(PR) Permian Resources - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gas, Basin, Acreage, Drilling
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.28% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 33.71% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 27.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 42.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.13% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.08 |
| Alpha | -26.77 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.451 |
| Beta | 1.343 |
| Beta Downside | 1.978 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.91% |
| Mean DD | 13.98% |
| Median DD | 14.21% |
Description: PR Permian Resources January 04, 2026
Permian Resources Corp. (NYSE: PR) is an independent U.S. oil and natural-gas producer that concentrates on crude oil and liquids-rich natural-gas reserves in the Delaware Basin, the core of the Permian Basin. Its primary acreage lies in Reeves County, Texas, and Lea County, New Mexico. The company, incorporated in 2015 and headquartered in Midland, Texas, rebranded from Centennial Resource Development in September 2022.
Based on the most recent Form 10-K (2023) and industry reports, PR reported an average net production of roughly 30,000 boe/d in 2023, with ≈ 70 % of output coming from oil-dominant wells-a metric that tends to amplify earnings when Brent or WTI oil prices stay above $80 per barrel. The balance sheet shows total debt of about $350 million, giving a debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 2.5×, which is modest relative to the E&P peer median of ~3.5×. A key sector driver for PR is the ongoing high-rig count in the Permian, currently the nation’s most active drilling region, supporting a 6-% year-over-year increase in regional output and underpinning the company’s ability to add acreage and drill infill wells.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard of PR’s financials, production trends, and peer benchmarks that can help you assess the upside potential more rigorously.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (812.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 311.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.18 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 16.14pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -8.75% (prev -8.42%; Δ -0.33pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.57b > Net Income 812.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (3.59b) to EBITDA (3.57b) ratio: 1.01 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (720.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 41.26% (prev 49.16%; Δ -7.91pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 30.59% (prev 29.05%; Δ 1.54pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.26 (EBITDA TTM 3.57b / Interest Expense TTM 298.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.94
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 916.9m - Total Current Liabilities 1.37b) / Total Assets 17.33b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.35b / Total Assets 17.33b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 1.57b / Avg Total Assets 16.97b |
| (D) 0.22 = Book Value of Equity 1.35b / Total Liabilities 6.05b |
| Total Rating: 0.94 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 71.31
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 21.60% |
| 3. FCF Margin 58.43% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.37 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.01 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -2.61)% |
| 7. RoE 8.55% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 92.62% |
| 9. EPS Trend -15.60% |
What is the price of PR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.52%, over one month by -3.33%, over three months by +12.47% and over the past year by -4.80%.
Is PR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18.5 | 31.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18.5 | 31.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 16.4 | 17.1% |
PR Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.3609
P/S = 2.013
P/B = 1.0424
P/EG = 12.3612
Beta = 0.642
Revenue TTM = 5.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.57b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.57b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.54b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 78.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.71b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.59b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 14.04b USD (10.45b + Debt 3.71b - CCE 111.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.26 (Ebit TTM 1.57b / Interest Expense TTM 298.6m)
EV/FCF = 4.63x (Enterprise Value 14.04b / FCF TTM 3.03b)
FCF Yield = 21.60% (FCF TTM 3.03b / Enterprise Value 14.04b)
FCF Margin = 58.43% (FCF TTM 3.03b / Revenue TTM 5.19b)
Net Margin = 15.65% (Net Income TTM 812.3m / Revenue TTM 5.19b)
Gross Margin = 41.26% ((Revenue TTM 5.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.53% (prev 37.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.81 (Enterprise Value 14.04b / Total Assets 17.33b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.87% (Interest Expense 69.4m / Debt 3.71b)
Taxrate = 51.76% (87.4m / 168.9m)
NOPAT = 758.4m (EBIT 1.57b * (1 - 51.76%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 916.9m / Total Current Liabilities 1.37b)
Debt / Equity = 0.37 (Debt 3.71b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.01 (Net Debt 3.59b / EBITDA 3.57b)
Debt / FCF = 1.18 (Net Debt 3.59b / FCF TTM 3.03b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 9.50b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.79% (Net Income 812.3m / Total Assets 17.33b)
RoE = 8.55% (Net Income TTM 812.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 9.50b)
RoCE = 12.05% (EBIT 1.57b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.50b + L.T.Debt 3.54b))
RoIC = 5.65% (NOPAT 758.4m / Invested Capital 13.43b)
WACC = 8.25% (E(10.45b)/V(14.16b) * Re(10.86%) + D(3.71b)/V(14.16b) * Rd(1.87%) * (1-Tc(0.52)))
Discount Rate = 10.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 19.95%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.88% ; FCFF base≈1.91b ; Y1≈1.88b ; Y5≈1.91b
Fair Price DCF = 38.35 (EV 32.16b - Net Debt 3.59b = Equity 28.56b / Shares 744.9m; r=8.25% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -2.79% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -15.60 | EPS CAGR: -20.72% | SUE: -3.23 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.62 | Revenue CAGR: 46.41% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=+6 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.20 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=+8 | Growth EPS=-7.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.8%
Additional Sources for PR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle