(TBN) Tamboran Resources - Overview
Stock: Natural Gas, Unconventional Resources, Shale Gas, Petrochemical
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.55 |
| Alpha | 7.69 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.595 |
| Beta Downside | 0.839 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.61% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.48 |
Description: TBN Tamboran Resources January 17, 2026
Tamboran Resources Corp. (NYSE:TBN) is an Australian-based natural-gas explorer focused on unconventional reservoirs in the northern territory’s Betaloo Basin. The company holds a 25% non-operated interest in EP 161, a 38.75% interest in EPs 76, 98 and 117, and 100% ownership of EPs 136, 143 and (A) 197.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024): ≈ 140 MMcf of net gas production, ≈ $45 million of cash flow from operations, and a ~ $2.5 billion net asset value (NAV) based on a $4.00/MMcf gas price assumption. The Australian domestic gas market remains supported by rising demand from power generation and LNG export contracts, while the Australian dollar’s recent weakness improves the dollar-denominated value of its assets.
For a deeper quantitative view, consider reviewing ValueRay’s analyst dashboard for TBN to see the latest model inputs and scenario analyses.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -39.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.36 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -17.42 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev) |
| CFO/TA -0.09 > 3% & CFO -39.3m > Net Income -39.2m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (17.5m) vs 12m ago 24.08% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: -2081 % > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ -2081 % > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -115.4 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -34.6m / Interest Expense TTM 305.0k) |
Altman Z'' -4.75
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 56.7m - Total Current Liabilities 36.6m) / Total Assets 446.5m |
| B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -167.3m / Total Assets 446.5m) |
| C: -0.09 (EBIT TTM -35.2m / Avg Total Assets 413.8m) |
| D: -3.10 (Book Value of Equity -176.7m / Total Liabilities 57.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -4.75 = D |
What is the price of TBN shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.41%, over one month by +10.80%, over three months by +24.27% and over the past year by +21.43%.
Is TBN a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TBN price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.1 | 40.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.1 | 40.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 29.8 | 4.2% |
TBN Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
Revenue TTM = -8.61b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -34.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 6.56m USD (from longTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -18.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 664.7m USD (677.8m + Debt 26.4m - CCE 39.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -115.4 (Ebit TTM -35.2m / Interest Expense TTM 305.0k)
EV/FCF = -4.10x (Enterprise Value 664.7m / FCF TTM -162.0m)
FCF Yield = -24.37% (FCF TTM -162.0m / Enterprise Value 664.7m)
WARNING: Negative Revenue TTM = -8.61b
FCF Margin = 1.88% (FCF TTM -162.0m / Revenue TTM -8.61b)
WARNING: Negative Revenue TTM = -8.61b
Net Margin = 0.45% (Net Income TTM -39.2m / Revenue TTM -8.61b)
WARNING: Negative Revenue TTM = -8.61b
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM -8.61b - Cost of Revenue TTM 599.6k) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.49 (Enterprise Value 664.7m / Total Assets 446.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.16% (Interest Expense 305.0k / Debt 26.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -27.8m (EBIT -35.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.55 (Total Current Assets 56.7m / Total Current Liabilities 36.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 26.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 287.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.54 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -18.8m / EBITDA -34.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -18.8m / FCF TTM -162.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 264.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.47% (Net Income -39.2m / Total Assets 446.5m)
RoE = -14.80% (Net Income TTM -39.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 264.8m)
RoCE = -12.97% (EBIT -35.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 264.8m + L.T.Debt 6.56m))
RoIC = -10.43% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -27.8m / Invested Capital 266.6m)
WACC = 7.84% (E(677.8m)/V(704.2m) * Re(8.11%) + D(26.4m)/V(704.2m) * Rd(1.16%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.11% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 41.64%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -162.0m)
EPS Correlation: 48.54 | EPS CAGR: 41.40% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -61.44 | Revenue CAGR: -0.01% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.30 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-1.18 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+30.6% | Growth Revenue=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=-0.35 | Chg30d=+0.247 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+67.6% | Growth Revenue=+148.3%