Overview Dividends

(NRG) NRG Energy - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6293775085

Electricity, Natural Gas, Home Services, Energy Trading, Solar

Electric Utilities
Market Cap in USD: 31,227m

IPO / Inception: 2000-05-25
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 50.9%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 21.08%
EPS Trend: 41.2%

Last SUE: 0.59
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 2.16%
Rev. Trend: -16.3%

Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.13%
Yield on Cost 5y	6.05%
Yield CAGR 5y	7.99%
Payout Consistency	87.6%
Payout Ratio	20.4%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	47.0%
Value at Risk 5%th	71.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-7.10%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.24
Alpha	52.55
CAGR/Max DD	2.87

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.516
Beta	1.678
Beta Downside	1.756

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	26.22%
Mean DD	4.97%
Median DD	3.82%

Description: NRG NRG Energy December 17, 2025

NRG Energy Inc. (NYSE:NRG) is a diversified energy and home-services firm operating in the United States and Canada through five reporting segments: Texas; East; West/Services/Other; Vivint Smart Home; and Corporate Activities. The company generates and sells electricity from a mix of coal, oil, natural gas, solar and battery-storage assets, while also providing a cloud-based home platform that bundles hardware, installation, monitoring and technical support under brands such as NRG, Reliant, Direct Energy, Green Mountain Energy and Vivint.

Key quantitative points (as of FY 2023) include total revenue of roughly **$14.6 billion**, an adjusted EBITDA margin of **≈13 %**, and **≈7 GW** of combined conventional and renewable generation capacity, of which **≈2 GW** is solar-plus-storage. The business is highly sensitive to **natural-gas price volatility** and to **state-level clean-energy mandates**, which drive both the fuel-mix transition and the demand for demand-response and energy-efficiency services. A notable sector driver is the accelerating adoption of **distributed energy resources (DERs)**, which is expanding NRG’s market for residential solar, battery storage and Vivint-linked smart-home solutions.

For a data-rich, model-ready overview of NRG’s valuation dynamics and scenario analyses, you may find it useful to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (1.44b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.79b TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 1.38% (prev 4.49%; Δ -3.11pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.74b > Net Income 1.44b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (11.35b) to EBITDA (3.79b) ratio: 2.99 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (195.0m) change vs 12m ago -5.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 20.54% (prev 16.09%; Δ 4.45pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 124.9% (prev 118.5%; Δ 6.35pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.90 (EBITDA TTM 3.79b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.15

(A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 8.12b - Total Current Liabilities 7.71b) / Total Assets 23.97b

(B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.00b / Total Assets 23.97b

(D) 0.09 = Book Value of Equity 1.90b / Total Liabilities 22.00b

Total Rating: 1.15 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.64

1. Piotroski 7.50pt

2. FCF Yield 4.01%

3. FCF Margin 5.73%

4. Debt/Equity 6.15

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.99

6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.89)%

7. RoE 60.59%

8. Rev. Trend -16.26%

9. EPS Trend 41.16%

What is the price of NRG shares?

As of December 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 156.20 with a total of 1,997,876 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.25%, over one month by -7.46%, over three months by -4.72% and over the past year by +77.40%.

Is NRG a buy, sell or hold?

NRG Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NRG.

Strong Buy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NRG price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	199.7	27.9%
Analysts Target Price	199.7	27.9%
ValueRay Target Price	255.1	63.3%

NRG Fundamental Data Overview December 13, 2025

Market Cap USD = 31.23b (31.23b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 25.504
P/E Forward = 19.2678
P/S = 1.0486
P/B = 24.7737
P/EG = 1.4497
Beta = 1.253
Revenue TTM = 29.78b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.41b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.15b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 813.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.11b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 11.35b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42.61b USD (31.23b + Debt 12.11b - CCE 732.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.90 (Ebit TTM 2.41b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.01% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Enterprise Value 42.61b)
FCF Margin = 5.73% (FCF TTM 1.71b / Revenue TTM 29.78b)
Net Margin = 4.84% (Net Income TTM 1.44b / Revenue TTM 29.78b)
Gross Margin = 20.54% ((Revenue TTM 29.78b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.66b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.54% (prev 16.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.78 (Enterprise Value 42.61b / Total Assets 23.97b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.55% (Interest Expense 188.0m / Debt 12.11b)
Taxrate = 36.13% (86.0m / 238.0m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.41b * (1 - 36.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 8.12b / Total Current Liabilities 7.71b)
Debt / Equity = 6.15 (Debt 12.11b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.99 (Net Debt 11.35b / EBITDA 3.79b)
Debt / FCF = 6.65 (Net Debt 11.35b / FCF TTM 1.71b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.01% (Net Income 1.44b / Total Assets 23.97b)
RoE = 60.59% (Net Income TTM 1.44b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.38b)
RoCE = 17.79% (EBIT 2.41b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.38b + L.T.Debt 11.15b))
RoIC = 11.96% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 12.85b)
WACC = 9.07% (E(31.23b)/V(43.34b) * Re(12.20%) + D(12.11b)/V(43.34b) * Rd(1.55%) * (1-Tc(0.36)))
Discount Rate = 12.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.28%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 54.28% ; FCFE base≈1.51b ; Y1≈988.6m ; Y5≈452.1m
Fair Price DCF = 27.37 (DCF Value 5.24b / Shares Outstanding 191.6m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 41.16 | EPS CAGR: 21.08% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -16.26 | Revenue CAGR: 2.16% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.40 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=9.37 | Chg30d=-0.163 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+16.9% | Growth Revenue=+27.6%

Additional Sources for NRG Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle