SO Stock Analysis: Southern | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 95.998m USD | 12M Return: -9.7% | US8425871071 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 508M
EPS Trend: 85.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 95.8%
Qual. Beats: -1
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
The Southern Company is a U.S. utilities holding company that, through its subsidiaries, generates, sells, and distributes electricity to both retail and wholesale customers across its service territories. Beyond core electricity operations, the company is involved in battery energy storage development, microgrid deployment for commercial and industrial clients, natural gas distribution in four states (Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee), and investments in telecommunications infrastructure. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and incorporated in 1945, Southern Company operates as a regulated electric utility under the GICS Electric Utilities sub-industry classification, a sector characterized by state-regulated rate structures and franchise-based service monopolies within designated geographic areas.
- Georgia rate case approval lifts allowed return on equity
- Grid modernization capex exceeds $40 billion through 2028
- Rising interest costs pressure earnings on high debt load
| Net Income: 4.66b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -11.12% < 20% (prev -13.29%; Δ 2.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 10.2b > Net Income 4.66b |
| Net Debt (75.6b) to EBITDA (14.2b): 5.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.14b) vs 12m ago 3.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.40% > 18% (prev 48.81%; Δ -5.42% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 19.41% > 50% (prev 19.05%; Δ 0.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.47 > 6 (EBIT TTM 8.14b / Interest Expense TTM 3.29b) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 12.4b - Total Current Liabilities 15.7b) / Total Assets 162b |
| B: 0.10 (Retained Earnings 15.7b / Total Assets 162b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 8.14b / Avg Total Assets 155b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 39.6b / Total Liabilities 120b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.88 = B |
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 3.95b/4.35b, Revenue 30.2b/28.4b) |
| GMI: 1.12 (GM 48.81% / 43.40%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 30.2b / 28.4b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 4.66b - CFO 10.2b) / TA 162b) |
| Beneish M = -3.01 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 01, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 82.89 with a total of 8,553,979 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.69%, over one month by -5.81%, over three months by -12.68% and over the past year by -9.65%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 81.00 (which is 2.3% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Southern has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.42. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SO.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 98.7 | 19% |
P/E Trailing = 20.1084
P/E Forward = 16.9779
P/S = 3.1809
P/B = 2.4266
P/EG = 1.9727
Revenue TTM = 30.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.14b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.2b USD
Long Term Debt = 68.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.03b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 78.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 1.50b
Net Debt = 75.6b USD (calculated: Debt 78.6b - CCE 2.98b)
Enterprise Value = 172b USD (96.0b + Debt 78.6b - CCE 2.98b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.47 (Ebit TTM 8.14b / Interest Expense TTM 3.29b)
EV/FCF = 66.69x (Enterprise Value 172b / FCF TTM 2.57b)
FCF Yield = 1.50% (FCF TTM 2.57b / Enterprise Value 172b)
FCF Margin = 8.53% (FCF TTM 2.57b / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Net Margin = 15.43% (Net Income TTM 4.66b / Revenue TTM 30.2b)
Gross Margin = 43.40% ((Revenue TTM 30.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.27% (prev 46.47%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 172b / Total Assets 162b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.19% (Interest Expense 3.29b / Debt 78.6b)
Taxrate = 13.03% (684.0m / 5.25b)
NOPAT = 7.08b (EBIT 8.14b * (1 - 13.03%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 12.4b / Total Current Liabilities 15.7b)
Debt / Equity = 1.99 (Debt 78.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 39.6b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.33 (Net Debt 75.6b / EBITDA 14.2b)
Debt / FCF = 29.39 (Net Debt 75.6b / FCF TTM 2.57b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 36.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.00% (Net Income 4.66b / Total Assets 162b)
RoE = 12.61% (Net Income TTM 4.66b / Total Stockholder Equity 36.9b)
RoCE = 7.71% (EBIT 8.14b / Capital Employed (Equity 36.9b + L.T.Debt 68.8b))
RoIC = 4.67% (NOPAT 7.08b / Invested Capital 152b)
WACC = 4.29% (E(96.0b)/V(175b) * Re(4.82%) + D(78.6b)/V(175b) * Rd(4.19%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 4.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 79.80 | Cagr: 1.64%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈2.57b ; Y1≈2.58b ; Y5≈2.74b
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 42.6b - Net Debt 75.6b = -33.0b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 85.13 | EPS CAGR: 9.10% | SUE: 1.78 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 95.81 | Revenue CAGR: 7.16% | SUE: -0.90 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.65 | Chg30d=-0.11% | Revisions=-30% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.59 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+4.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.92 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+7.3% | GrowthRev=+5.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +5% (up=9, down=8)