(STAG) STAG Industrial - Overview
Stock: Warehouse, Distribution, Manufacturing, Flex-Space
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 0.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 18.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 0.61% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Alpha | 6.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.635 |
| Beta Downside | 0.717 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.59% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
Description: STAG STAG Industrial January 09, 2026
STAG Industrial, Inc. (NYSE: STAG) is a publicly traded REIT that acquires, develops, owns, and manages industrial properties across the United States. As of March 31 2025, its portfolio comprises 597 buildings in 41 states, totaling roughly 117.6 million rentable square feet.
Key performance indicators (KPIs) that analysts typically monitor for STAG include: (1) occupancy, which has averaged about 96 % over the past 12 months, indicating strong demand for its assets; (2) funds from operations (FFO) growth, which the company reported at a 7 % year-over-year increase in Q4 2024, driven by higher rental rates and lease-up activity; and (3) leverage, with a net debt-to-FFO ratio of approximately 5.2×, reflecting a balance between growth financing and dividend sustainability. These figures are subject to revision as quarterly results are released.
Industry-wide drivers that affect STAG’s outlook include the continued acceleration of e-commerce, which fuels demand for distribution and last-mile logistics space, and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy; rising interest rates can pressure REIT valuations and cost of capital, while a resilient labor market supports industrial vacancy-rate compression.
For a deeper dive into STAG’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 241.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.19 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -1.09% < 20% (prev -15.62%; Δ 14.53% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 463.9m > Net Income 241.0m |
| Net Debt (3.12b) to EBITDA (673.8m): 4.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.97 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (186.8m) vs 12m ago 2.49% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.78% > 18% (prev 0.80%; Δ 7898 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 12.23% > 50% (prev 11.44%; Δ 0.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.90 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 673.8m / Interest Expense TTM 129.5m) |
Altman Z'' -0.45
| A: -0.00 (Total Current Assets 279.2m - Total Current Liabilities 288.2m) / Total Assets 6.90b |
| B: -0.15 (Retained Earnings -1.05b / Total Assets 6.90b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 375.6m / Avg Total Assets 6.73b) |
| D: -0.30 (Book Value of Equity -1.03b / Total Liabilities 3.40b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.45 = B |
Beneish M -2.96
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 145.0m/128.4m, Revenue 823.6m/751.4m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 79.78% / 79.88%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.96 / AQ_t-1 0.95) |
| SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 823.6m / 751.4m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 241.0m - CFO 463.9m) / TA 6.90b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of STAG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.80%, over one month by +5.36%, over three months by +2.53% and over the past year by +17.12%.
Is STAG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STAG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.9 | 4.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.9 | 4.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.4 | 10.4% |
STAG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 8.6804
P/B = 2.0326
P/EG = -402.43
Revenue TTM = 823.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 375.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 673.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.99b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 110.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.12b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.27b USD (7.15b + Debt 3.14b - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.90 (Ebit TTM 375.6m / Interest Expense TTM 129.5m)
EV/FCF = 24.15x (Enterprise Value 10.27b / FCF TTM 425.2m)
FCF Yield = 4.14% (FCF TTM 425.2m / Enterprise Value 10.27b)
FCF Margin = 51.62% (FCF TTM 425.2m / Revenue TTM 823.6m)
Net Margin = 29.26% (Net Income TTM 241.0m / Revenue TTM 823.6m)
Gross Margin = 79.78% ((Revenue TTM 823.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 166.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.03% (prev 80.54%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.49 (Enterprise Value 10.27b / Total Assets 6.90b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.01% (Interest Expense 31.7m / Debt 3.14b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 296.7m (EBIT 375.6m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.97 (Total Current Assets 279.2m / Total Current Liabilities 288.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.92 (Debt 3.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.43b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.63 (Net Debt 3.12b / EBITDA 673.8m)
Debt / FCF = 7.33 (Net Debt 3.12b / FCF TTM 425.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.45b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.58% (Net Income 241.0m / Total Assets 6.90b)
RoE = 6.99% (Net Income TTM 241.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.45b)
RoCE = 5.83% (EBIT 375.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.45b + L.T.Debt 2.99b))
RoIC = 4.56% (NOPAT 296.7m / Invested Capital 6.50b)
WACC = 5.98% (E(7.15b)/V(10.29b) * Re(8.26%) + D(3.14b)/V(10.29b) * Rd(1.01%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.21% ; FCFF base≈385.9m ; Y1≈439.4m ; Y5≈603.4m
Fair Price DCF = 75.72 (EV 17.26b - Net Debt 3.12b = Equity 14.14b / Shares 186.8m; r=5.98% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 16.21% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -16.08 | EPS CAGR: -48.81% | SUE: -2.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 98.82 | Revenue CAGR: 10.01% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=-0.093 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=-16.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%