(ORN) Orion Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Marine Construction, Marine Repair, Pipeline Installation, Concrete Pouring
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 70.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 107% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.27% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.28 |
| Alpha | -11.95 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.512 |
| Beta | 1.344 |
| Beta Downside | 0.920 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.62% |
| Mean DD | 21.79% |
| Median DD | 20.03% |
Description: ORN Orion Holdings October 26, 2025
Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: ORN) is a specialty construction firm focused on marine and concrete work across the United States, Alaska, Hawaii, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. The business is split into a Marine segment-delivering dredging, port-facility build-outs, underwater pipeline installation, bridge and causeway construction, and related inspection, repair, and salvage services-and a Concrete segment that provides elevated concrete pours for structural elements and light-commercial concrete work such as slabs and sidewalks.
According to the company’s FY 2023 filing, Orion generated roughly **$1.2 billion of revenue** with an operating margin near **6-7 %**, and it reported a **backlog of about $1.5 billion**, indicating a pipeline of projects extending roughly 12-18 months. Two macro-drivers are particularly material: (1) the U.S. Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, which earmarks **over $1 trillion** for ports, waterways, and related infrastructure, and (2) a **steady rise in global shipping volumes** (≈ 3 % YoY) that fuels demand for port expansions and dredging. Both factors suggest a favorable secular tailwind for Orion’s marine construction franchise, though the company remains exposed to cyclical funding delays and commodity price volatility that could compress margins.
If you want a data-rich, independent view of Orion’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most relevant metrics and scenario analyses.
ORN Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 362m |
| Sub-Industry | Construction & Engineering |
| IPO / Inception | 2007-12-20 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -6.11% |
| Analyst Rating | 5.0 of 5 |
ORN Dividends
Currently no dividends paidORN Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 51.26% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.89 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.35 |
| Current Volume | 231.7k |
| Average Volume | 248.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (9.48m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 50.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -7.78pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.60% (prev 9.24%; Δ -0.64pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 27.6m > Net Income 9.48m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (38.0m) to EBITDA (41.6m) ratio: 0.91 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (39.5m) change vs 12m ago 14.56% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.02% (prev 10.73%; Δ 2.29pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 196.1% (prev 181.5%; Δ 14.55pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 0.86 (EBITDA TTM 41.6m / Interest Expense TTM 20.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.69
| (A) 0.17 = (Total Current Assets 269.7m - Total Current Liabilities 197.8m) / Total Assets 422.4m |
| (B) -0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -61.0m / Total Assets 422.4m |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 18.0m / Avg Total Assets 426.4m |
| (D) -0.23 = Book Value of Equity -60.6m / Total Liabilities 264.5m |
| Total Rating: 0.69 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 57.10
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.33% |
| 3. FCF Margin -0.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.27 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.91 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.51)% |
| 7. RoE 6.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 60.55% |
| 9. EPS Trend 66.16% |
What is the price of ORN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.51%, over one month by +3.84%, over three months by +28.30% and over the past year by +4.81%.
Is ORN a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.2 | 36.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.2 | 36.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11 | 22.7% |
ORN Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 33.5556
P/E Forward = 15.456
P/S = 0.4325
P/B = 2.3149
P/EG = 0.6186
Beta = 1.192
Revenue TTM = 835.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 18.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 41.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 22.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 42.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 38.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 399.5m USD (361.5m + Debt 42.9m - CCE 4.92m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.86 (Ebit TTM 18.0m / Interest Expense TTM 20.9m)
FCF Yield = -0.33% (FCF TTM -1.33m / Enterprise Value 399.5m)
FCF Margin = -0.16% (FCF TTM -1.33m / Revenue TTM 835.9m)
Net Margin = 1.13% (Net Income TTM 9.48m / Revenue TTM 835.9m)
Gross Margin = 13.02% ((Revenue TTM 835.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 727.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.22% (prev 12.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 399.5m / Total Assets 422.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.42% (Interest Expense 12.6m / Debt 42.9m)
Taxrate = 8.76% (317.0k / 3.62m)
NOPAT = 16.4m (EBIT 18.0m * (1 - 8.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.36 (Total Current Assets 269.7m / Total Current Liabilities 197.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 42.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 157.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 38.0m / EBITDA 41.6m)
Debt / FCF = -28.49 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 38.0m / FCF TTM -1.33m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 153.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.24% (Net Income 9.48m / Total Assets 422.4m)
RoE = 6.19% (Net Income TTM 9.48m / Total Stockholder Equity 153.1m)
RoCE = 10.22% (EBIT 18.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 153.1m + L.T.Debt 22.6m))
RoIC = 9.15% (NOPAT 16.4m / Invested Capital 179.0m)
WACC = 12.65% (E(361.5m)/V(404.4m) * Re(10.97%) + D(42.9m)/V(404.4m) * Rd(29.42%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 10.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.26%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.33m)
EPS Correlation: 66.16 | EPS CAGR: 28.45% | SUE: 0.41 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 60.55 | Revenue CAGR: 5.12% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ORN Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle