(NU) Nu Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Credit Card Digital Account Personal Loan Crypto Trading Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 38.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.14% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.24 |
| Alpha | 40.57 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.54 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.566 |
| Beta | 1.182 |
| Beta Downside | 1.408 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.58% |
| Mean DD | 9.97% |
| Median DD | 6.83% |
Description: NU Nu Holdings December 03, 2025
Nu Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:NU) operates a fully digital banking ecosystem across Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands and the United States. Its product suite spans consumer-focused cards (Nu credit/prepaid, Ultraviolet premium metal card), mobile-first payment tools (instant transfers, bill pay, NuPay), a marketplace (Nu Shopping), and a range of financial services including personal and business accounts, goal-based investing (Money Boxes), crypto trading (NuCrypto), unsecured/secured loans, and insurance and ancillary services such as travel and mobile plans.
Key metrics that illustrate the company’s scale and growth trajectory include: • ~ 80 million total customers (≈ 70 million in Brazil alone) as of Q3 2024, reflecting a 30 % YoY increase in active users. • Revenue of $1.58 billion in FY 2023, up 38 % YoY, driven largely by higher loan-interest income and fee-based services. • Net profit margin expanding to 13 % in FY 2023, supported by a 45 % rise in credit-card spend and strong adoption of Pix-based financing, which benefits from Brazil’s open-banking reforms and the country’s 70 %+ smartphone penetration.
Macro-level drivers that could affect Nu’s outlook are Brazil’s persistent un-banked population (≈ 30 % of adults) and the rapid diffusion of instant-payment infrastructure (Pix), both of which create tailwinds for digital-only banks. Additionally, the recent tightening of Brazilian interest rates has boosted net interest income on the firm’s loan portfolio, while competitive pressure from traditional banks and emerging fintechs remains a material risk.
For a deeper, data-driven look at Nu Holdings’ valuation and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, model-ready overview.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (2.53b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 820.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.33pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -45.11% (prev -4.19%; Δ -40.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.04b > Net Income 2.53b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-14.20b) to EBITDA (3.65b) ratio: -3.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.88 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.91b) change vs 12m ago 0.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 43.05% (prev 50.74%; Δ -7.69pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 23.39% (prev 21.44%; Δ 1.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.90 (EBITDA TTM 3.65b / Interest Expense TTM 3.95b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.18
| (A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 47.26b - Total Current Liabilities 53.43b) / Total Assets 68.36b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.49b / Total Assets 68.36b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 3.56b / Avg Total Assets 58.50b |
| (D) 0.10 = Book Value of Equity 5.49b / Total Liabilities 57.81b |
| Total Rating: 0.18 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 91.01
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.88% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.03% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.30 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -3.89 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.63)% |
| 7. RoE 27.81% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 94.23% |
| 9. EPS Trend 94.52% |
What is the price of NU shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.55%, over one month by +5.15%, over three months by +4.56% and over the past year by +61.43%.
Is NU a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the NU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19.2 | 14.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19.2 | 14.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 24 | 43.2% |
NU Fundamental Data Overview December 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 32.2308
P/E Forward = 20.8768
P/S = 12.7678
P/B = 7.6964
Beta = 1.078
Revenue TTM = 13.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.56b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.65b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.87b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.12b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -14.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 55.79b USD (81.21b + Debt 3.12b - CCE 28.54b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.90 (Ebit TTM 3.56b / Interest Expense TTM 3.95b)
FCF Yield = 6.88% (FCF TTM 3.84b / Enterprise Value 55.79b)
FCF Margin = 28.03% (FCF TTM 3.84b / Revenue TTM 13.68b)
Net Margin = 18.49% (Net Income TTM 2.53b / Revenue TTM 13.68b)
Gross Margin = 43.05% ((Revenue TTM 13.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.79b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.74% (prev 42.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.82 (Enterprise Value 55.79b / Total Assets 68.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 40.91% (Interest Expense 1.28b / Debt 3.12b)
Taxrate = 29.89% (333.6m / 1.12b)
NOPAT = 2.49b (EBIT 3.56b * (1 - 29.89%))
Current Ratio = 0.88 (Total Current Assets 47.26b / Total Current Liabilities 53.43b)
Debt / Equity = 0.30 (Debt 3.12b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = -3.89 (Net Debt -14.20b / EBITDA 3.65b)
Debt / FCF = -3.70 (Net Debt -14.20b / FCF TTM 3.84b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.70% (Net Income 2.53b / Total Assets 68.36b)
RoE = 27.81% (Net Income TTM 2.53b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.10b)
RoCE = 34.48% (EBIT 3.56b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.10b + L.T.Debt 1.22b))
RoIC = 25.67% (NOPAT 2.49b / Invested Capital 9.72b)
WACC = 11.05% (E(81.21b)/V(84.33b) * Re(10.37%) + D(3.12b)/V(84.33b) * Rd(40.91%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.28%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.97% ; FCFE base≈5.01b ; Y1≈3.74b ; Y5≈2.20b
Fair Price DCF = 7.68 (DCF Value 29.34b / Shares Outstanding 3.82b; 5y FCF grow -30.17% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 94.52 | EPS CAGR: 62.71% | SUE: 1.13 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 94.23 | Revenue CAGR: 67.30% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=+0.011 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+9 | Growth EPS=+42.6% | Growth Revenue=+31.8%
Additional Sources for NU Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle