(SO) Southern - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas, Renewable Energy, Pipelines, Storage
SO EPS (Earnings per Share)
SO Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 28.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.49% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Alpha | 2.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.420 |
| Beta | 0.036 |
| Beta Downside | 0.103 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 15.46% |
| Mean DD | 4.37% |
| Median DD | 3.76% |
Description: SO Southern September 25, 2025
The Southern Company (NYSE:SO) is a vertically integrated utility that generates, transmits, and distributes electricity through its subsidiaries, while also operating a natural-gas distribution and pipeline network across Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee.
Its asset base includes ownership of conventional and renewable generation facilities, roughly 78,500 mi of gas pipelines, 14 gas-storage sites, and a growing portfolio of distributed-energy, micro-grid, and digital-infrastructure services such as fiber-optic and wireless communications for commercial, industrial, and governmental customers.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $6.31, driven by regulated utility earnings that are relatively insulated from wholesale price volatility; capital expenditures were $7.1 billion, with a stated target to add 3 GW of renewable capacity by 2030. The utility’s performance is highly sensitive to interest-rate trends (affecting cost of capital) and to regional RTO market dynamics, especially in the PJM and SERC interconnections where SO holds a significant generation footprint.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of SO’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
SO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 100,388m |
| Sub-Industry | Electric Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 1981-12-31 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -8.69% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.52 of 5 |
SO Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.22% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.46% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 3.01% |
| Payout Consistency | 99.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 69.2% |
SO Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 15.38% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.99 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 3.52 |
| Current Volume | 4612.5k |
| Average Volume | 5044.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (4.46b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.73b TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -14.18% (prev -4.26%; Δ -9.92pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.38b > Net Income 4.46b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (70.40b) to EBITDA (14.02b) ratio: 5.02 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.11b) change vs 12m ago 0.63% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 49.10% (prev 49.83%; Δ -0.73pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.46% (prev 18.36%; Δ 1.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.76 (EBITDA TTM 14.02b / Interest Expense TTM 3.04b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.72
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 12.63b - Total Current Liabilities 16.73b) / Total Assets 153.25b |
| (B) 0.10 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.25b / Total Assets 153.25b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 8.38b / Avg Total Assets 148.60b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 20.64b / Total Liabilities 114.97b |
| Total Rating: 0.72 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.07
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.17% = -0.58 |
| 3. FCF Margin -6.91% = -2.59 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.11 = 0.61 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.02 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.71)% = 3.39 |
| 7. RoE 13.11% = 1.09 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 53.33% = 4.00 |
| 9. EPS Trend 52.94% = 2.65 |
What is the price of SO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.08%, over one month by -7.86%, over three months by -2.33% and over the past year by +5.59%.
Is Southern a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of SO is around 98.11 USD . This means that SO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.18%.
Is SO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 99.7 | 9.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 99.7 | 9.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 104.9 | 15.6% |
SO Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.5597
P/E Forward = 19.8413
P/S = 3.4721
P/B = 2.853
P/EG = 4.1343
Beta = 0.44
Revenue TTM = 28.91b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 14.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 64.62b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.88b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 73.75b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 70.40b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 170.79b USD (100.39b + Debt 73.75b - CCE 3.34b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.76 (Ebit TTM 8.38b / Interest Expense TTM 3.04b)
FCF Yield = -1.17% (FCF TTM -2.00b / Enterprise Value 170.79b)
FCF Margin = -6.91% (FCF TTM -2.00b / Revenue TTM 28.91b)
Net Margin = 15.42% (Net Income TTM 4.46b / Revenue TTM 28.91b)
Gross Margin = 49.10% ((Revenue TTM 28.91b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.72b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 55.02% (prev 50.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 170.79b / Total Assets 153.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 755.0m / Debt 73.75b)
Taxrate = 18.95% (400.0m / 2.11b)
NOPAT = 6.80b (EBIT 8.38b * (1 - 18.95%))
Current Ratio = 0.75 (Total Current Assets 12.63b / Total Current Liabilities 16.73b)
Debt / Equity = 2.11 (Debt 73.75b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 35.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.02 (Net Debt 70.40b / EBITDA 14.02b)
Debt / FCF = -35.24 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 70.40b / FCF TTM -2.00b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 34.02b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.91% (Net Income 4.46b / Total Assets 153.25b)
RoE = 13.11% (Net Income TTM 4.46b / Total Stockholder Equity 34.02b)
RoCE = 8.50% (EBIT 8.38b / Capital Employed (Equity 34.02b + L.T.Debt 64.62b))
RoIC = 6.61% (NOPAT 6.80b / Invested Capital 102.79b)
WACC = 3.90% (E(100.39b)/V(174.13b) * Re(6.15%) + D(73.75b)/V(174.13b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 6.15% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.52%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -2.00b)
EPS Correlation: 52.94 | EPS CAGR: 93.63% | SUE: 0.76 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 53.33 | Revenue CAGR: 3.87% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle