ORN Stock Analysis: Orion Holdings | NYSE

Engineering & Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 485m USD | 12M Return: 32% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Marine Construction, Concrete Construction, Dredging, Commercial Diving
Total Rating 11
Safety 25
Buy Signal -0.95
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: -2.7
Market Cap: 485M
Avg Turnover: 6.11M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility67.9%
VaR 5th Pctl11.4%
VaR vs Median1.67%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.70
Rel. Str. IBD12.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group14.4
Character TTM
Beta2.323
Beta Downside2.069
Hurst Exponent0.605
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD57.62%
CAGR/Max DD0.66
CAGR/Mean DD1.71
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.05, "2021-09": -0.27, "2021-12": -0.17, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -0.03, "2022-09": 0.02, "2022-12": -0.12, "2023-03": -0.32, "2023-06": -0.14, "2023-09": 0.02, "2023-12": 0.08, "2024-03": -0.12, "2024-06": -0.16, "2024-09": 0.16, "2024-12": 0.16, "2025-03": 0.01, "2025-06": 0.07, "2025-09": 0.09, "2025-12": 0.08, "2026-03": 0.05, "2026-06": -0.02,
Last SUE: -0.58
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ORN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 145.875, 2021-09: 139.907, 2021-12: 162.269, 2022-03: 174.931, 2022-06: 194.575, 2022-09: 182.621, 2022-12: 196.195, 2023-03: 159.174, 2023-06: 182.534, 2023-09: 168.476, 2023-12: 201.594, 2024-03: 160.672, 2024-06: 192.167, 2024-09: 226.675, 2024-12: 216.88, 2025-03: 188.653, 2025-06: 205.286, 2025-09: 225.097, 2025-12: 233.223, 2026-03: 216.301, 2026-06: 221.878,
Rev. CAGR: 9.89%
Rev. Trend: 97.7%
Last SUE: -0.15
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage
High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +2.3% 10
Feb +1.0% 8
Mar -17.0% 35
Apr -3.3% 15
May +2.3% 29
Jun +11.5% 25
Jul -7.6% 9
Aug -4.0% 15
Sep +5.1% 13
Oct +6.2% 12
Nov +9.3% 13
Dec -4.5% 31

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ORN Orion Holdings

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) is a specialty construction company headquartered in Houston, Texas, operating in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. The company runs two reporting segments: Marine and Concrete, serving infrastructure, industrial, and building end markets. Its Marine segment builds, rehabilitates, and maintains ports, terminals, cruise ship berths, Navy facilities, bridges, causeways, and environmental protection structures, and provides dredging, diving, and underwater pipeline services. The Concrete segment places foundations, slabs, and structural concrete for data centers, warehouses, distribution facilities, commercial and multi-family buildings, and institutional projects.

The business operates in the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, a project-based sector where revenue is typically tied to long-term contracts and government-funded port, waterway, and defense infrastructure work. Demand for the Concrete segment is increasingly tied to large-scale data center development, while the Marine segment benefits from ongoing U.S. port modernization, coastal resilience, and Navy facility spending. The company was founded in 1994 and changed its name from Orion Marine Group to Orion Group Holdings in May 2016.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data center concrete backlog surges on AI infrastructure buildout
  • Port and harbor dredging awards accelerate under federal IIJA funding
  • Marine segment margins pressured by steel and labor cost inflation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 3.60m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -7.26 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.26% < 20% (prev 9.18%; Δ 1.08% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 27.5m > Net Income 3.60m
Net Debt (204.9m) to EBITDA (35.4m): 5.78 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.52 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.3m) vs 12m ago 2.32% < -2%
Gross Margin: 11.78% > 18% (prev 12.68%; Δ -0.90% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 193.0% > 50% (prev 193.5%; Δ -0.53% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 7.59m / Interest Expense TTM 18.2m)
Altman Z'' 1.45
A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 268.8m - Total Current Liabilities 176.8m) / Total Assets 496.2m
B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -60.7m / Total Assets 496.2m)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 7.59m / Avg Total Assets 464.5m)
D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 164.5m / Total Liabilities 331.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.45 = BB
Beneish M -0.36
DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 253.2m/267.6m, Revenue 896.5m/837.5m)
GMI: 1.08 (GM 12.68% / 11.78%)
AQI: 5.47 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 896.5m / 837.5m)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 3.60m - CFO 27.5m) / TA 496.2m)
Beneish M = -0.36 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ORN shares?

As of August 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.78 with a total of 1,103,015 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -22.93%, over one month by -41.85%, over three months by -28.19% and over the past year by +31.98%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.50 (which is 13.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is ORN a buy, sell or hold?

Orion Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.75. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ORN.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ORN price?
Analysts Target Price 17.7 81.3%
Orion Holdings (ORN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 484.5m (484.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 53.4118
P/E Forward = 31.0559
P/S = 0.5429
P/B = 2.9072
P/EG = 0.6186
Revenue TTM = 896.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 7.59m USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.08m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 19.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 207.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 58.6m
Net Debt = 204.9m USD (calculated: Debt 207.4m - CCE 2.53m)
Enterprise Value = 689.4m USD (484.5m + Debt 207.4m - CCE 2.53m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.42 (Ebit TTM 7.59m / Interest Expense TTM 18.2m)
EV/FCF = -44.97x (Enterprise Value 689.4m / FCF TTM -15.3m)
FCF Yield = -2.22% (FCF TTM -15.3m / Enterprise Value 689.4m)
FCF Margin = -1.71% (FCF TTM -15.3m / Revenue TTM 896.5m)
Net Margin = 0.40% (Net Income TTM 3.60m / Revenue TTM 896.5m)
Gross Margin = 11.78% ((Revenue TTM 896.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 790.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 10.33% (prev 11.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.39 (Enterprise Value 689.4m / Total Assets 496.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.75% (Interest Expense 18.2m / Debt 207.4m)
Taxrate = 14.41% (419k / 2.91m)
NOPAT = 6.50m (EBIT 7.59m * (1 - 14.41%))
Current Ratio = 1.52 (Total Current Assets 268.8m / Total Current Liabilities 176.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.26 (Debt 207.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 164.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.78 (Net Debt 204.9m / EBITDA 35.4m)
 Debt / FCF = -13.36 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 204.9m / FCF TTM -15.3m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 162.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.78% (Net Income 3.60m / Total Assets 496.2m)
RoE = 2.22% (Net Income TTM 3.60m / Total Stockholder Equity 162.0m)
RoCE = 4.52% (EBIT 7.59m / Capital Employed (Equity 162.0m + L.T.Debt 6.08m))
RoIC = 1.93% (NOPAT 6.50m / Invested Capital 336.7m)
WACC = 12.15% (E(484.5m)/V(692.0m) * Re(14.15%) + D(207.4m)/V(692.0m) * Rd(8.75%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 14.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 88.46 | Cagr: 9.98%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -15.3m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.58 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.67 | Revenue CAGR: 9.89% | SUE: -0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-1.50% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.39 | Chg30d=-0.58% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+57.6% | GrowthRev=+10.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.66 | Chg30d=-6.27% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+66.6% | GrowthRev=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +53% (up=10, down=2)