Beta | 1.143 |
| Volatility | 35.00% |
| Current Volume | 2071k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2226.4k |
| Stop Loss | 155 (-5.3%) |
| Signal | -0.05 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (522.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.76b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.00% (prev 5.21%; Δ -7.21pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.29b > Net Income 522.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.94b) to EBITDA (2.56b) ratio: 4.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (196.0m) change vs 12m ago -8.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.25% (prev 21.08%; Δ -3.83pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 117.8% (prev 112.0%; Δ 5.87pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.84 (EBITDA TTM 2.56b / Interest Expense TTM 642.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.52
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 8.20b - Total Current Liabilities 8.78b) / Total Assets 24.09b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.97b / Total Assets 24.09b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.18b / Avg Total Assets 24.93b |
| (D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 1.87b / Total Liabilities 21.80b |
| Total Rating: 0.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.00
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.20% = 1.60 |
| 3. FCF Margin 4.75% = 1.19 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.86 = -2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.27 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.53)% = -1.91 |
| 7. RoE 20.75% = 1.73 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -30.78% = -2.31 |
| 9. EPS Trend 53.77% = 2.69 |
What is the price of NRG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.22%, over one month by -4.32%, over three months by +7.69% and over the past year by +92.18%.
Is NRG Energy a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NRG is around 230.45 USD . This means that NRG is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +40.87% (Margin of Safety).
Is NRG a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NRG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 192.3 | 17.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 192.3 | 17.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 255.5 | 56.2% |
Last update: 2025-10-18 05:04
NRG Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 72.4206
P/E Forward = 19.4932
P/S = 1.1114
P/B = 19.7564
P/EG = 1.2913
Beta = 1.143
Revenue TTM = 29.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.18b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.56b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.17b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 10.94b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 43.58b USD (32.64b + Debt 11.12b - CCE 180.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.84 (Ebit TTM 1.18b / Interest Expense TTM 642.0m)
FCF Yield = 3.20% (FCF TTM 1.39b / Enterprise Value 43.58b)
FCF Margin = 4.75% (FCF TTM 1.39b / Revenue TTM 29.37b)
Net Margin = 1.78% (Net Income TTM 522.0m / Revenue TTM 29.37b)
Gross Margin = 17.25% ((Revenue TTM 29.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.30b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.48% (prev 23.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 43.58b / Total Assets 24.09b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 143.0m / Debt 11.12b)
Taxrate = 32.03% (-49.0m / -153.0m)
NOPAT = 802.1m (EBIT 1.18b * (1 - 32.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 8.20b / Total Current Liabilities 8.78b)
Debt / Equity = 4.86 (Debt 11.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.27 (Net Debt 10.94b / EBITDA 2.56b)
Debt / FCF = 7.85 (Net Debt 10.94b / FCF TTM 1.39b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.52b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.17% (Net Income 522.0m / Total Assets 24.09b)
RoE = 20.75% (Net Income TTM 522.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.52b)
RoCE = 9.57% (EBIT 1.18b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.52b + L.T.Debt 9.81b))
RoIC = 6.33% (NOPAT 802.1m / Invested Capital 12.68b)
WACC = 7.85% (E(32.64b)/V(43.76b) * Re(10.23%) + D(11.12b)/V(43.76b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 61.27% ; FCFE base≈1.52b ; Y1≈998.0m ; Y5≈456.4m
Fair Price DCF = 33.71 (DCF Value 6.52b / Shares Outstanding 193.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 53.77 | EPS CAGR: 63.14% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -30.78 | Revenue CAGR: -8.13% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NRG Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle