ORN Stock Analysis: Orion Holdings | NYSE

Engineering & Construction | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 664m USD | 12M Return: 54.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Marine Construction, Concrete Construction, Dredging, Commercial Diving
Total Rating 38
Safety 27
Buy Signal -0.21
Engineering & Construction
Industry Rotation: -2.6
Market Cap: 664M
Avg Turnover: 6.14M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility70.2%
VaR 5th Pctl11.6%
VaR vs Median0.67%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.06
Rel. Str. IBD88.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group67.7
Character TTM
Beta1.960
Beta Downside1.694
Hurst Exponent0.583
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD57.62%
CAGR/Max DD1.28
CAGR/Mean DD3.38
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.05, "2021-09": -0.27, "2021-12": -0.17, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -0.03, "2022-09": 0.02, "2022-12": -0.12, "2023-03": -0.32, "2023-06": -0.14, "2023-09": 0.02, "2023-12": 0.08, "2024-03": -0.12, "2024-06": -0.16, "2024-09": 0.16, "2024-12": 0.16, "2025-03": 0.01, "2025-06": 0.07, "2025-09": 0.09, "2025-12": 0.08, "2026-03": 0.05,
Last SUE: 0.62
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ORN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 145.875, 2021-09: 139.907, 2021-12: 162.269, 2022-03: 174.931, 2022-06: 194.575, 2022-09: 182.621, 2022-12: 196.195, 2023-03: 159.174, 2023-06: 182.534, 2023-09: 168.476, 2023-12: 201.594, 2024-03: 160.672, 2024-06: 192.167, 2024-09: 226.675, 2024-12: 216.88, 2025-03: 188.653, 2025-06: 205.286, 2025-09: 225.097, 2025-12: 233.223, 2026-03: 216.301,
Rev. CAGR: 9.10%
Rev. Trend: 95.8%
Last SUE: 0.85
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.8% 14
Feb +0.0% 0
Mar -17.4% 60
Apr -3.7% 37
May +3.7% 53
Jun +6.3% 15
Jul -7.6% 0
Aug -5.2% 29
Sep +4.8% 0
Oct +4.4% 0
Nov +7.5% 0
Dec -4.1% 30

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ORN Orion Holdings

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) is a specialty construction company headquartered in Houston, Texas, operating in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. The company runs two reporting segments: Marine and Concrete, serving infrastructure, industrial, and building end markets. Its Marine segment builds, rehabilitates, and maintains ports, terminals, cruise ship berths, Navy facilities, bridges, causeways, and environmental protection structures, and provides dredging, diving, and underwater pipeline services. The Concrete segment places foundations, slabs, and structural concrete for data centers, warehouses, distribution facilities, commercial and multi-family buildings, and institutional projects.

The business operates in the Construction & Engineering sub-industry, a project-based sector where revenue is typically tied to long-term contracts and government-funded port, waterway, and defense infrastructure work. Demand for the Concrete segment is increasingly tied to large-scale data center development, while the Marine segment benefits from ongoing U.S. port modernization, coastal resilience, and Navy facility spending. The company was founded in 1994 and changed its name from Orion Marine Group to Orion Group Holdings in May 2016.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Data center concrete backlog surges on AI infrastructure buildout
  • Port and harbor dredging awards accelerate under federal IIJA funding
  • Marine segment margins pressured by steel and labor cost inflation
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.0
Net Income: 8.59m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.66% < 20% (prev 8.90%; Δ -0.24% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 36.4m > Net Income 8.59m
Net Debt (169.1m) to EBITDA (38.1m): 4.43 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.41 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.1m) vs 12m ago 2.76% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.33% > 18% (prev 11.97%; Δ 0.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 196.6% > 50% (prev 198.0%; Δ -1.40% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 12.1m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
Altman Z'' 1.40
A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 261.4m - Total Current Liabilities 185.2m) / Total Assets 478.7m
B: -0.12 (Retained Earnings -56.5m / Total Assets 478.7m)
C: 0.03 (EBIT TTM 12.1m / Avg Total Assets 447.5m)
D: 0.53 (Book Value of Equity 166.7m / Total Liabilities 312.1m)
Altman-Z'' = 1.40 = BB
Beneish M -0.64
DSRI: 0.93 (Receivables 241.1m/244.1m, Revenue 879.9m/824.4m)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 11.97% / 12.33%)
AQI: 5.10 (AQ_t 0.11 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 879.9m / 824.4m)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 8.59m - CFO 36.4m) / TA 478.7m)
Beneish M = -0.64 (Cap -4..+1) = D
What is the price of ORN shares?

As of July 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.81 with a total of 550,100 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.55%, over one month by +6.47%, over three months by +33.54% and over the past year by +54.27%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 13.60 (which is 8.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is ORN a buy, sell or hold?

Orion Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.75. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ORN.

  • StrongBuy: 3
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ORN price?
Analysts Target Price 17.3 16.7%
Orion Holdings (ORN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 664.3m (664.3m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 74.5909
P/E Forward = 39.0625
P/S = 0.7549
P/B = 3.8908
P/EG = 0.6186
Revenue TTM = 879.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 12.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 38.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 66.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 16.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 175.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 58.6m
Net Debt = 169.1m USD (calculated: Debt 175.3m - CCE 6.25m)
Enterprise Value = 833.3m USD (664.3m + Debt 175.3m - CCE 6.25m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.65 (Ebit TTM 12.1m / Interest Expense TTM 18.6m)
EV/FCF = -423.0x (Enterprise Value 833.3m / FCF TTM -1.97m)
FCF Yield = -0.24% (FCF TTM -1.97m / Enterprise Value 833.3m)
FCF Margin = -0.22% (FCF TTM -1.97m / Revenue TTM 879.9m)
Net Margin = 0.98% (Net Income TTM 8.59m / Revenue TTM 879.9m)
Gross Margin = 12.33% ((Revenue TTM 879.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 771.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 11.96% (prev 11.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.74 (Enterprise Value 833.3m / Total Assets 478.7m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 10.59% (Interest Expense 18.6m / Debt 175.3m)
Taxrate = 14.41% (419k / 2.91m)
NOPAT = 10.3m (EBIT 12.1m * (1 - 14.41%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 261.4m / Total Current Liabilities 185.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.05 (Debt 175.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 166.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.43 (Net Debt 169.1m / EBITDA 38.1m)
 Debt / FCF = -85.81 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 169.1m / FCF TTM -1.97m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 159.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.92% (Net Income 8.59m / Total Assets 478.7m)
RoE = 5.40% (Net Income TTM 8.59m / Total Stockholder Equity 159.2m)
RoCE = 5.36% (EBIT 12.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 159.2m + L.T.Debt 66.3m))
RoIC = 3.40% (NOPAT 10.3m / Invested Capital 303.8m)
WACC = 12.08% (E(664.3m)/V(839.6m) * Re(12.88%) + D(175.3m)/V(839.6m) * Rd(10.59%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 12.88% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 100.00 | Cagr: 9.79%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.97m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.75 | Revenue CAGR: 9.10% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.06 | Chg30d=-22.06% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.14 | Chg30d=-9.48% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-0.40% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+58.5% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.70 | Chg30d=-0.36% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+76.7% | GrowthRev=+9.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +39% (up=11, down=4)