(NXDT) NexPoint Strategic - Overview
Stock: Real Estate, REIT, Multifamily, Property, Development
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 16.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.06% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 53.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 51.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -12.36 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.863 |
| Beta Downside | 1.450 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 73.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.28 |
Description: NXDT NexPoint Strategic January 18, 2026
NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund (NYSE: NXDT) is an externally advised, publicly-listed REIT that targets opportunistic and value-add real-estate assets across the United States. The fund leverages NexPoint Real Estate Advisors X, L.P. for acquisition, development, and asset management, focusing on sectors where the sponsor has demonstrated operational expertise.
Key quantitative touchpoints to watch include: (1) the fund’s weighted-average occupancy, which currently sits near 92 %-a level that suggests strong tenant demand despite a tightening credit market; (2) its net operating income (NOI) growth of roughly 5 % YoY, driven largely by rent-up escalations in the industrial and multifamily segments; and (3) sensitivity to the Federal Reserve’s policy rate, as higher borrowing costs can compress cap rates and pressure acquisition multiples in the value-add space.
For a deeper dive into NXDT’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform provides granular data and scenario analysis that can help you assess the fund’s risk-adjusted upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0
| Net Income: -98.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.43 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 322.8% < 20% (prev -69.55%; Δ 392.4% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 3.87m > Net Income -98.6m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 101.3 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (47.4m) vs 12m ago 16.30% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.22% > 50% (prev 1.48%; Δ -1.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.08 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -72.4m / Interest Expense TTM 28.5m) |
Altman Z'' -2.32
| A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 8.51m - Total Current Liabilities 84.0k) / Total Assets 1.11b |
| B: -0.29 (Retained Earnings -317.3m / Total Assets 1.11b) |
| C: -0.07 (EBIT TTM -87.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.17b) |
| D: -0.89 (Book Value of Equity -317.3m / Total Liabilities 356.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.32 = D |
Beneish M -2.19
| DSRI: 2.52 (Receivables 3.20m/8.96m, Revenue 2.61m/18.4m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.51 (AQ_t 0.99 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 0.14 (Revenue 2.61m / 18.4m) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI -98.6m - CFO 3.87m) / TA 1.11b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.19 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
What is the price of NXDT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.42%, over one month by +15.22%, over three months by +74.76% and over the past year by +4.53%.
Is NXDT a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the NXDT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.3 | 10.9% |
NXDT Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 0.3217
Revenue TTM = 2.61m USD
EBIT TTM = -87.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -72.4m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 54.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 357.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -5.31m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 587.4m USD (234.8m + Debt 357.9m - CCE 5.31m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.08 (Ebit TTM -87.9m / Interest Expense TTM 28.5m)
EV/FCF = 151.7x (Enterprise Value 587.4m / FCF TTM 3.87m)
FCF Yield = 0.66% (FCF TTM 3.87m / Enterprise Value 587.4m)
FCF Margin = 148.4% (FCF TTM 3.87m / Revenue TTM 2.61m)
Net Margin = -3779 % (Net Income TTM -98.6m / Revenue TTM 2.61m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 2.61m - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.53 (Enterprise Value 587.4m / Total Assets 1.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.93% (Interest Expense 6.90m / Debt 357.9m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -69.4m (EBIT -87.9m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 101.3 (out of range, set to none) (Total Current Assets 8.51m / Total Current Liabilities 84.0k)
Debt / Equity = 0.48 (Debt 357.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 739.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.07 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -5.31m / EBITDA -72.4m)
Debt / FCF = -1.37 (Net Debt -5.31m / FCF TTM 3.87m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 783.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -8.40% (Net Income -98.6m / Total Assets 1.11b)
RoE = -12.58% (Net Income TTM -98.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 783.6m)
RoCE = -7.94% (EBIT -87.9m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.11b - Current Liab 84.0k))
RoIC = -6.23% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -69.4m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 4.52% (E(234.8m)/V(592.7m) * Re(9.09%) + D(357.9m)/V(592.7m) * Rd(1.93%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 11.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈3.87m ; Y1≈2.54m ; Y5≈1.16m
Fair Price DCF = 0.86 (EV 36.9m - Net Debt -5.31m = Equity 42.3m / Shares 49.0m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -48.46 | EPS CAGR: -27.28% | SUE: -0.92 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -2.85 | Revenue CAGR: -30.15% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0