(RBRK) Rubrik - Overview
Stock: Data Protection, Cloud Security, Cyber Recovery, Threat Analytics
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 67.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.95% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.30 |
| Alpha | -57.88 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.849 |
| Beta Downside | 1.733 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.53% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.58 |
Description: RBRK Rubrik January 03, 2026
Rubrik, Inc. (NYSE:RBRK) is a Palo Alto-based provider of data-security software that protects enterprise, unstructured, cloud, SaaS, and identity-provider workloads, and adds analytics for threat detection, security posture, and cyber-recovery.
The firm’s portfolio spans enterprise data protection, cloud data protection, SaaS data protection, identity-provider services protection, data-threat analytics, security-posture monitoring, and cyber-recovery solutions, all delivered through a single, policy-driven platform.
Rubrik serves a broad cross-section of end-markets-including financial services, retail, transportation, energy, industrial, healthcare & life sciences, education, technology, media, communications, professional services, and the public sector-leveraging a subscription-based model that emphasizes recurring revenue.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (FY 2023) show $1.2 billion in total revenue, representing a 19 % year-over-year increase, with subscription revenue accounting for roughly 78 % of the total and an ARR growth rate of ~22 %. Gross margins have stabilized near 71 %, while net dollar retention is reported at 115 %, indicating effective upsell and cross-sell execution.
Sector-level drivers that underpin Rubrik’s growth outlook include accelerating cloud migration (global public-cloud spend is projected to reach $1.0 trillion in 2026), tightening data-privacy regulations (e.g., GDPR, CCPA, and upcoming U.S. federal privacy legislation), and rising enterprise cyber-risk budgets, which together boost demand for integrated data-security platforms.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Rubrik’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analytical toolkit can help you model scenarios and benchmark against peers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -376.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 75.53% < 20% (prev 15.82%; Δ 59.71% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 273.5m > Net Income -376.8m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.78 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (198.4m) vs 12m ago 8.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.26% > 18% (prev 0.69%; Δ 7856 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 62.69% > 50% (prev 63.33%; Δ -0.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -10.81 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -319.5m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m) |
Altman Z'' -3.69
| A: 0.35 (Total Current Assets 2.07b - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 2.55b |
| B: -1.22 (Retained Earnings -3.10b / Total Assets 2.55b) |
| C: -0.15 (EBIT TTM -283.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.91b) |
| D: -1.01 (Book Value of Equity -3.10b / Total Liabilities 3.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.69 = D |
Beneish M -3.23
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 219.7m/153.0m, Revenue 1.20b/803.5m) |
| GMI: 0.87 (GM 79.26% / 69.22%) |
| AQI: 0.75 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 1.49 (Revenue 1.20b / 803.5m) |
| TATA: -0.26 (NI -376.8m - CFO 273.5m) / TA 2.55b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of RBRK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.72%, over one month by -32.01%, over three months by -28.60% and over the past year by -32.21%.
Is RBRK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RBRK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 110.9 | 117.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 110.9 | 117.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 49.4 | -3.2% |
RBRK Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/S = 9.1072
Revenue TTM = 1.20b USD
EBIT TTM = -283.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -319.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 10.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 1.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 822.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.42b USD (10.90b + Debt 1.13b - CCE 1.60b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -10.81 (Ebit TTM -283.4m / Interest Expense TTM 26.2m)
EV/FCF = 40.06x (Enterprise Value 10.42b / FCF TTM 260.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.50% (FCF TTM 260.2m / Enterprise Value 10.42b)
FCF Margin = 21.75% (FCF TTM 260.2m / Revenue TTM 1.20b)
Net Margin = -31.48% (Net Income TTM -376.8m / Revenue TTM 1.20b)
Gross Margin = 79.26% ((Revenue TTM 1.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 248.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 81.23% (prev 79.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.09 (Enterprise Value 10.42b / Total Assets 2.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.10% (Interest Expense 1.08m / Debt 1.13b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -223.9m (EBIT -283.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.78 (Total Current Assets 2.07b / Total Current Liabilities 1.16b)
Debt / Equity = -2.15 (negative equity) (Debt 1.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -524.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.57 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 822.5m / EBITDA -319.5m)
Debt / FCF = 3.16 (Net Debt 822.5m / FCF TTM 260.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -549.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -19.74% (Net Income -376.8m / Total Assets 2.55b)
RoE = 68.53% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -376.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -549.8m)
RoCE = -48.88% (EBIT -283.4m / Capital Employed (Equity -549.8m + L.T.Debt 1.13b))
RoIC = -127.2% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -223.9m / Invested Capital 176.1m)
WACC = 11.54% (E(10.90b)/V(12.03b) * Re(12.73%) + D(1.13b)/V(12.03b) * Rd(0.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 6.19%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 56.14% ; FCFF base≈260.2m ; Y1≈170.8m ; Y5≈77.9m
Fair Price DCF = 0.89 (EV 957.5m - Net Debt 822.5m = Equity 135.0m / Shares 151.9m; r=11.54% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 89.51 | EPS CAGR: 475.4% | SUE: 3.69 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 92.49 | Revenue CAGR: 32.10% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=17
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+144.2% | Growth Revenue=+23.2%