RJF Stock Analysis: Raymond James Financial | NYSE

Asset Management | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 32.742m USD | 12M Return: 4.7% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Asset Management, Commercial Banking
Total Rating 40
Safety 36
Buy Signal -0.53
Asset Management
Industry Rotation: +2.3
Market Cap: 32.7B
Avg Turnover: 227M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility23.8%
VaR 5th Pctl4.20%
VaR vs Median7.04%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.14
Rel. Str. IBD42.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group58.3
Character TTM
Beta0.974
Beta Downside0.989
Hurst Exponent0.399
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD28.12%
CAGR/Max DD0.61
CAGR/Mean DD2.27
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.83, "2021-09": 2.06, "2021-12": 2.12, "2022-03": 1.55, "2022-06": 1.61, "2022-09": 2.08, "2022-12": 2.29, "2023-03": 2.03, "2023-06": 1.85, "2023-09": 2.13, "2023-12": 2.4, "2024-03": 2.31, "2024-06": 2.39, "2024-09": 2.95, "2024-12": 2.93, "2025-03": 2.42, "2025-06": 2.18, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 2.86, "2026-03": 2.72, "2026-06": 3.14,
EPS CAGR: 12.51%
EPS Trend: 93.3%
Last SUE: 1.03
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of RJF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2477, 2021-09: 2693, 2021-12: 2780, 2022-03: 2711, 2022-06: 2740, 2022-09: 2965, 2022-12: 2993, 2023-03: 3157, 2023-06: 3253, 2023-09: 3474, 2023-12: 3480, 2024-03: 3594, 2024-06: 3714, 2024-09: 3953, 2024-12: 3982, 2025-03: 3791, 2025-06: 3786, 2025-09: 4130, 2025-12: 4176, 2026-03: 4262, 2026-06: 4362,
Rev. CAGR: 9.45%
Rev. Trend: 97.9%
Last SUE: 0.61
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan +2.0% 63
Feb -2.6% 15
Mar -5.5% 43
Apr -0.7% 16
May -1.1% 0
Jun +0.4% 16
Jul +0.2% 8
Aug +0.2% 8
Sep -1.6% 24
Oct -0.7% 5
Nov +3.2% 18
Dec -1.3% 20

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RJF Raymond James Financial

Raymond James Financial (NYSE: RJF) is a diversified financial services firm founded in 1962 and headquartered in Saint Petersburg, Florida. It operates through five business segments-Private Client Group, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank, and Other-serving individuals, corporations, and municipalities across the United States, Canada, and Europe. The Private Client Group delivers wealth management and brokerage services to retail investors, while the Capital Markets segment provides investment banking, equity and debt underwriting, and merger and acquisition advisory. The Asset Management unit offers portfolio management and administrative services to retail and institutional clients, and the Bank segment provides lending products, FDIC-insured deposits, and treasury/liquidity services. The Other segment holds private equity investments, including interests in third-party funds.

The firm is classified within the Investment Banking & Brokerage sub-industry under GICS, reflecting that brokerage, advisory, and capital markets activities-rather than traditional commercial banking-are its primary focus. Raymond James operates as a bank holding company, a regulatory structure also used by large diversified peers such as Morgan Stanley, which permits the firm to gather insured deposits through its banking arm while integrating those balances with its broader brokerage and wealth management platform.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fed rate cuts compress Bank net interest margin
  • Equity market gains lift wealth management fee revenue
  • Investment banking rebound drives Capital Markets segment growth
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 2.31b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 14.78 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.48k > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -265.0% < 20% (prev -283.4%; Δ 18.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 16.01 > 3% & CFO 2.43b > Net Income 2.31b
Net Debt (-6.50b) to EBITDA (4.88b): -1.33 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.32 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (197.2m) vs 12m ago -4.04% < -2%
Gross Margin: 88.87% > 18% (prev 87.25%; Δ 1.62% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 39.85% > 50% (prev 18.29%; Δ 21.56% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.68b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b)
Altman Z'' -15.00
A: -295.2 (Total Current Assets 21.1b - Total Current Liabilities 66.0b) / Total Assets 152.0m
B: 89.50 (Retained Earnings 13.6b / Total Assets 152.0m)
C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 4.68b / Avg Total Assets 42.5b)
D: 0.17 (Book Value of Equity 12.5b / Total Liabilities 75.7b)
Altman-Z'' = -1.64k = D
What is the price of RJF shares?

As of July 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 166.14 with a total of 2,276,501 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.10%, over one month by +5.90%, over three months by +8.68% and over the past year by +4.69%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 156.10 (which is 6% or 2.6 ATR below the current price).

Is RJF a buy, sell or hold?

Raymond James Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RJF.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the RJF price?
Analysts Target Price 182.7 9.9%
Raymond James Financial (RJF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 32.7b (32.7b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 15.85
P/E Forward = 12.6904
P/S = 2.2239
P/B = 2.6042
P/EG = 0.9402
Revenue TTM = 16.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.68b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.22b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 325.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 4.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year) + Leases 345.0m
Net Debt = -6.50b USD (calculated: Debt 4.89b - CCE 11.4b)
Enterprise Value = 26.2b USD (32.7b + Debt 4.89b - CCE 11.4b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.69 (Ebit TTM 4.68b / Interest Expense TTM 1.74b)
EV/FCF = 11.68x (Enterprise Value 26.2b / FCF TTM 2.25b)
FCF Yield = 8.56% (FCF TTM 2.25b / Enterprise Value 26.2b)
FCF Margin = 13.27% (FCF TTM 2.25b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Net Margin = 13.62% (Net Income TTM 2.31b / Revenue TTM 16.9b)
Gross Margin = 88.87% ((Revenue TTM 16.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.88b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 90.54%)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 172.7 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 26.2b / Total Assets 152.0m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 35.60% (Interest Expense 1.74b / Debt 4.89b)
Taxrate = 21.67% (638.0m / 2.94b)
NOPAT = 3.67b (EBIT 4.68b * (1 - 21.67%))
Current Ratio = 0.32 (Total Current Assets 21.1b / Total Current Liabilities 66.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.39 (Debt 4.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last fiscal year 12.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -6.50b / EBITDA 4.88b)
Debt / FCF = -2.89 (Net Debt -6.50b / FCF TTM 2.25b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.43% (Net Income 2.31b / Total Assets 152.0m)
RoE = 18.49% (Net Income TTM 2.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.5b)
RoCE = 28.06% (EBIT 4.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.5b + L.T.Debt 4.22b))
RoIC = -5.53% (NOPAT 3.67b / Invested Capital -66.3b)
WACC = 11.81% (E(32.7b)/V(37.6b) * Re(9.41%) + D(4.89b)/V(37.6b) * Rd(35.60%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.32 | Cagr: -3.45%
[DCF] Terminal Value 67.61% ; FCFF base≈2.13b ; Y1≈2.44b ; Y5≈3.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 204.8 (EV 33.4b - Net Debt -6.50b = Equity 39.9b / Shares 194.9m; r=11.81% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.94% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 93.25 | EPS CAGR: 12.51% | SUE: 1.03 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.90 | Revenue CAGR: 9.45% | SUE: 0.61 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=11.92 | Chg30d=+0.44% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+10.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=13.96 | Chg30d=+4.42% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+17.2% | GrowthRev=+10.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)