(TFII) TFI International - Ratings and Ratios
LTL, TL, Logistics, Brokerage, Parcel
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.64% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 17.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 40.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.03% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.24 |
| Alpha | -34.53 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.05 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.428 |
| Beta | 0.975 |
| Beta Downside | 0.317 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.82% |
| Mean DD | 19.59% |
| Median DD | 14.62% |
Description: TFII TFI International January 08, 2026
TFI International Inc. (NYSE:TFII) is a Canada-based transportation and logistics provider operating across the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The firm runs three core segments: Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), which consolidates and delivers smaller shipments; Truckload (TL), which moves full loads-including expedited, flatbed, tank, and container services-using dedicated equipment; and Logistics, an asset-light business offering brokerage, freight forwarding, transportation management, and small-package delivery. As of 31 Dec 2024 the network comprised 14,243 trucks, 45,453 trailers, and 7,592 independent contractors.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show total revenue of roughly $5.0 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 11 %, reflecting modest pricing power despite a competitive North-American freight market. The LTL segment has benefited from sustained e-commerce growth, which historically drives a 3–4 % annual increase in small-load volumes, while the TL segment remains sensitive to fuel price volatility and driver-shortage pressures that can compress capacity utilization.
Sector-wide, the ground-transport industry is currently influenced by three macro drivers: (1) a tight labor market that pushes carrier wages upward; (2) ongoing supply-chain reshoring that raises cross-border freight volumes; and (3) regulatory trends around emissions that incentivize newer, more fuel-efficient fleets. TFI’s diversified service mix and sizable asset base position it to capture upside from these trends, though execution risk remains around integration of acquisitions and cost-control in a high-inflation environment.
For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay profile on TFII offers granular metrics and scenario analyses that can help sharpen your investment thesis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (323.5m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 483.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 0.80% (prev -0.27%; Δ 1.07pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.13 (>3.0%) and CFO 953.2m > Net Income 323.5m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.96b) to EBITDA (1.21b) ratio: 2.45 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.06 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (82.7m) change vs 12m ago -2.79% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 13.76% (prev 14.38%; Δ -0.62pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 110.4% (prev 111.2%; Δ -0.88pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.58 (EBITDA TTM 1.21b / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.02
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 1.07b - Total Current Liabilities 1.01b) / Total Assets 7.11b |
| (B) 0.25 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.76b / Total Assets 7.11b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 587.6m / Avg Total Assets 7.30b |
| (D) 0.58 = Book Value of Equity 2.61b / Total Liabilities 4.47b |
| Total Rating: 2.02 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 51.77
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.77% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.48% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.45 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.41)% |
| 7. RoE 12.18% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -26.13% |
| 9. EPS Trend -71.66% |
What is the price of TFII shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.04%, over one month by +12.85%, over three months by +22.73% and over the past year by -15.15%.
Is TFII a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 7
- Buy: 9
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TFII price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 112.6 | 1.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 112.6 | 1.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 113.3 | 2.1% |
TFII Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 1.1056
P/B = 3.3494
Beta = 1.318
Revenue TTM = 8.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 587.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 233.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.99b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.96b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.86b USD (8.90b + Debt 2.99b - CCE 31.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.58 (Ebit TTM 587.6m / Interest Expense TTM 164.0m)
EV/FCF = 17.35x (Enterprise Value 11.86b / FCF TTM 683.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.77% (FCF TTM 683.6m / Enterprise Value 11.86b)
FCF Margin = 8.48% (FCF TTM 683.6m / Revenue TTM 8.06b)
Net Margin = 4.01% (Net Income TTM 323.5m / Revenue TTM 8.06b)
Gross Margin = 13.76% ((Revenue TTM 8.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.95b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 12.92% (prev 13.05%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.67 (Enterprise Value 11.86b / Total Assets 7.11b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 40.3m / Debt 2.99b)
Taxrate = 24.20% (26.7m / 110.5m)
NOPAT = 445.4m (EBIT 587.6m * (1 - 24.20%))
Current Ratio = 1.06 (Total Current Assets 1.07b / Total Current Liabilities 1.01b)
Debt / Equity = 1.13 (Debt 2.99b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.64b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.45 (Net Debt 2.96b / EBITDA 1.21b)
Debt / FCF = 4.33 (Net Debt 2.96b / FCF TTM 683.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.66b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.43% (Net Income 323.5m / Total Assets 7.11b)
RoE = 12.18% (Net Income TTM 323.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.66b)
RoCE = 11.82% (EBIT 587.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.66b + L.T.Debt 2.31b))
RoIC = 8.79% (NOPAT 445.4m / Invested Capital 5.07b)
WACC = 7.37% (E(8.90b)/V(11.89b) * Re(9.51%) + D(2.99b)/V(11.89b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.84%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.12% ; FCFF base≈693.2m ; Y1≈729.5m ; Y5≈855.3m
Fair Price DCF = 170.5 (EV 16.99b - Net Debt 2.96b = Equity 14.03b / Shares 82.3m; r=7.37% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 5.70% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -71.66 | EPS CAGR: -48.02% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -26.13 | Revenue CAGR: -2.41% | SUE: -1.49 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.88 | Chg30d=-0.097 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.17 | Chg30d=-0.131 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+23.8% | Growth Revenue=+2.2%
Additional Sources for TFII Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle