(SU) Suncor Energy - Overview

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Canada • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: CA8672241079

Stock: Bitumen, Crude Oil, Refined Products, Petrochemicals, Natural Gas

Total Rating 63

Risk 90

Buy Signal 0.22

Oil & Gas Integrated » Integrated Oil & Gas
Age: 32.2y

Market Cap: 64,262m
Avg Trading Vol: 242M USD

ATR: 2.56%
Peers RS (IBD): 73.68

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -13.80%
EPS Trend: -74.0%

Last SUE: 1.56
Qual. Beats: 1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -2.71%
Rev. Trend: -56.9%

Last SUE: -0.12
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.24%
Yield on Cost 5y	11.55%
Yield CAGR 5y	18.53%
Payout Consistency	73.5%
Payout Ratio	39.5%

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	24.8%
Relative Tail Risk	-2.78%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.37
Alpha	32.53

Character TTM
Beta	0.729
Beta Downside	1.138

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	22.42%
CAGR/Max DD	0.97

Description: SU Suncor Energy January 29, 2026

Suncor Energy Inc. (NYSE: SU) is a Canadian-based integrated oil and gas firm that operates across three segments: Oil Sands (bitumen production, crude handling, and power generation), Exploration & Production (offshore East-Coast Canada and on-shore assets in Libya and Syria, plus crude marketing and risk management), and Refining & Marketing (refining, petrochemical feedstock processing, retail fuel sales, and commodity trading of oil, refined products, natural gas, and power). The company, founded in 1917 and renamed in 1997, is headquartered in Calgary and trades under the Integrated Oil & Gas GICS sub-industry.

According to Suncor’s Q4 2025 earnings release (filed February 2026), the firm produced ≈ 835 kboe/d, generated $4.5 billion of free cash flow, and maintained a net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio of ~0.6×. The upstream capital budget for 2026 is set at $3.2 billion, reflecting continued investment in the Athabasca oil-sands expansion and offshore projects. A key sector driver remains the WTI crude price corridor; Suncor’s breakeven is estimated at $78 per barrel, making profitability highly sensitive to sustained price levels above that threshold, while carbon-pricing mechanisms in Canada add an incremental cost of ~$5 per barrel of bitumen.

For a deeper dive into Suncor’s valuation nuances, consider exploring the ValueRay platform.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income: 5.92b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.85 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 8.09% < 20% (prev 6.99%; Δ 1.10% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 12.78b > Net Income 5.92b
Net Debt (14.72b) to EBITDA (16.17b): 0.91 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.39 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.20b) vs 12m ago -4.38% < -2%
Gross Margin: 44.33% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 4394 % > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 55.29% > 50% (prev 56.46%; Δ -1.17% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 12.93 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 16.17b / Interest Expense TTM 671.8m)

Altman Z'' 2.83

A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 14.22b - Total Current Liabilities 10.20b) / Total Assets 89.84b
B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 23.20b / Total Assets 89.84b)
C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 8.68b / Avg Total Assets 89.81b)
D: 1.00 (Book Value of Equity 44.59b / Total Liabilities 44.75b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 2.83 = A

Beneish M -3.03

DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 5.45b/5.76b, Revenue 49.66b/50.69b)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 44.33% / 39.16%)
AQI: 1.38 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.06)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 49.66b / 50.69b)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 5.92b - CFO 12.78b) / TA 89.84b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.03 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of SU shares?

As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 53.80 with a total of 9,038,828 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.57%, over one month by +18.92%, over three months by +29.38% and over the past year by +45.99%.

Is SU a buy, sell or hold?

Suncor Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.86. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SU.

StrongBuy: 7
Buy: 5
Hold: 8
Sell: 1
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SU price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	49.8	-7.5%
Analysts Target Price	49.8	-7.5%
ValueRay Target Price	68	26.4%

SU Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026

P/E Trailing = 14.9662
P/E Forward = 20.9205
P/S = 1.3139
P/B = 1.9107
P/EG = 0.07
Revenue TTM = 49.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 8.68b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.17b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.61b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 1.61b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 18.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.72b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 78.98b USD (64.26b + Debt 18.37b - CCE 3.65b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 12.93 (Ebit TTM 8.68b / Interest Expense TTM 671.8m)
EV/FCF = 11.41x (Enterprise Value 78.98b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
FCF Yield = 8.77% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Enterprise Value 78.98b)
FCF Margin = 13.94% (FCF TTM 6.92b / Revenue TTM 49.66b)
Net Margin = 11.92% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Revenue TTM 49.66b)
Gross Margin = 44.33% ((Revenue TTM 49.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.64b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.07% (prev 60.29%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 78.98b / Total Assets 89.84b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 204.8m / Debt 18.37b)
Taxrate = 26.46% (530.6m / 2.01b)
NOPAT = 6.39b (EBIT 8.68b * (1 - 26.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 14.22b / Total Current Liabilities 10.20b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 18.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 14.72b / EBITDA 16.17b)
Debt / FCF = 2.13 (Net Debt 14.72b / FCF TTM 6.92b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 44.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.59% (Net Income 5.92b / Total Assets 89.84b)
RoE = 13.17% (Net Income TTM 5.92b / Total Stockholder Equity 44.92b)
RoCE = 16.22% (EBIT 8.68b / Capital Employed (Equity 44.92b + L.T.Debt 8.61b))
RoIC = 11.62% (NOPAT 6.39b / Invested Capital 54.98b)
WACC = 6.87% (E(64.26b)/V(82.63b) * Re(8.60%) + D(18.37b)/V(82.63b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.06% ; FCFF base≈7.94b ; Y1≈7.73b ; Y5≈7.74b
Fair Price DCF = 135.1 (EV 175.44b - Net Debt 14.72b = Equity 160.72b / Shares 1.19b; r=6.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -3.81% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -74.02 | EPS CAGR: -13.80% | SUE: 1.56 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -56.92 | Revenue CAGR: -2.71% | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.54 | Chg30d=-0.204 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=-23.3% | Growth Revenue=-4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.59 | Chg30d=-0.450 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+29.8% | Growth Revenue=+0.2%

Additional Sources for SU Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle