TFII Stock Analysis: TFI International | NYSE

Trucking | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 11.385m USD | 12M Return: 46% | CA87241L1094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Less-Than-Truckload, Truckload, Freight Brokerage, Parcel Delivery
Total Rating 51
Safety 66
Buy Signal 0.11
Trucking
Industry Rotation: -20.8
Market Cap: 11.4B
Avg Turnover: 43.2M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility39.7%
VaR 5th Pctl6.29%
VaR vs Median-3.51%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.04
Rel. Str. IBD72.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group46.9
Character TTM
Beta1.208
Beta Downside1.738
Hurst Exponent0.617
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD53.82%
CAGR/Max DD0.06
CAGR/Mean DD0.15
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TFII over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.44, "2021-09": 1.46, "2021-12": 1.57, "2022-03": 1.68, "2022-06": 2.61, "2022-09": 2.01, "2022-12": 1.72, "2023-03": 1.33, "2023-06": 1.59, "2023-09": 1.57, "2023-12": 1.71, "2024-03": 1.24, "2024-06": 1.71, "2024-09": 1.6, "2024-12": 1.19, "2025-03": 0.76, "2025-06": 1.34, "2025-09": 1.2, "2025-12": 1.09, "2026-03": 0.69, "2026-06": 1.85,
EPS CAGR: -14.01%
EPS Trend: -90.5%
Last SUE: 1.17
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of TFII over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1836.708, 2021-09: 2094, 2021-12: 2133.705019, 2022-03: 2191.519, 2022-06: 2422.317, 2022-09: 2241.961, 2022-12: 1959.650058, 2023-03: 1850.177, 2023-06: 1791.266, 2023-09: 1911.046, 2023-12: 2023.089171, 2024-03: 1870.815, 2024-06: 2264.545, 2024-09: 2184.583, 2024-12: 2076.887, 2025-03: 1964.387, 2025-06: 2071.196, 2025-09: 1946.846137, 2025-12: 2666.614579, 2026-03: 1949.103, 2026-06: 2289.85,
Rev. CAGR: 5.58%
Rev. Trend: 88.1%
Last SUE: 0.06
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -2.1% 8
Feb +0.4% 10
Mar -2.8% 40
Apr +7.5% 16
May +0.5% 8
Jun +1.9% 27
Jul +5.6% 41
Aug -0.6% 13
Sep -5.9% 46
Oct +0.4% 13
Nov +3.4% 26
Dec -2.0% 22

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TFII TFI International

TFI International Inc. (NYSE: TFII) is a Canadian-domiciled transportation and logistics company operating across the United States, Canada, and Mexico through three reportable segments. The Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment handles pickup, consolidation, and delivery of smaller freight loads, an asset-based operation that benefits from the hub-and-spoke terminal networks typical of the sector, where route density and terminal infrastructure create meaningful barriers to entry. The Truckload (TL) segment provides expedited, flatbed, tank, container, and dedicated services, moving full loads directly from origin to destination. The Logistics segment operates an asset-light model encompassing brokerage, freight forwarding, transportation management, and small-package parcel delivery - a model that typically generates lower margins than asset-based trucking but requires less capital and is more scalable across economic cycles.

As of December 31, 2025, TFI operated a fleet of 12,927 trucks, 40,687 trailers, and 6,194 independent contractors, supporting both its asset-based LTL and TL operations and its asset-light Logistics segment. The company, classified within the Industrials sector and Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry, was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Saint-Laurent, Quebec. It was previously known as TransForce Inc. before adopting its current name in December 2016, and has been listed on the NYSE since its 2008 IPO.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • LTL segment margins expand on UPS Freight integration
  • US cross-border freight demand rises with nearshoring trends
  • Logistics brokerage revenue pressured by soft freight market
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 363.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.33 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.37% < 20% (prev 0.60%; Δ 0.77% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 1.02b > Net Income 363.0m
Net Debt (3.44b) to EBITDA (1.29b): 2.66 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.09 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (82.4m) vs 12m ago -1.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 12.33% > 18% (prev 13.97%; Δ -1.64% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 120.3% > 50% (prev 114.8%; Δ 5.45% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.76 > 6 (EBIT TTM 636.1m / Interest Expense TTM 169.4m)
Altman Z'' 2.10
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.40b - Total Current Liabilities 1.28b) / Total Assets 7.49b
B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 1.87b / Total Assets 7.49b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 636.1m / Avg Total Assets 7.36b)
D: 0.57 (Book Value of Equity 2.74b / Total Liabilities 4.76b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.10 = BBB
Beneish M -2.80
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 1.09b/951.9m, Revenue 8.85b/8.30b)
GMI: 1.13 (GM 13.97% / 12.33%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.38 / AQ_t-1 0.38)
SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 8.85b / 8.30b)
TATA: -0.09 (NI 363.0m - CFO 1.02b) / TA 7.49b)
Beneish M = -2.80 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of TFII shares?

As of August 25, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 135.82 with a total of 212,080 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.72%, over one month by -9.71%, over three months by -9.71% and over the past year by +46.02%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 130.40 (which is 4% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is TFII a buy, sell or hold?

TFI International has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.05. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TFII.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 9
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TFII price?
Analysts Target Price 174.1 28.2%
TFI International (TFII) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 11.4b (11.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.6275
P/E Forward = 23.9808
P/S = 1.4018
P/B = 4.2317
Revenue TTM = 8.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 636.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 354.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.64b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 592.9m
Net Debt = 3.44b USD (calculated: Debt 3.64b - CCE 205.4m)
Enterprise Value = 14.8b USD (11.4b + Debt 3.64b - CCE 205.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.76 (Ebit TTM 636.1m / Interest Expense TTM 169.4m)
EV/FCF = 20.20x (Enterprise Value 14.8b / FCF TTM 733.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.95% (FCF TTM 733.7m / Enterprise Value 14.8b)
FCF Margin = 8.29% (FCF TTM 733.7m / Revenue TTM 8.85b)
Net Margin = 4.10% (Net Income TTM 363.0m / Revenue TTM 8.85b)
Gross Margin = 12.33% ((Revenue TTM 8.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 7.76b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.16% (prev 10.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.98 (Enterprise Value 14.8b / Total Assets 7.49b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.65% (Interest Expense 169.4m / Debt 3.64b)
Taxrate = 22.22% (103.7m / 466.7m)
NOPAT = 494.8m (EBIT 636.1m * (1 - 22.22%))
Current Ratio = 1.09 (Total Current Assets 1.40b / Total Current Liabilities 1.28b)
Debt / Equity = 1.33 (Debt 3.64b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.66 (Net Debt 3.44b / EBITDA 1.29b)
Debt / FCF = 4.68 (Net Debt 3.44b / FCF TTM 733.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.68b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.93% (Net Income 363.0m / Total Assets 7.49b)
RoE = 13.57% (Net Income TTM 363.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.68b)
RoCE = 12.89% (EBIT 636.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.68b + L.T.Debt 2.26b))
RoIC = 7.78% (NOPAT 494.8m / Invested Capital 6.36b)
WACC = 8.63% (E(11.4b)/V(15.0b) * Re(10.23%) + D(3.64b)/V(15.0b) * Rd(4.65%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.23% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.75 | Cagr: -1.55%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.52% ; FCFF base≈732.6m ; Y1≈737.8m ; Y5≈786.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 100.2 (EV 11.7b - Net Debt 3.44b = Equity 8.23b / Shares 82.2m; r=8.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.35% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -90.50 | EPS CAGR: -14.01% | SUE: 1.17 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 88.07 | Revenue CAGR: 5.58% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.78 | Chg30d=+12.40% | Revisions=+81% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.99 | Chg30d=+12.41% | Revisions=+83% | GrowthEPS=+37.0% | GrowthRev=+9.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.90 | Chg30d=+10.13% | Revisions=+83% | GrowthEPS=+31.9% | GrowthRev=+5.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +93% (up=43, down=0)