(SHEL) Shell - Ratings and Ratios
Oil, Gasoline, Diesel, Lubricants, Petrochemicals
SHEL EPS (Earnings per Share)
SHEL Revenue
Description: SHEL Shell
Shell plc (NYSE:SHEL) is a vertically integrated energy and petrochemical company operating worldwide across six segments: Integrated Gas, Upstream, Marketing, Chemicals & Products, and Renewables & Energy Solutions. Its core activities span exploration and production of crude oil, natural gas, and LNG; midstream transport; fuel and lubricant marketing; petrochemical manufacturing; and growing renewable power, hydrogen, and carbon-capture businesses.
Key operational metrics (2023) include ≈ 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) of total production, ≈ $30 billion of upstream cash flow, and a ≈ $4 billion dividend payout, yielding roughly 4.5 % on the share price. The company’s 2024 capital plan targets $30-$35 billion of spend, with ~ $5 billion earmarked for net-zero transition projects such as offshore wind, hydrogen, and CCS, reflecting its ambition to cut Scope 1-2 emissions by 20 % by 2030.
Sector drivers that materially affect Shell’s outlook are (i) global oil price risk, where Brent crude’s 12-month forward curve averaged $85 per barrel in Q3 2024, (ii) accelerating LNG demand in Asia, projected to grow 5-6 % annually through 2030, and (iii) tightening carbon-pricing regimes in Europe that incentivize the company’s renewable and carbon-credit businesses. If any of these trends diverge sharply-e.g., a sustained sub-$70 barrel oil price or slower LNG adoption-Shell’s cash-flow generation could be materially revised.
For a deeper, data-driven breakdown of Shell’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth a look.
SHEL Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 212,068m |
| Sub-Industry | Oil & Gas Exploration & Production |
| IPO / Inception | 2005-07-21 |
SHEL Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 83.2% |
| Fundamental | 59.0% |
| Dividend Rating | 78.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -2.33% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.41 of 5 |
SHEL Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 3.95% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 13.79% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 9.52% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 51.6% |
SHEL Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 43.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 81.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 96.6% |
| CAGR 5y | 16.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.88 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 3.86 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.33 |
| Alpha | 1.90 |
| Beta | 0.278 |
| Volatility | 23.57% |
| Current Volume | 2473.6k |
| Average Volume 20d | 3943.6k |
| Stop Loss | 69.7 (-3%) |
| Signal | 0.19 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (13.60b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 16.32b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.48pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 10.87% (prev 12.30%; Δ -1.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 49.06b > Net Income 13.60b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-32.68b) to EBITDA (53.06b) ratio: -0.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.32 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (3.00b) change vs 12m ago -6.43% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 14.86% (prev 17.08%; Δ -2.23pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 69.51% (prev 76.50%; Δ -7.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.78 (EBITDA TTM 53.06b / Interest Expense TTM 4.58b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.08
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 121.60b - Total Current Liabilities 92.02b) / Total Assets 387.92b |
| (B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 155.46b / Total Assets 387.92b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 31.06b / Avg Total Assets 391.35b |
| (D) 0.70 = Book Value of Equity 143.97b / Total Liabilities 204.83b |
| Total Rating: 3.08 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.04
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 11.25% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.55% = 2.64 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.42 = 2.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.62 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 4.37)% = 5.46 |
| 7. RoE 7.49% = 0.62 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -90.33% = -6.77 |
| 9. EPS Trend -66.47% = -3.32 |
What is the price of SHEL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.02%, over one month by +0.29%, over three months by +3.12% and over the past year by +13.42%.
Is Shell a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SHEL is around 78.92 USD . This means that SHEL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 9.79%.
Is SHEL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHEL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 78.3 | 9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 78.3 | 9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 85.6 | 19% |
Last update: 2025-10-07 05:02
SHEL Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 16.3415
P/E Forward = 10.7875
P/S = 0.7796
P/B = 1.1445
P/EG = 1.6278
Beta = 0.278
Revenue TTM = 272.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 31.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 53.06b USD
Long Term Debt = 41.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 10.46b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 75.67b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -32.68b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 255.06b USD (212.07b + Debt 75.67b - CCE 32.68b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.78 (Ebit TTM 31.06b / Interest Expense TTM 4.58b)
FCF Yield = 11.25% (FCF TTM 28.69b / Enterprise Value 255.06b)
FCF Margin = 10.55% (FCF TTM 28.69b / Revenue TTM 272.01b)
Net Margin = 5.00% (Net Income TTM 13.60b / Revenue TTM 272.01b)
Gross Margin = 14.86% ((Revenue TTM 272.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 231.59b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.87% (prev 18.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 255.06b / Total Assets 387.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 1.07b / Debt 75.67b)
Taxrate = 39.03% (2.33b / 5.97b)
NOPAT = 18.94b (EBIT 31.06b * (1 - 39.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.32 (Total Current Assets 121.60b / Total Current Liabilities 92.02b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 75.67b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 181.14b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.62 (Net Debt -32.68b / EBITDA 53.06b)
Debt / FCF = -1.14 (Net Debt -32.68b / FCF TTM 28.69b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 181.48b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.51% (Net Income 13.60b / Total Assets 387.92b)
RoE = 7.49% (Net Income TTM 13.60b / Total Stockholder Equity 181.48b)
RoCE = 13.93% (EBIT 31.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 181.48b + L.T.Debt 41.46b))
RoIC = 9.78% (NOPAT 18.94b / Invested Capital 193.58b)
WACC = 5.42% (E(212.07b)/V(287.74b) * Re(7.04%) + D(75.67b)/V(287.74b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(0.39)))
Discount Rate = 7.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.84%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.86% ; FCFE base≈29.65b ; Y1≈30.85b ; Y5≈35.42b
Fair Price DCF = 215.4 (DCF Value 622.10b / Shares Outstanding 2.89b; 5y FCF grow 4.24% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -66.47 | EPS CAGR: -62.42% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -90.33 | Revenue CAGR: -12.94% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SHEL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle