(PAG) Penske Automotive - Overview
Stock: Cars, Trucks, Parts, Service
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 30.61% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 49.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 |
| Alpha | -11.58 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.743 |
| Beta Downside | 0.501 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.42% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
Description: PAG Penske Automotive January 06, 2026
Penske Automotive Group Inc. (NYSE:PAG) is a diversified transportation services firm that runs automotive and commercial-truck dealerships worldwide under franchise agreements. Its operations are split into four segments-Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments-covering new and used vehicle sales, service and repair, financing and insurance placement, aftermarket parts, collision repair, and wholesale parts distribution. The company also imports and distributes heavy-duty trucks (Freightliner, Western Star, MAN, Dennis Eagle) and related power systems, and it is a subsidiary of Penske Corporation.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $25.5 billion, with adjusted EPS of $3.70 and an operating margin of roughly 2.5%; the Commercial Truck segment contributed about 15 % of total revenue and grew double-digits year-over-year, reflecting robust freight demand. Sector drivers include consumer confidence and interest-rate trends that affect vehicle financing, as well as supply-chain resilience for both passenger-car and heavy-truck inventories. An emerging risk is the acceleration of electric-vehicle adoption, which could reshape franchise relationships and aftermarket service revenue.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 943.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -0.62% < 20% (prev -1.92%; Δ 1.30% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.07b > Net Income 943.7m |
| Net Debt (3.88b) to EBITDA (1.71b): 2.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (66.0m) vs 12m ago -1.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.54% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1638 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 179.5% > 50% (prev 175.8%; Δ 3.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.83 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.71b / Interest Expense TTM 265.1m) |
Altman Z'' 2.19
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 6.01b - Total Current Liabilities 6.20b) / Total Assets 17.12b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 5.91b / Total Assets 17.12b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.55b / Avg Total Assets 17.09b) |
| D: 0.50 (Book Value of Equity 5.71b / Total Liabilities 11.39b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.19 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.05
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 993.3m/1.02b, Revenue 30.68b/30.01b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 16.54% / 16.46%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.31) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 30.68b / 30.01b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 943.7m - CFO 1.07b) / TA 17.12b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of PAG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.31%, over one month by +2.67%, over three months by +8.57% and over the past year by +2.31%.
Is PAG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PAG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 180.3 | 8.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 180.3 | 8.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 184.3 | 10.6% |
PAG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.274
P/S = 0.3391
P/B = 1.8093
P/EG = 1.9637
Revenue TTM = 30.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.27b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 305.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.96b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.88b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.28b USD (10.40b + Debt 3.96b - CCE 80.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.83 (Ebit TTM 1.55b / Interest Expense TTM 265.1m)
EV/FCF = 18.87x (Enterprise Value 14.28b / FCF TTM 757.0m)
FCF Yield = 5.30% (FCF TTM 757.0m / Enterprise Value 14.28b)
FCF Margin = 2.47% (FCF TTM 757.0m / Revenue TTM 30.68b)
Net Margin = 3.08% (Net Income TTM 943.7m / Revenue TTM 30.68b)
Gross Margin = 16.54% ((Revenue TTM 30.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.61b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.23% (prev 16.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.83 (Enterprise Value 14.28b / Total Assets 17.12b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.64% (Interest Expense 64.9m / Debt 3.96b)
Taxrate = 27.10% (79.2m / 292.2m)
NOPAT = 1.13b (EBIT 1.55b * (1 - 27.10%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 6.01b / Total Current Liabilities 6.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 3.96b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 5.71b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 3.88b / EBITDA 1.71b)
Debt / FCF = 5.13 (Net Debt 3.88b / FCF TTM 757.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.52% (Net Income 943.7m / Total Assets 17.12b)
RoE = 17.22% (Net Income TTM 943.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 5.48b)
RoCE = 22.92% (EBIT 1.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.48b + L.T.Debt 1.27b))
RoIC = 10.00% (NOPAT 1.13b / Invested Capital 11.27b)
WACC = 6.59% (E(10.40b)/V(14.36b) * Re(8.65%) + D(3.96b)/V(14.36b) * Rd(1.64%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.90%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.58% ; FCFF base≈713.3m ; Y1≈661.8m ; Y5≈603.4m
Fair Price DCF = 165.6 (EV 14.79b - Net Debt 3.88b = Equity 10.91b / Shares 65.9m; r=6.59% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -9.11% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -60.59 | EPS CAGR: -50.42% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.77 | Revenue CAGR: 5.50% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.33 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=13.66 | Chg30d=+0.016 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+1.4% | Growth Revenue=+3.5%